Submitted:
29 June 2026
Posted:
01 July 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
1.1. Evolution of the Lipid-Centric Paradigm
1.2. The Evolution of Lipid Biomarkers: Why Has the Field Continued to Introduce New Biomarkers?
| Era | Dominant Biomarker | Why Introduced | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1960s | Total cholesterol | First epidemiologic marker | Poor specificity |
| 1980s | LDL-C | Better risk correlation | Discordance between LDL-C and events |
| 1990s | HDL-C | Protective association | Pharmacologic elevation failed to reduce events |
| 2000s | Non-HDL-C | Includes remnant lipoproteins | Still concentration-based |
| 2000s | ApoB | Reflects particle number | Does not distinguish particle biology |
| 2000s | LDL-P | Better estimate of particle burden | Measures exposure rather than pathogenic mechanism |
| 2010s | sdLDL | Captures particle quality | Strongly influenced by metabolic dysfunction |
| 2010s | oxLDL | Reflects oxidative modification | Downstream consequence of oxidative stress |
| 2010s–2020s | Lp(a) | Genetically determined inherited risk | Important causal contributor in selected populations but insufficient to explain most ASCVD |
- Why has the field repeatedly adopted new lipid biomarkers over the past six decades?
- What limitations of previous biomarkers prompted the introduction of each successive marker?
1.2.1. A Fundamental Observation
1.3. Prediction versus Causation
1.4. Objectives of This Review
- molecular biology
- physiology
- pathology
- epidemiology
- genetics
- randomized clinical trials
- physiological molecules
- biomarkers
- intermediate mechanisms
- possible root drivers
2. The Evolution of Lipid Biomarkers: Progressive Refinement or Progressive Clarification?
2.1. Total Cholesterol
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.2. LDL Cholesterol
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Mechanistic evidence
Clinical Evidence
Strengths
Limitations
Summary
2.3. HDL Cholesterol
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.4. Triglycerides
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining Controversies
Summary
2.5. Non-HDL Cholesterol
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.6. Apolipoprotein B
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.7. LDL Particle Number
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.8. Small Dense LDL
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.9. Oxidized LDL
Historical rationale
Biological basis
Supporting evidence
Limitations
Remaining controversies
Summary
2.10. Lipoprotein(a)
Historical rationale
Genetics
Mechanisms
Clinical Evidence
Current therapies
Remaining uncertainty
Summary
2.11. Summary of Chapter 2
3. Physiological Functions of Lipids and Lipoproteins
3.1. Evolutionary and Biological Rationale
3.2. Cholesterol as an Essential Structural Molecule
3.3. Lipoproteins as Physiological Transport Systems
3.4. Lipoproteins in Energy Metabolism
3.5. Lipoproteins and Reverse Cholesterol Transport
3.6. Lipids and Steroid Hormone Synthesis
3.7. Lipoproteins and Fat-Soluble Vitamin Transport
3.8. Lipoproteins in Innate Immunity and Host Defense
3.9. Lipoproteins and Oxidative Homeostasis
3.10. Lipoproteins in Tissue Maintenance and Repair
3.11. Physiological Adaptation of Lipoprotein Metabolism
3.12. Summary of Chapter 3
4. Lipoproteins in Atherosclerosis: Mechanistic Participation or Root Causation?
4.1. Endothelial Dysfunction and Increased Vascular Permeability
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.2. Lipoprotein Entry and Subendothelial Retention
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.3. Oxidative Modification of LDL
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.4. Macrophage Recruitment and Foam-Cell Formation
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.5. Chronic Vascular Inflammation
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.6. Immune Activation and Adaptive Responses
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.7. Smooth Muscle Cell Phenotypic Switching and Plaque Progression
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.8. Necrotic Core Formation and Defective Efferocytosis
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.9. Plaque Calcification
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.10. Plaque Rupture, Erosion, and Thrombosis
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
Key question
4.11. Mechanistic Synthesis
Summary table
| Mechanism | Evidence strength | Necessary for ASCVD? | Sufficient by itself? | Disease-architecture classification |
| Endothelial dysfunction | High | Often | No | Upstream biological process / possible root-level contributor |
| Lipoprotein retention | High | Likely important | No | Intermediate mechanism |
| LDL oxidation | High | Context-dependent | No | Intermediate mechanism / oxidative-stress biomarker |
| Foam-cell formation | High | Common feature | No | Downstream cellular manifestation |
| Vascular inflammation | High | Often | No | Biological process / intermediate mechanism |
| Immune activation | Moderate–high | Variable | No | Intermediate mechanism |
| VSMC phenotypic switching | High | Important for progression | No | Repair/remodeling mechanism |
| Necrotic core formation | High | Important in advanced plaques | No | Downstream pathological manifestation |
| Calcification | High | Common in chronic disease | No | Chronic remodeling / maladaptive repair |
| Plaque rupture/thrombosis | High for events | Necessary for many acute events | No | Terminal event mechanism |
5. Epidemiological Evidence: Risk Prediction, Association, and Residual Uncertainty
5.1. Early Population Studies and the Cholesterol–ASCVD Association
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.2. LDL-C and Population Risk
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.3. HDL-C: Strong Observational Association, Weak Causal Translation
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.4. Triglycerides and Remnant Cholesterol
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.5. Non-HDL-C, ApoB, and Particle Burden
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.6. LDL Particle Number and Discordance Studies
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.7. Small Dense LDL and Metabolic Risk
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.8. Oxidized LDL and Oxidative Risk
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.9. Lipoprotein(a): Epidemiology of an Inherited Risk Factor
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.10. Residual Risk Despite Lipid Risk Stratification
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.11. Epidemiological Discordance and the Limits of Single Biomarkers
