4. Discussion
The present study evaluated the effects of oral dutasteride and three different doses of oral minoxidil (1, 2.5, and 5 mg/day) on carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) and CIMT-derived vascular age in a randomized cohort of healthy young subjects. The principal and most clinically significant finding is that oral minoxidil at 5 mg/day was associated with statistically significant increases in right CIMT, maximum CIMT, and CIMT-derived vascular age within the study follow-up period, a pattern not observed in subjects receiving dutasteride, who instead exhibited a consistent, although non-significant, trend toward CIMT reduction across all measured vascular parameters. To our knowledge, this represents one of the first randomized pharmacological studies to systematically assess subclinical vascular structural effects of low-dose oral minoxidil at doses currently in widespread clinical use for androgenetic alopecia, constituting a timely and clinically relevant pharmacovigilance contribution.
The choice of CIMT as the primary vascular outcome measure in this study is based on a robust body of epidemiological and clinical evidence. As a non-invasive ultrasonographic parameter, CIMT reflects the cumulative structural consequence of hemodynamic, metabolic, and inflammatory stressors acting on the arterial wall, providing an integrative, reproducible, and validated readout of subclinical vascular injury [
10]. The Mannheim Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Plaque Consensus, now in its fourth iteration, has provided internationally accepted measurement protocols, quality criteria, and reference values that anchor the clinical interpretation of CIMT data in both population and pharmacological studies [
10]. The well-known meta-analysis by Lorenz et al., which pooled data from prospective cohort studies enrolling over 37,000 subjects, demonstrated that each 0.1 mm increment in common carotid CIMT is independently associated with a 15-20% relative increase in the risk of myocardial infarction and a 13-18% relative increase in stroke risk [
11]. These associations were further corroborated by Polak and colleagues in the Framingham Heart Study offspring cohort, who confirmed that CIMT-based vascular assessment improves cardiovascular risk reclassification beyond traditional Framingham risk scoring [
12]. Notably, the value of CIMT as an outcome measure extends to young populations: the landmark Bogalusa Heart Study established that subclinical arterial pathology, reflected as fatty streak burden in coronary and aortic vessels at autopsy, correlated significantly with classic cardiovascular risk factors measurable during life in children and young adults [
13], highlighting the capacity of early vascular measurements to capture pharmacologically relevant changes long before clinical events manifest.
The four intervention groups were well balanced at baseline across all anthropometric and vascular variables assessed, confirming the validity and adequacy of the randomization procedure. No statistically significant between-group differences were observed in body weight, height, body mass index, right CIMT, left CIMT, maximum CIMT, or vascular age at baseline, with p-values ranging from 0.077 to 0.749. It is noteworthy, however, that baseline CIMT values across groups ranging from 471 to 546 µm for right CIMT and from 491 to 537 µm for left CIMT reflect the substantial physiological interindividual variability in carotid wall thickness that characterizes even apparently healthy adult populations, as documented in large cohort studies [
4,
16]. The Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study, for instance, demonstrated that carotid wall thickness in young adults is significantly modified by the cumulative exposure to cardiovascular risk factors during childhood and adolescence, even in the absence of clinically overt disease [
4]. The wide standard deviations observed at baseline in the present study are therefore biologically expected and were addressed methodologically through within-group longitudinal analysis and calculation of absolute deltas (Δ = final − baseline) as the primary strategy, which maximizes sensitivity to individual-level pharmacological effects.
