Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

COVID-19 Follows a Flattened Growth Curve Subsequent to Prolonged Intervention in A Population; Its Implication on Rate Of Doubling Time & Plausible Suppression of SARS-CoV-2 Infection

Version 1 : Received: 5 May 2020 / Approved: 7 May 2020 / Online: 7 May 2020 (08:24:00 CEST)

How to cite: chakravarty, P. COVID-19 Follows a Flattened Growth Curve Subsequent to Prolonged Intervention in A Population; Its Implication on Rate Of Doubling Time & Plausible Suppression of SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Preprints 2020, 2020050110 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202005.0110.v1). chakravarty, P. COVID-19 Follows a Flattened Growth Curve Subsequent to Prolonged Intervention in A Population; Its Implication on Rate Of Doubling Time & Plausible Suppression of SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Preprints 2020, 2020050110 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202005.0110.v1).

Abstract

COVID-19 is fast spreading around the globe in a highly contagious manner. In this article we have described that after prolonged interventions the percentage growth curve for COVID-19 cases showed a flattened nature, after prolonged volatility in number of COVID-19 cases. The stability in the growth curve was continuously maintained from 18 April, 2020 to 29 April, 2020. The significance of this sustained stable curve on survival & doubling time has been discussed. One significant part of the study reflected that the doubling time of COVID-19 cases showed a negative correlation with the percent increase in COVID-19 cases (R=0.301). It is plausible that if such negative correlation is maintained with further flattening of the growth curve at a lower level, it may influence the infective ability of nCoV-19 & ultimately have a positive evolutionary implication on the spread of COVID-19 among the population.

Subject Areas

COVID-19; intervention; growth curve; survival; doubling time; correlation

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