Preprint Technical Note Version 3 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

A Framework for Assessing Social- and Location-Based Transmission Risk as a Heuristic for Individual Decision-Making

Version 1 : Received: 22 May 2020 / Approved: 24 May 2020 / Online: 24 May 2020 (17:17:51 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 1 December 2020 / Approved: 1 December 2020 / Online: 1 December 2020 (15:05:55 CET)
Version 3 : Received: 8 January 2021 / Approved: 12 January 2021 / Online: 12 January 2021 (12:26:41 CET)

How to cite: Diaz Eaton, C. A Framework for Assessing Social- and Location-Based Transmission Risk as a Heuristic for Individual Decision-Making. Preprints 2020, 2020050391 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202005.0391.v3). Diaz Eaton, C. A Framework for Assessing Social- and Location-Based Transmission Risk as a Heuristic for Individual Decision-Making. Preprints 2020, 2020050391 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202005.0391.v3).

Abstract

This paper provides a framework for the assessment of household-level risk, incorporating both a individual social risk perspective and a location-based perspective. We use this framework as a heuristic to explore the effect of social reintegration choices individuals face, which are not be addressed by current policies. For example, we explore how integrating extended family households during COVID-19 without social distancing may affect household and community risk. The goal is to aid individual decision makers, who are seeking to maintain quality-of-life while navigating local policy, with nuance relating to location-specific behavior and disease prevalence.

Subject Areas

COVID-19; risk analysis; heuristic; probability; ascertainment; vaccination

Comments (1)

Comment 1
Received: 12 January 2021
Commenter: Carrie Diaz Eaton
Commenter's Conflict of Interests: Author
Comment: Added two new variables and subsections related to their explanations 1) Ascertainment rate, which was at an assumed constant is now a variable and 2) vaccination risk reducation, to account for lowered individual risk if vaccinated. Both sections include new citations of products published within the last 30 days.
Excel file has also been updated with the new calculations and all 4 households have been added.
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