While dutasteride produced a consistent, directionally uniform trend toward CIMT reduction across all four vascular outcome variables (Δ = −21 ± 79 µm for right CIMT, Δ = −15 ± 113 µm for left CIMT, Δ = −30 ± 84 µm for maximum CIMT, and Δ = −4.4 ± 17.5 years for vascular age), none of these deltas achieved individual statistical significance, attributable in part to the small sample size and the intrinsically wide interindividual variability in CIMT measurements; nonetheless, the biological coherence and directional consistency of the findings warrant careful mechanistic consideration. Dutasteride is a dual type 1 and type 2 5α-reductase inhibitor that, at the standard therapeutic dose of 0.5 mg/day, achieves suppression of serum DHT exceeding 90% from baseline [
18], a degree of androgen suppression notably greater than that produced by finasteride, which selectively inhibits only the type 2 isoform and reduces DHT by approximately 65-70% [
14]. DHT, the most potent endogenous androgen, acts through androgen receptors expressed on vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs), endothelial cells, and macrophages within the arterial wall. Through these receptors, DHT modulates gene transcription programs leading to VSMC proliferation, extracellular matrix deposition, and vascular inflammatory tone [
15]. Androgen receptor signaling in VSMCs has been shown to regulate the expression of key pro-fibrotic mediators including transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) and platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF), both of which are central to the cellular cascades underlying intimal thickening and early arteriosclerotic remodeling [
14]. Furthermore, androgen-mediated upregulation of VEGF in endothelial cells has been shown to promote VSMC proliferation through a paracrine mechanism [
8]. By achieving near-complete suppression of DHT across both 5α-reductase isoforms, dutasteride may attenuate these androgen-driven pro-remodeling pathways in the arterial wall, providing a plausible biological mechanism for the observed trend toward CIMT stability or modest reduction. These observations are consistent with emerging evidence that androgen modulation influences vascular phenotype in men, though the directionality and clinical magnitude of such effects in non-hypogonadal subjects participating in androgenetic alopecia pharmacotherapy, as opposed to castration or androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer, remain incompletely defined and warrant further investigation.
In remarkable contrast to dutasteride, oral minoxidil at 5 mg/day produced statistically significant within-group increases in right CIMT (471 ± 78 vs. 555 ± 87 µm; p < 0.05), maximum CIMT (509 ± 79 vs. 575 ± 76 µm; p < 0.05), and CIMT-derived vascular age (35.9 ± 15.2 vs. 48.2 ± 14.9 years; p < 0.05), as assessed by the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The delta analysis corroborated and extended these within-group findings at the between-group level: the right CIMT delta of the minoxidil 5 mg group (Δ = +79 ± 57 µm) was significantly greater than that of the dutasteride group (Δ = −21 ± 79 µm; p < 0.05, Mann-Whitney U test), and this difference survived the overall Kruskal-Wallis between-group comparison for right CIMT (p = 0.032). Post hoc pairwise analysis further confirmed that the maximum CIMT delta (Δ = +67 ± 45 µm vs. −30 ± 84 µm; p < 0.05) and vascular age delta (Δ = +12 ± 8 years vs. −4.4 ± 17.5 years; p < 0.05) of the minoxidil 5 mg group were significantly greater than those of the dutasteride group, despite the overall between-group comparisons for these two variables not reaching conventional significance thresholds (p = 0.077 and p = 0.188, respectively), a pattern most plausibly explained by the limited statistical power available after accounting for the degrees of freedom across four groups when modest sample sizes are included, as in the present study.
Interpreting the vascular structural effects of oral minoxidil at this dose requires a detailed understanding of its molecular pharmacology. Minoxidil is a piperidino-pyrimidine derivative that, after hepatic sulfation to its active form, minoxidil sulfate, opens ATP-sensitive potassium (KATP) channels in the plasma membrane of vascular smooth muscle cells [
19]. The consequent potassium efflux hyperpolarizes the VSMC membrane, inhibits voltage-gated L-type calcium channels, reduces cytosolic calcium concentration, promotes myosin light-chain dephosphorylation, and produces marked arteriolar vasodilation [
9].
At the doses used in the treatment of refractory hypertension, classically 5 to 40 mg/day, this vasodilation is powerful and well-characterized, but it invariably triggers a cascade of hemodynamic counterregulatory responses that act directly on vascular structure. Baroreceptor unloading secondary to the drop in peripheral vascular resistance activates the sympathetic nervous system, increasing heart rate, cardiac output, and circulating catecholamines [
9]. Simultaneously, decreased renal perfusion pressure and direct sympathoadrenal stimulation of the juxtaglomerular apparatus activate the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS), with consequent increases in circulating angiotensin II and aldosterone [
9]. Even at the 5 mg/day dose used in dermatological practice, these homeostatic responses, though attenuated relative to antihypertensive doses, may be sufficient to induce vascular structural changes in susceptible individuals over the course of a pharmacological follow-up period.
