Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Analysis of the Temperature Changes in the Aburrá Valley Between 1995 and 2015 and Modeling Based on Urban, Meteorological and Energetic Parameters

Version 1 : Received: 12 December 2017 / Approved: 12 December 2017 / Online: 12 December 2017 (07:18:48 CET)

How to cite: Posada, E.; Cadavid, A. Analysis of the Temperature Changes in the Aburrá Valley Between 1995 and 2015 and Modeling Based on Urban, Meteorological and Energetic Parameters. Preprints 2017, 2017120072. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201712.0072.v1 Posada, E.; Cadavid, A. Analysis of the Temperature Changes in the Aburrá Valley Between 1995 and 2015 and Modeling Based on Urban, Meteorological and Energetic Parameters. Preprints 2017, 2017120072. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201712.0072.v1

Abstract

There is a perception among the inhabitants of the Aburrá Valley Region, that this heavily populated region, situated in the Andean mountains of Colombia, has been suffering large temperature raises in the last years, especially in the last decade. To give perspective about this issue, the authors have gone through the available information about temperature changes in three meteorological stations in the region and have correlated it with a set of variables of urban, climatic and energetic nature, with the intention of developing an approximate model to understand the temperature changes. Changes in the mean temperature, based on the linear tendencies, were estimated on 0.47ºC for the 20 years between 1995 and 2015; 60% of change was found to be related to local human activities and 40% was attributed to the impact of global warming.

Keywords

model; temperature; urban; warming

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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