4. Discussion
4.1. Principal Findings
In this six-year retrospective cohort of neurological intensive care admission episodes, infectious complications were strongly associated with in-hospital mortality. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 18.1%, while more than one-third of the cohort had at least one documented infectious complication. Pneumonia was the most frequent infection phenotype and represented the dominant infectious predictor of death. It remained independently associated with in-hospital mortality in the primary multivariable model, in the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)-adjusted sensitivity model, and in the COVID-related sensitivity analyses. Sepsis-related coding identified a smaller but particularly high-risk subgroup and showed the strongest adjusted association with mortality. By contrast, urinary tract infection and pressure sore or pressure sore-related infection were associated with death in unadjusted analyses but did not remain independent predictors after multivariable adjustment (1), (3), (6), (5), (15).
These findings support three main interpretations. First, infectious complications are not merely descriptive hospital-course events in neurological intensive care, but are associated with clinically meaningful mortality differences. Second, not all infection phenotypes carry the same prognostic weight: pneumonia and sepsis-related coding appear to identify a more severe mortality-risk signal than urinary tract infection or pressure sore-related infection. Third, the association between infection and mortality persisted after adjustment for neurological severity in the GCS-available subset, suggesting that the infection–mortality relationship was not explained solely by baseline neurological impairment (1), (3), (6), (5), (15).
The incremental model analysis further strengthens this interpretation. Adding individual infectious complications to clinical-only models improved discrimination and model fit both in the primary cohort and in the GCS-available subset. This suggests that infectious complications provide additional prognostic information beyond demographic characteristics, neurological diagnosis, comorbidity burden, and, where available, initial GCS. From a clinical standpoint, these findings reinforce the importance of systematic infection surveillance and early recognition of infectious deterioration in neurological intensive care practice (16), (17), (18).
4.2. Pneumonia as the Dominant Infectious Predictor of Mortality
Pneumonia was the most important infectious complication in the present study, both in terms of frequency and adjusted association with in-hospital mortality. This finding is consistent with previous literature showing that pneumonia is one of the leading healthcare-associated infections in neurological ICUs and one of the most clinically consequential infectious complications after acute stroke (1), (3), (6), (8), (10), (19). In the present cohort, pneumonia was associated with markedly higher crude mortality and remained an independent predictor after adjustment for demographic factors, neurological diagnosis, comorbidities, and other infection variables.
The strong mortality signal associated with pneumonia is biologically and clinically plausible in neurocritical care. Patients with severe neurological injury frequently have impaired swallowing, reduced cough reflex, altered consciousness, aspiration risk, mechanical ventilation exposure, immobility, and impaired airway clearance. These factors create a particularly favorable context for lower respiratory tract infection. At the same time, pneumonia may amplify neurological and systemic deterioration through hypoxemia, systemic inflammation, fever, hemodynamic instability, increased metabolic demand, and delayed rehabilitation. Therefore, pneumonia may function both as a consequence of neurological severity and as an active contributor to clinical deterioration (8), (9), (10), (19), (20), (21).
The present findings also align with the stroke-associated pneumonia literature. The Pneumonia in Stroke Consensus Group emphasized that lower respiratory tract infections after stroke require standardized terminology and diagnostic criteria because clinical and radiological interpretation may be difficult in neurologically impaired patients (8). The PISCES recommendations further highlighted the complexity of antibiotic treatment decisions in stroke-associated pneumonia, where the risks of delayed treatment must be balanced against diagnostic uncertainty and antimicrobial stewardship (9). More recent meta-analytic evidence confirms that post-stroke pneumonia is associated not only with increased in-hospital mortality but also with longer-term mortality and worse functional outcomes (10). Although the present study was not limited to stroke-associated pneumonia and included a broader neurological ICU cohort, the persistence of pneumonia as an independent predictor of mortality is consistent with this wider evidence base (6), (8), (9), (10), (19), (20), (21).
An important aspect of the present study is that the pneumonia–mortality association was not explained exclusively by COVID-related pneumonia. Non-COVID pneumonia remained strongly associated with mortality after exclusion of COVID-related pneumonia cases and in models separating non-COVID pneumonia from COVID-related pneumonia. This is clinically relevant because it indicates that the observed pneumonia signal reflects a broader neurocritical care phenomenon rather than only a pandemic-era effect. Pneumonia should therefore remain a central target for surveillance, prevention, early diagnosis, and treatment in neurological ICU populations beyond the specific context of COVID-19 (1), (8), (9), (10), (19), (20), (21).
4.3. Sepsis-Related Coding and Systemic Infectious Deterioration
Sepsis-related coding showed the strongest adjusted association with in-hospital mortality in the present cohort. This finding should not be interpreted as evidence that formally adjudicated sepsis per se was measured in this cohort; rather, the variable captures routine clinical documentation suggestive of severe infection-related systemic deterioration. Although sepsis-related documentation was less frequent than pneumonia or urinary tract infection, it identified a subgroup with very high crude mortality and remained independently associated with death in the primary, GCS-adjusted, and COVID-related sensitivity models. This pattern suggests that sepsis-related coding captured a severe systemic infectious phenotype rather than a simple infection label (22), (23).
