Preprint Review Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past

Version 1 : Received: 14 April 2020 / Approved: 16 April 2020 / Online: 16 April 2020 (16:00:00 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 10 June 2020 / Approved: 10 June 2020 / Online: 10 June 2020 (05:17:01 CEST)

How to cite: Cheng, Z.J.; Liu, Z.; Zeng, R.; Tian, L.; Duan, Z.; Hakonarson, H.; Qu, H.; Zhang, Q.; Yang, L.; Cheng, G. COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past. Preprints 2020, 2020040284 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202004.0284.v1). Cheng, Z.J.; Liu, Z.; Zeng, R.; Tian, L.; Duan, Z.; Hakonarson, H.; Qu, H.; Zhang, Q.; Yang, L.; Cheng, G. COVID-19: Look to the Future, Learn from the Past. Preprints 2020, 2020040284 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202004.0284.v1).

Abstract

Background: There is a current worldwide outbreak of a new type of coronavirus COVID-19. The number of confirmed infected cases is rapidly increasing. Method: This paper analyzes the characteristics of COVID-19 in comparison with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (SARS-CoV), Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and influenza. Diagnostic data for foreign citizens evacuated from Wuhan were collected and compiled. Current prevention and control strategies have been analyzed. Results: COVID-19 is similar to SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV virologically and etiologically, but similar to influenza in epidemiology and virulence. The prevalence rate in Wuhan was inferred to be close to 1%. The comparison provides a new perspective for the future of the disease, and offers some advice in the prevention and control management strategy. Conclusion: The large number of patients and the strong occult nature are two big problems, making the virus difficult to eradicate. We need to contemplate the possibility of long-term co-existence with COVID-19.

Subject Areas

coronavirus; epidemiology; 2019-nCoV; COVID-19

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