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Smart Prediction Framework for Strength Performance of Basalt Fiber-Reinforced Bentonite

Submitted:

18 June 2026

Posted:

18 June 2026

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Abstract
This study proposes a Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) method for estimating the compressive strength of soil mixtures containing bentonite and basalt fibers. GPR is a preferred probabilistic machine learning approach, especially for limited datasets, due to its high generalization ability and its ability to directly calculate prediction uncertainty. In this study, experimentally obtained bentonite and basalt fiber ratio values were used as input parameters of the model, and unconfined compressive strength (qu) was determined as the output variable. Model performance was evaluated using the Leave-One-Out Cross Validation (LOOCV) method. The performance of the proposed GPR model was evaluated with various metrics. Accordingly, the values of the MAE, RMSE, and R2 metrics of the model were calculated as 3.6%, 5.2%, and 0.955, respectively. The results show that the GPR model provides high prediction accuracy and is a reliable prediction tool for small datasets. Furthermore, the prediction surfaces and uncertainty analyses obtained by the model contributed to a better understanding of the effect of mixture parameters on compressive strength.
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