Interpretation Within the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
5.12. Summary of Chapter 5
6.1. Clinical Intervention Evidence: What Can Intervention Trials Tell Us About Causality?
- Which lipid-modifying interventions have consistently reduced cardiovascular events?
- Which lipid hypotheses have been supported or challenged by randomized clinical trials?
- What do successful intervention trials demonstrate regarding the biological role of lipoproteins in ASCVD?
- Equally importantly, what conclusions cannot be drawn from intervention studies alone?
6.2. Statins
Mechanism of Action
Evidence from Landmark Randomized Trials
Beyond LDL Lowering: Pleiotropic Effects
Relative Risk Reduction Versus Absolute Benefit
Residual Cardiovascular Risk
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.3. Ezetimibe
Mechanism of Action
Clinical Evidence
- Relative risk reduction: approximately 6.4%
- Absolute risk reduction: approximately 2.0%
- Number needed to treat (NNT): approximately 50 over seven years
Interpretation of IMPROVE-IT
Residual Cardiovascular Risk
- persistent vascular inflammation;
- elevated lipoprotein(a);
- thrombosis;
- endothelial dysfunction;
- insulin resistance and metabolic syndrome;
- hypertension;
- chronic kidney disease;
- oxidative stress;
- impaired vascular repair;
- genetic susceptibility.
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.4. PCSK9 Inhibitors
Mechanism of Action
FOURIER Trial
- Relative risk reduction of the primary endpoint: 15%
- Relative risk reduction of the key secondary endpoint: 20%
- Absolute risk reduction: approximately 1.5%
- Number needed to treat (NNT): approximately 67 over 2.2 years
ODYSSEY OUTCOMES Trial
- Relative risk reduction: approximately 15%
- Absolute risk reduction: approximately 1.6%
- Greater benefit was observed among patients with the highest baseline LDL-C concentrations.
Lessons from Human Genetics
Residual Cardiovascular Risk
- chronic vascular inflammation;
- elevated lipoprotein(a);
- thrombosis;
- endothelial dysfunction;
- insulin resistance;
- hypertension;
- diabetes mellitus;
- chronic kidney disease;
- oxidative stress;
- impaired vascular repair.
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.5. Inclisiran
Mechanism of Action
LDL-Cholesterol Lowering
- ApoB
- non-HDL cholesterol
- total cholesterol
- lipoprotein(a) (modest reduction of approximately 15–25%)
Current Outcome Evidence
Advantages and Limitations
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.6. Niacin
Historical rationale
Mechanism of Action
- LDL-C reduction: 10–20%
- Triglyceride reduction: 20–40%
- HDL-C increase: 15–35%
- Lp(a) reduction: 20–30%
Early Clinical Evidence
The Statin Era: AIM-HIGH and HPS2-THRIVE
Implications for the HDL Hypothesis
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.7. Fibrates
Historical rationale
Mechanism of Action
- increased lipoprotein lipase activity;
- enhanced clearance of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins;
- reduced hepatic VLDL production;
- increased fatty acid oxidation;
- modest increases in HDL-C through increased ApoA-I and ApoA-II synthesis.
- triglyceride reduction: 30–50%
- HDL-C increase: 5–15%
- modest LDL-C reduction (variable depending on baseline triglycerides).
Early Clinical Trials
Diabetes Trials
- triglycerides ≥204 mg/dL; and
- HDL-C ≤34 mg/dL.
PROMINENT Trial
Interpretation of the Fibrate Trials
- hypertriglyceridemia,
- low HDL-C,
- insulin resistance,
- obesity,
- metabolic syndrome,
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.8. Omega-3 Fatty Acid Trials
Historical rationale
Mechanisms of Action
- reduce production of pro-inflammatory eicosanoids;
- generate specialized pro-resolving mediators (resolvins, protectins, maresins);
- improve endothelial function;
- reduce oxidative stress;
- stabilize atherosclerotic plaques;
- decrease platelet activation;
Early Clinical Trials
REDUCE-IT
- triglycerides decreased by approximately 18%;
- primary cardiovascular endpoint reduced by 25% relative risk;
- absolute risk reduction approximately 4.8%;
- number needed to treat (NNT): approximately 21.
