Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

EU Geography of Non-Performing Loans (NPL)

Version 1 : Received: 5 September 2018 / Approved: 6 September 2018 / Online: 6 September 2018 (04:53:27 CEST)

How to cite: Avetisyan, S. EU Geography of Non-Performing Loans (NPL). Preprints 2018, 2018090109 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201809.0109.v1). Avetisyan, S. EU Geography of Non-Performing Loans (NPL). Preprints 2018, 2018090109 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201809.0109.v1).

Abstract

Over the past decade, the credit quality of loan portfolios across most countries in the world remained relatively stable until the financial crises hit the global economy in 2007–2008. In this paper I discuss, the relationship between non-performing loans and economic landscape. Since 2008, nonperforming loans have been an increasingly hot topic in the international scene, due to their important and rising volume and their impact on the economy as a whole, on the banking system and on its credit supply. Since then, average bank asset quality deteriorated sharply due to the global economic recession. Yet the deterioration of loan performance was very uneven across countries. I am interested in explaining these differences in bank asset quality across countries and over time. In this paper, I therefore study the empirical determinants of non-performing loan (NPL) ratios using a data set for EU countries covering the past decade. The paper assumes that the spatial organization of banking systems and the geographical distribution of comercial banks branches, ATMs and GDP growth are major factors influencing the effectiveness in credit system. The aim of this paper is to construct a continuous and quantifiable model, which will demonstrate a role of economic condition, technology, competition, policy, business climate in Financial Stability. Main hypotheses suggests, that GDP growth, interest rate, new business, FDI, ATMs and geographical distribution of branches have an influences on NPL (non-performing loans).

Subject Areas

non-performing loans; financial stability; economic geography; bank branches

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