Article
Version 1
Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed
Estimating Parameters in Mathematical Model for Societal Booms through Bayesian Inference Approach
Version 1
: Received: 27 July 2019 / Approved: 29 July 2019 / Online: 29 July 2019 (04:41:57 CEST)
How to cite: Ota, Y.; Mizutani, N. Estimating Parameters in Mathematical Model for Societal Booms through Bayesian Inference Approach. Preprints 2019, 2019070329 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201907.0329.v1). Ota, Y.; Mizutani, N. Estimating Parameters in Mathematical Model for Societal Booms through Bayesian Inference Approach. Preprints 2019, 2019070329 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201907.0329.v1).
Abstract
In this study, based on our previous study, we examined the mathematical properties, especially the stability of the equilibrium for our proposed mathematical model. By means of the results of the stability in this study, we also used actual data representing transient booms and resurgent booms, and conducted parameter estimation for our proposed model using Bayesian inference. In addition, we conducted a model fitting to five actual data. By this study, we reconfirmed that we can express the resurgences or minute vibrations of actual data by means of our proposed model.
Subject Areas
societal booms model; time delay; Bayesian inference approach
Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Comments (0)
We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our diversity statement.
Leave a public commentSend a private comment to the author(s)