1. Introduction: What is to be done with Hanford’s Low Activity Waste?
From 1943 to 1945, the Hanford Nuclear Site hosted the Manhattan Project’s plutonium production facilities, which supplied the fissile material for the Nagasaki bomb in August 1945. During the Cold War, Hanford was a key site for plutonium production, operating nine reactors and five reprocessing plants (Colburn and Petersen, 2020). Reprocessing technologies included the bismuth phosphate process (1944–1956), the reduction-oxidation (REDOX) process (1952–1967), and the plutonium uranium extraction (PUREX) process (1952–1988), each employing a distinct set of chemicals. Smaller quantities of plutonium were also produced at Idaho National Laboratory and Savannah River National Laboratory (SNRL). By 1989, 212,000 cubic meters (m3, about 56 million gallons) of radioactive and hazardous waste had been stored in 177 underground tanks at Hanford.
In 1989, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and the Washington State Department of Ecology signed the Tri-Party Agreement (TPA) to set milestones for cleaning up Hanford tank waste. The Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP), to process the waste, has been under construction since 2002. The TPA was revised again in 2025 (DOE, 2025).
As shown in
Table 1, Westesen et al. (2026, p. 1) report, “Of the 56 million gallons, 23 million gallons are comprised of saltcake, 21 million gallons are supernatant [liquids], and the remaining 12 million gallons are insoluble sludge [Colburn and Petersen, 2020].” It is estimated that about 90% of this waste (Hanford Vit Plant, 2025a), roughly 190,800 m
3 (about 50.4 million gallons of supernatant, saltcake, and some sludge), could be “Low Activity Waste” (LAW) after cesium, strontium, and transuranics have been removed through the Tank-Side Cesium Removal (TSCR) facility. Further, Wells et al. (2011) note,
“These tanks contain a mixture of sludge, saltcake, and supernatant liquids… The saltcake, generated by extensive evaporation of aqueous solutions, consists primarily of dried sodium salts. The supernates consist of concentrated (5-15 M) aqueous solutions of sodium and potassium salts.”
Each liter of the liquid contains 5 to 15 moles of dissolved salts, making it dense and chemically active. Hill and Langton (2025, p. 4) assume that 1 liter of post-TSCR-processed supernatant liquid weighs 1250 g, and Wells et al. (2002) assume that 1 liter of diluted saltcake weighs 1580 g. The saltcake can be diluted, for example, with DFLAW (Direct Feed Low Activity Waste) secondary waste liquids, to pass through TSCR and DFLAW. According to GAO (2026, p. 1), 24,000,000 gallons of LAW (90,800 m3) could be grouted. If 90,800 m3 is to be grouted, then 99,900 m3 will need to be vitrified. Within LAW, it is assumed that (1) 79,900 m3 (21,120,000 gallons) is liquid that will be evaporated in DFLAW and must be treated as secondary waste, and (2) 20,000 m3 are solids. To these solids, about 79,900 m3 of glass-forming compounds (GFCs) are added to produce 99,900 m3 of immobilized LAW (ILAW) glass.
The Hanford Field Office of DOE-Environmental Management manages the WTP construction and operations contracts. The WTP includes the High-Level Waste (HLW) facility, the Pre-Treatment facility, the DFLAW facility (GAO, 2022), the Analytical Laboratory (LAB), and the Balance of Facilities (BOF, including TSCR). GAO (2026, p. 4) discusses the limitations of DFLAW: “this facility is only designed to treat about 60 percent of Hanford’s LAW, and DOE [has] not yet determined how it will treat the remaining 40 percent of the LAW,” hence the term “supplemental” LAW. GAO (2026, p. 14) also notes.
“However, one industry expert we interviewed stated that vitrifying 1 gallon of LAW could generate significantly more than 3 gallons of secondary waste that DOE would need to treat and dispose of. DOE officials explained that any plans to continue grouting waste must therefore also address the treatment and disposal of this additional waste stream.”
Because the liquid supernatant contains approximately 1 liter of liquid (1 kg) and 250 g of solids, the liquid evaporates upon contact with the molten glass. If no evaporation occurs after passing through the TSCR, there could be 3 to 4 liters of off-gas (steam and other gases) for each liter of LAW. Given these secondary wastes and the presence of hazardous chemicals, it is naïve to believe that liquid LAW could be shipped across several States and grouted offsite.
In late 2025, the DFLAW facility began vitrification, blending waste with molten glass at 1150 °C (2100 °F). According to Beaver (2026), “[T]he U.S. DOE has until Oct. 15, 2028, to have the facility running at 70% capacity, equivalent to producing 21 metric tons of vitrified waste per day, to meet a legally binding consent decree.” (The nominal capacity of DFLAW is 21 tonnes per day, but the expected capacity is only 15 tonnes per day.) This process not only stabilizes the waste but also destroys hazardous chemicals. Once fully operational in 2028, the facility is expected to fill about 1,100 stainless-steel canisters with vitrified waste annually. Each canister holds roughly 2.67 m3 (about 6 tonnes) of glass and will be disposed of onsite in the Integrated Disposal Facility (IDF).
The DFLAW setup includes two “300-ton” melters (the largest globally, approximately 6.1 meters by 9.1 meters and 4.9 meters high) and an off-gas treatment system. The “300-ton” label refers to the melter’s weight, including its refractory lining and steel casing, not its processing capacity. These are liquid-fed Joule-Heated Ceramic Melters (JHCM) that use submerged electrodes to pass current directly through the molten glass.