This finding should be interpreted carefully. In this retrospective database, sepsis was not formally adjudicated using standardized criteria, organ dysfunction scoring, microbiological confirmation, source-control data, or precise timing of infectious onset. Therefore, the variable was deliberately analyzed and described as “sepsis-related coding” rather than as formally adjudicated sepsis. This distinction is important because contemporary sepsis definitions emphasize life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection, which requires clinical and physiological information that may not be uniformly available in routine retrospective datasets (22).
Nevertheless, the strong association between sepsis-related coding and mortality is clinically meaningful. In neurological ICU patients, systemic infectious deterioration may be especially difficult to separate from neurological decline, sedation, impaired consciousness, dysautonomia, or respiratory failure. When sepsis-related wording appears in routine documentation, it may therefore represent advanced systemic deterioration, high clinician concern, or a severe infection phenotype. The high adjusted odds ratios observed in the present study support the use of sepsis-related coding as a high-risk marker, while also emphasizing the need for caution in causal interpretation (22), (23).
Future studies should attempt to validate sepsis-related events prospectively using standardized sepsis definitions, infection source adjudication, organ dysfunction scores, microbiological data, and timing of onset. Such work would help distinguish whether the excess mortality associated with sepsis-related coding reflects infection severity itself, delayed recognition, baseline neurological severity, systemic organ failure, or a combination of these mechanisms (22), (23).
4.4. Urinary Tract Infection and Pressure Sore-Related Infection: Unadjusted Versus Adjusted Associations
Urinary tract infection and pressure sore or pressure sore-related infection were more frequent among patients who died in unadjusted analyses, but neither remained independently associated with in-hospital mortality after multivariable adjustment. This distinction is important. The crude associations suggest that these complications occur more often in patients with worse hospital-course trajectories, but the adjusted models suggest that their apparent mortality relationship may be largely explained by age, neurological diagnosis, comorbidity burden, concurrent infections, and overall clinical severity (11), (12), (24).
Urinary tract infection is common in neurological patients because of bladder dysfunction, reduced mobility, older age, comorbid disease, and urinary catheter exposure (11). In clinical practice, urinary tract infection may contribute to fever, delirium, systemic inflammatory response, prolonged hospitalization, and increased care complexity. However, compared with pneumonia and sepsis-related coding, urinary tract infection may less often represent a direct driver of early in-hospital death, particularly after adjustment for other predictors. The present findings are consistent with this interpretation: urinary tract infection showed a statistically significant unadjusted association with death, but not an independent adjusted association (11).
A similar interpretation applies to pressure sore and pressure sore-related infection. Pressure injuries are clinically important complications of immobility, critical illness, impaired perfusion, nutritional vulnerability, and prolonged care dependency. Large ICU-level data have shown that pressure injuries are common in adult ICU patients and that increasing pressure injury severity is associated with mortality (12). In the present study, pressure sore or pressure sore-related infection was associated with substantially higher crude mortality, but this association was attenuated after adjustment. This suggests that pressure sore-related documentation may operate as a marker of frailty, immobility, prolonged severity, and complex hospital course rather than as an independent mortality predictor in the available model (12), (24).
These findings should not be interpreted as minimizing the clinical importance of urinary tract infection or pressure sore-related infection. Both complications remain relevant for patient comfort, quality of care, antimicrobial use, nursing workload, rehabilitation delay, and institutional infection-prevention programs. Rather, the results indicate that, in this mortality-focused analysis, pneumonia and sepsis-related coding carried a more robust independent association with death than urinary tract infection or pressure sore-related infection (11), (12), (24).
4.5. Neurological Severity, GCS, and Robustness of the Infection–Mortality Signal
Neurological severity is a major determinant of outcome in neurocritical care and represents an essential potential confounder in analyses of infectious complications. Patients with lower consciousness levels are more likely to aspirate, require airway support, remain immobilized, receive invasive devices, and develop infectious complications. At the same time, they are also more likely to die because of the severity of the primary neurological insult. For this reason, evaluating whether infection-related associations persist after adjustment for neurological severity is methodologically important (1), (8), (25).
In the present study, initial GCS was available in approximately half of the cohort and was therefore not included in the primary model. This decision preserved almost the full cohort for the main analysis and avoided restricting the primary conclusions to a subset with available neurological severity data. However, a dedicated GCS-adjusted sensitivity model was performed. As expected, initial GCS was strongly and independently associated with mortality, with higher GCS values corresponding to lower odds of death. This confirms the clinical validity of GCS as a marker of neurological severity in this cohort (25).