STRENGTH
- purified EPA versus EPA/DHA mixtures;
- differences in placebo selection (mineral oil versus corn oil);
- differences in achieved plasma EPA concentrations;
- biological differences between EPA and DHA;
- non-lipid pleiotropic effects of EPA.
Interpretation of Omega-3 Trials
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.9. CETP Inhibitors
Historical rationale
Mechanism of Action
- HDL-C increase: 60–140%
- LDL-C reduction: 15–40%, depending on the agent
- modest reductions in ApoB and non-HDL cholesterol
Torcetrapib: A Major Setback
Dalcetrapib and Evacetrapib
Anacetrapib: A More Complex Result
- increased HDL-C by approximately 104%;
- reduced non-HDL cholesterol by approximately 18%;
- reduced LDL-C by approximately 17%.
Lessons from CETP Inhibitor Trials
HDL Function Versus HDL Concentration
- reverse cholesterol transport;
- antioxidant activity;
- anti-inflammatory signaling;
- endothelial protection;
- nitric oxide preservation;
- immune regulation;
- modulation of thrombosis.
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.10. Lipoprotein(a)-Lowering Therapies: The Next Major Test of the Lipid Hypothesis
Background
Why Conventional Lipid Therapies Are Insufficient
Antisense Oligonucleotide Therapy
Small Interfering RNA (siRNA) Therapies
Olpasiran
Current State of Clinical Evidence
- remarkable biochemical efficacy;
- excellent target specificity;
- favorable safety profiles in early studies.
Integrative Systems Medicine Interpretation
6.11. What Clinical Intervention Trials Demonstrate
| Intervention | Biomarker changed | Outcome benefit | Does it support t he lipid hypothesis? |
Does it prove root causation? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statins | LDL-C ↓ | Yes | Strongly | No |
| Ezetimibe | LDL-C ↓ | Modestly | Yes | No |
| PCSK9 inhibitors | LDL-C ↓↓↓ | Yes | Strongly | No |
| Inclisiran | LDL-C ↓↓↓ | Outcomes pending | Pending | No |
| Niacin | HDL ↑, TG ↓ | No | Weakens HDL hypothesis | No |
| Fibrates | TG ↓ | Mixed | Context-dependent | No |
| Omega-3 (EPA) | TG ↓ | Mixed/positive | Suggests broader mechanisms | No |
| CETP inhibitors | HDL ↑↑ | Mostly no | Refutes HDL-C hypothesis | No |
| Lp(a) therapies | Lp(a) ↓↓↓ | Outcomes pending | Pending | Not yet |
6.12. What Clinical Intervention Trials Do Not Demonstrate
7. An Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework for Root Cause Analysis of ASCVD
7.1. From the Lipid-Centric Paradigm to the Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework
- Root drivers, initiating disease;
- Intermediate pathogenic mechanisms, propagating disease;
- Biomarkers, reflecting disease activity; or
- Clinical manifestations, representing downstream consequences.
| Lipid / Lipoprotein Marker | Primary Physiological Role | Best Classified As | Role in Disease Architecture | Root Cause? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Cholesterol (TC) | Total circulating cholesterol | Biomarker | Population-level risk indicator | No |
| LDL-C | Cholesterol carried by LDL particles | Exposure biomarker | Major therapeutic target; reflects cholesterol exposure | No |
| Non-HDL-C | Total cholesterol in ApoB-containing lipoproteins | Exposure biomarker | Integrated measure of atherogenic cholesterol burden | No |
| Apolipoprotein B (ApoB) | Number of circulating atherogenic lipoprotein particles | Exposure biomarker | Best measure of cumulative ApoB particle exposure | No |
| LDL Particle Number (LDL-P) | Number of LDL particles | Exposure biomarker | Quantifies atherogenic particle burden | No |
| Small Dense LDL (sdLDL) | Highly atherogenic LDL subfraction | Intermediate pathogenic mechanism | Increased arterial retention and susceptibility to oxidation | No |
| Oxidized LDL (oxLDL) | Oxidatively modified LDL | Intermediate pathogenic mechanism | Promotes endothelial activation, foam-cell formation, and inflammation | No |
| Triglycerides (TG) | Transport of metabolic energy | Biomarker of metabolic dysfunction | Reflects insulin resistance and triglyceride-rich lipoprotein metabolism | No |
| HDL-C | Cholesterol within HDL particles | Biomarker of metabolic/vascular health | Marker of HDL metabolism; HDL-C concentration does not necessarily reflect HDL function | No |
| Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] | Genetically determined ApoB-containing lipoprotein carrying apo(a) | Partial upstream causal contributor | Inherited risk factor with pro-inflammatory, pro-atherogenic, and pro-thrombotic properties | Partial |
7.2. Reclassification of Lipid Biomarkers
7.3. Integrative and Systems Medicine Framework for ASCVD
7.4. Implications
8. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
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