Suneel (2019) details this technology and compares it with the other vitrification methods at plants in
Table 2. In the 1970s, pilot plants tested batch vitrification at Marcoule, France (Vernazm and Bruezière, 2014). These pilot plants were scaled up at the Atelier de Vitrification de Marcoule in the late 1970s and at the R7 and T7 plants at La Hague in the late 1980s and 1990s. Plants at the West Valley Demonstration Project in New York and the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF) at the Savannah River Site began operations in 1996. In parallel, countries including Russia, India, the UK, Japan, and China adopted borosilicate glass matrices for high-level waste immobilization. More recently, Cold Crucible Induction Melters (CCIM) have been shown to handle higher temperatures and more corrosive waste streams.
To accelerate disposal at Hanford, the latest TPA envisions “grouting” (Rakhimova, 2022) to solidify supplemental LAW by mixing it with concrete-like materials for offsite disposal, e.g., at the Waste Control Specialists’ facility in Texas. (At present, the Clive Radioactive Waste Disposal Facility in Utah can only accept Class A radioactive waste.) In the scientific literature, grouting is referred to as “cementitious grouting,” and in documents such as PNNL and SRNL (2013), grout is referred to as “cast stone.” See NASEM (2023), which reviews Bates et al. (2023).
Yet there is disagreement over whether grouting is “as good as glass” (NASEM, 2019). Although the Washington State Department of Ecology does not consider grouting as effective as vitrification for long-term storage, particularly near the Columbia River and its associated water table, it has agreed in principle to grout supplemental LAW for off-site disposal. According to GAO (2026, p. 1), “DOE is pursuing options to grout about 24 million gallons [90,800 m3] of LAW ([plus] liquid added during the retrieval and pretreatment process) from 22 tanks in Hanford’s 200 West Area and dispose of this waste offsite by 2040, as outlined in the 2025 Holistic [TPA] Agreement.” Further, as noted in GAO (2026, p. 6),
“In general, such organics and nitrates—another hazardous contaminant of concern—could prevent grout from setting, thereby reducing the grout’s effectiveness. To address this, organics and nitrates will need to be destroyed using one of two processes—chemical treatment or a thermal, high-heat procedure—prior to grouting. Estimates from industry representatives we interviewed varied on the percentage of LAW in the 22 tanks that may require organic treatment, ranging from an estimated 5 percent to up to 33 percent.”
Vitrification requires keeping the melters operating continuously at 1150 °C for about five years (the melters are replaced every five years). In contrast, grouting occurs at room temperature (about 25 °C), and grout curing is exothermic. Grouting blends the liquid LAW with dry materials to produce a concrete-like product (in which gravel is replaced by recycled ground slag from steel production and sand is replaced by fly ash from coal combustion). Bates et al. (2023, p. 34) state, “The grout is poured into containers, assumed to be 10 yd3 [2,020 gallons or 7.7 m3, approximately 2m x 2m x 2m] steel boxes that can be disassembled and reused, each with a heavy-duty polypropylene bag liner.”
Before 2017, debates about grouting Hanford LAW generally assumed that vitrification would have a life-cycle cost of roughly $53 billion and that grouting would cost around $5.5 billion (see GAO, 2017, p. 40). The $40B estimate for the “Estimated operating cost for vitrification at Hanford” is accompanied by a footnote stating,
“DOE does not have an estimate for the cost to treat LAW. However, according to contractor estimates [Bechtel National, Inc., BNI], the cost for commissioning and operating the LAW facility and associated support systems is currently estimated at about $600 million per year… DOE is currently planning to begin operating the facility in 2022, and treatment is not expected to finish until 2061 (39 years) (about $20 billion total).”
Although the DFLAW facility did not begin operations until late 2025, it remains unclear whether the earlier estimates account for inflation, escalation, or discounting (Rothwell, 2025). However, the U.S. GAO (2023, p. 1) later re-estimated the cost of vitrification: “The Hanford Site in Washington State is one of the largest and most expensive environmental cleanup projects worldwide. We estimated in 2022 that the cleanup will cost between $300 billion and $640 billion and take decades.” DOE-RL (2019, p. D-14) estimated that “Radioactive Liquid Tank Waste Disposition” would cost $213.9 billion (see discussion in Rothwell, 2026). Congressional funding for fiscal year 2026 was $460 million.
Numerous estimates have been made to determine these costs. However, no analysis has been published on the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with vitrification or grouting LAW. Clayton et al. (2024) point out,
“This review analyses the landscape of life cycle assessment (LCA) within the nuclear sector, focusing on radioactive waste management, decommissioning, and disposal. A literature search yielded 225 journal articles plus additional grey literature, yet only eight relevant LCAs were identified.”
Of the articles cited by Clayton et al. (2024), only Nian et al. (2014) and Sheldon et al. (2015) discuss GHG emissions in commercial nuclear fuel cycles, and none discuss emissions from nuclear weapons fuel cycles.
The present paper seeks to address a small piece of this research gap by examining the carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) footprint of LAW immobilization at Hanford. Ideally, a complete LCA of Hanford tank waste would account for the environmental impacts of constructing treatment facilities, treating secondary waste forms, and long-term disposal. This initial comparison of LAW vitrification and grouting will focus on the CO2e footprint of facility operations and the production and transportation of inputs and outputs, assuming (for now) that vitrification and grouting facilities and infrastructures have similar carbon footprints.
Because vitrification has a carbon footprint 5 to 12 times larger than that of grouting (not considering the destruction of hazardous chemicals that could be present in grouted LAW), and because multiple estimates of carbon dioxide emissions per cubic meter of the inputs are found in the literature, the higher estimate is used when considering grout and the lower estimate is used when considering vitrification (unless otherwise indicated, as in Table 4, where averages are used).