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Green Value Investing in the Banking Sector: The Effectiveness of a Green F-Score Strategy in Poland as a CEE Case Study

Submitted:

30 October 2026

Posted:

02 November 2026

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Abstract
The banking sector serves as a critical transmission belt for capital allocation toward renewable energy (RE) projects, yet traditional equity valuation models fail to capture banks' exposure to energy transition risks. To bridge this gap, this paper develops a novel fundamental-environmental indicator—the "Green F-Score"—tested on 10 major commercial banks listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) between 2023 and 2025. By synthesizing classical financial efficiency criteria with EU Taxonomy disclosures (Green Asset Ratio), the portfolio sorting methodology reveals how capital markets price sustainable energy financing in Central and Eastern Europe. The empirical results demonstrate that portfolios with high environmental-fundamental readiness ("Green Leaders") generate a superior mean annual return of 60.43% and a substantial price-to-book (P/B) premium. Conversely, banks lagging in RE financing suffer significant carbon risk discounts. Correlation analysis confirms a paradigm shift: the market premium is primarily driven by the ESG sub-score, rendering traditional financial metrics a mere operational hygiene factor. Consequently, the Green F-Score emerges as a robust tool for institutional investors, proving that accelerated lending to the energy transition effectively lowers the cost of equity capital for commercial banks.
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