A complementary mechanism through which minoxidil may promote adverse vascular remodeling involves its capacity to upregulate vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) expression. Minoxidil has been shown to dose-dependently stimulate VEGF mRNA and protein expression in human dermal papilla cells, likely through downstream signaling cascades activated by KATP channel opening and associated alterations in intracellular calcium dynamics [
20]. VEGF is canonically recognized as the primary driver of physiological and pathological angiogenesis, but its role in VSMC biology extends beyond the regulation of new vessel formation: at supraphysiological concentrations or in the context of concurrent pro-inflammatory signaling, VEGF potently stimulates VSMC proliferation and migration through receptors expressed on the smooth muscle cell surface [
20]. Furthermore, the active metabolite of minoxidil, minoxidil sulfate, produced by cytosolic sulfotransferases within VSMCs, may exert direct intracellular proliferative effects through mechanisms partly independent of KATP channel activation, as suggested by studies demonstrating that cells deficient in sulfotransferase activity show attenuated, but not absent, mitogenic responses to minoxidil [
5]. Whether this direct proliferative pathway contributes meaningfully to CIMT changes at the doses assessed in the present study remains to be established, but it cannot be excluded as an additional mechanism amplifying the effects of the sympathoadrenal and RAAS-mediated remodeling pathways.
One of the most compelling features of the present dataset is the clear dose-response relationship observed across the three oral minoxidil treatment groups for right CIMT and maximum CIMT deltas. For right CIMT, the mean deltas were −28 µm (1 mg group), +39 µm (2.5 mg group), and +79 µm (5 mg group), representing a progressive, near-linear gradient with escalating dose. A closely parallel pattern was observed for maximum CIMT: Δ = +20 µm (1 mg), Δ = +57 µm (2.5 mg), Δ = +67 µm (5 mg). A dose-response gradient of this nature substantially strengthens the causal inference linking minoxidil to the adverse vascular structural changes, as it satisfies one of the classical Bradford Hill criteria for establishing pharmacological causality in observational and quasi-experimental designs. The apparent threshold between a neutral or potentially beneficial CIMT trajectory, as suggested by the non-significant negative delta at 1 mg, and a deleterious trajectory appears to lie somewhere between 1 and 2.5 mg/day, though the limited sample size at the 1 mg dose level (only four completers) prevents a precise pharmacodynamic threshold determination. This observation is of immediate practical relevance to the dermatological community, where doses between 0.25 and 5 mg/day are actively debated as the optimal range for oral minoxidil treatment of androgenetic alopecia in men [
6,
7].
The CIMT-derived vascular age analysis merits particular emphasis within the broader context of cardiovascular aging biology. The concept of vascular age, operationalized through validated algorithms that translate carotid CIMT measurements into an estimate of biologically equivalent chronological vascular age, provides a clinically interpretable metric for communicating the cardiovascular significance of structural arterial changes to clinicians and patients alike [
4,
16]. Lakatta and Levy, in their review of arterial and cardiac aging, described how cumulative exposure to hemodynamic, inflammatory, and metabolic stressors accelerates the structural remodeling of the arterial wall, including intimal thickening, medial calcification, and loss of elastic fiber integrity, producing a vascular phenotype that is biologically older than the individual’s chronological age [
16]. The observation in the present study that subjects in the minoxidil 5 mg group experienced a mean increase in CIMT-derived vascular age equivalent to approximately 12 chronological years over the follow-up period is particularly notable when considered against the young and ostensibly healthy profile of the study population. An accelerated vascular aging signal of this magnitude in young individuals receiving a drug primarily for a cosmetic indication such as androgenetic alopecia raises important questions about the risk-benefit balance of high-dose oral minoxidil treatment and underscores the need for prospective long-term cardiovascular surveillance in this patient population. Arterial stiffness, a related but distinct vascular aging biomarker, has been shown to independently predict cardiovascular mortality in multiple large prospective studies [
23], and it is plausible that the structural CIMT changes documented here may foreshadow or develop in parallel with functional vascular aging changes that carry direct prognostic significance.
The clinical implications of the present findings must be interpreted in the context of the rapidly growing use of oral low-dose minoxidil for androgenetic alopecia worldwide. Following early reports and subsequent randomized evidence demonstrating superior hair regrowth efficacy of oral minoxidil compared to topical formulations in both male and female pattern hair loss [
5,
6], oral minoxidil has achieved broad adoption in dermatological practice with a favorable perceived safety profile at low doses. The cardiovascular safety profile reported in published clinical trials to date has been predominantly reassuring for symptomatic adverse events, with fluid retention, peripheral edema, and reflex tachycardia documented at low frequencies and typically manageable with dose reduction [
7]. However, these trials have uniformly relied on self-reported symptomatic outcomes and basic clinical monitoring, without systematic assessment of subclinical vascular structural endpoints such as CIMT or arterial stiffness [
5,
6,
7]. The present study addresses this critical gap in the evidence base. The demonstration that oral minoxidil at 5 mg/day, the dose most commonly prescribed for male androgenetic alopecia in clinical practice, produces measurable adverse changes in carotid arterial wall structure over the study follow-up period in young, healthy subjects should prompt a reassessment of cardiovascular monitoring recommendations for patients receiving this treatment. At minimum, although not always accessible as routine practice, a baseline CIMT measurement and periodic cardiovascular assessment appear warranted in men prescribed 5 mg/day oral minoxidil for alopecia, particularly those with additional cardiovascular risk factors or elevated baseline CIMT values.
Direct comparative pharmacological data on the vascular structural effects of minoxidil at doses used for alopecia are largely absent from the existing literature, making the present study genuinely novel in its contribution. Prior cardiovascular safety data for minoxidil predominantly derive from its antihypertensive use at doses of 5 to 40 mg/day, where pericardial effusion, significant fluid retention requiring diuretic co-administration, and marked reflex tachycardia necessitating concurrent beta-adrenergic blockade are well-recognized class effects [
7,
8]. At these higher doses, the structural cardiovascular sequelae have been attributed to the intense degree of sympathoadrenal and RAAS activation described above; our data suggest that even at the 5 mg dose used in dermatological practice, the magnitude of these neurohormonal responses may be sufficient to initiate measurable arterial wall remodeling in the short term. Meanwhile, in the cardiovascular pharmacological literature, data from prostate cancer prevention and benign prostatic hyperplasia treatment trials in older populations, often with established cardiovascular comorbidities and frequently under concomitant cardioprotective pharmacotherapy, make direct extrapolation to young, healthy men receiving low-dose dutasteride for alopecia inappropriate. The present study provides the first pharmacologically controlled vascular data for dutasteride in this specific clinical population and demonstrates that, at least over the study follow-up period, dutasteride does not adversely affect and may modestly benefit carotid arterial wall structure in young healthy men.
4.1. Limitations
Several limitations of the present study must be acknowledged in the interpretation of its findings. First, the modest sample sizes across groups, particularly the minoxidil 1 mg group, which was reduced to four completers at the final assessment, substantially constrain the statistical power available for between-group comparisons and limit the precision of effect size estimates, as reflected in the wide standard deviations of the delta values. Second, the absence of a placebo control arm precludes the formal exclusion of regression to the mean or non-pharmacological temporal trends in CIMT as contributors to the observed changes; however, the internal consistency of the dose-response gradient and the directional divergence between dutasteride and minoxidil groups argue against a non-causal interpretation. Third, the study was conducted in healthy young male subjects specifically selected to be free of cardiovascular risk factors, which, while necessary to isolate the pharmacological effects of the study drugs, limits the generalizability of findings to populations with androgenetic alopecia who may differ in cardiovascular risk profile, hormonal milieu, renal function, or concomitant medication use. Fourth, the absence of concurrent measurement of blood pressure, heart rate, serum testosterone and DHT levels, RAAS biomarkers (plasma renin activity, aldosterone), inflammatory markers, and endothelial function (flow-mediated dilation) prevents the mechanistic attribution of observed CIMT changes to specific pharmacodynamic pathways and represents a significant limitation for understanding the causal chain linking drug exposure to vascular structural change. Finally, the duration of follow-up, while sufficient to detect statistically significant within-group changes at the 5 mg minoxidil dose, may not capture the full trajectory of vascular remodeling that would be expected to develop during the months to years of continuous treatment that characterize real-world alopecia pharmacotherapy, raising the possibility that the observed changes represent only an early signal of a more substantial long-term adverse vascular effect.