Importantly, pneumonia and sepsis-related coding remained independently associated with in-hospital mortality after adding GCS to the model. The effect estimates were attenuated compared with the primary model, which is expected because part of the infection risk is linked to neurological severity. However, the associations remained strong and statistically significant. This supports the robustness of the main finding: the prognostic relevance of pneumonia and sepsis-related coding was not explained solely by impaired consciousness or baseline neurological severity (1), (8), (22), (25).
The GCS-adjusted model also showed improved discrimination compared with the primary model, which is consistent with the importance of neurological severity in mortality prediction. However, because GCS was missing in a substantial proportion of records, this model should be interpreted as a sensitivity analysis rather than as the primary analytical framework. The concordance between the primary and GCS-adjusted models strengthens the internal consistency of the study findings (16), (17), (18), (25).
4.6. Incremental Prognostic Value of Infectious Complications
Beyond the adjusted associations of individual infection variables, the incremental model analysis showed that infectious complications improved mortality risk stratification when added to clinical-only models. In the primary cohort, the inclusion of individual infectious complications increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, improved McFadden pseudo-R², and substantially reduced the Akaike information criterion. A similar pattern was observed in the GCS-available subset, despite the already strong predictive contribution of neurological severity. These findings suggest that infectious complications provide prognostic information that is not fully captured by demographic characteristics, neurological diagnosis, comorbidity burden, calendar year, or GCS (16), (17), (18), (26), (27).
This result is clinically relevant because neurological ICU mortality is often conceptualized primarily through the severity of the initial neurological insult. While neurological severity is clearly central, the present findings indicate that hospital-course infectious complications add measurable prognostic information. Pneumonia and sepsis-related coding were particularly informative in this regard. Their inclusion improved model performance even after accounting for major clinical predictors, supporting the view that infection surveillance is not only a quality-of-care issue but also a prognostic component of neurological intensive care (1), (3), (5), (15), (16).
The internal validation and calibration findings support the stability of the models. The primary model showed high discrimination, and the bootstrap-corrected estimates suggested limited optimism. The GCS-adjusted sensitivity model showed even higher discrimination and acceptable calibration, consistent with the major prognostic role of neurological severity. The significant Hosmer–Lemeshow test in the primary model should be interpreted cautiously because this test is highly sensitive to large sample size; therefore, calibration was more appropriately assessed together with the Brier score, calibration slope, and bootstrap-corrected estimates. Taken together, these analyses suggest that the observed infection–mortality signal was not an artefact of a single model specification (16), (17), (18), (26), (27).
4.7. COVID-Related Sensitivity Analysis
The study period included the COVID-19 pandemic, making it necessary to evaluate whether the association between pneumonia and in-hospital mortality was driven primarily by COVID-related pneumonia. This was particularly important because COVID-related pneumonia represents a distinct infectious phenotype with specific pathophysiological, epidemiological, and healthcare-system implications. If the overall pneumonia signal had been driven mainly by COVID-related cases, the interpretation of the study would have been more limited to the pandemic period (28), (29).
The COVID-related sensitivity analyses showed that this was not the case. Non-COVID pneumonia remained a strong independent predictor of in-hospital mortality after exclusion of COVID-related pneumonia cases and in models separating pneumonia categories. COVID-related pneumonia was also independently associated with mortality, but its effect estimates were lower than those observed for non-COVID pneumonia. This finding supports the robustness of pneumonia as a prognostic marker in neurological ICU patients and indicates that the pneumonia–mortality relationship reflects a broader neurocritical care phenomenon rather than a pandemic-specific artefact (1), (6), (8), (9), (19), (20), (21), (28), (29).
These results are consistent with the general neurocritical care and stroke literature, in which pneumonia has long been recognized as a frequent and clinically consequential complication outside the COVID-19 context (1), (6), (8), (10), (19), (20), (21). The persistence of the pneumonia signal after COVID-related sensitivity analyses strengthens the external relevance of the study findings. It also supports the continued prioritization of pneumonia prevention, aspiration-risk assessment, respiratory monitoring, early diagnosis, and appropriate antimicrobial stewardship in neurological ICU practice beyond pandemic-specific care pathways (2), (9), (23), (24), (28), (29).
4.8. Romanian and Institutional Relevance
The present study has particular relevance in the Romanian healthcare context, where healthcare-associated infection surveillance and reporting have undergone substantial legislative and institutional evolution. Romanian analyses have emphasized that, despite regulatory progress, under-reporting, infrastructure constraints, and implementation barriers continue to affect the surveillance and interpretation of healthcare-associated infections (13). In this context, detailed institutional analyses may provide useful complementary evidence by describing local infection patterns, documentation practices, and outcome associations in specific high-risk clinical settings (13), (14), (30).
Neurological intensive care represents one such high-risk setting. Patients admitted to neurological ICUs may have prolonged immobilization, impaired airway protection, swallowing dysfunction, altered consciousness, and frequent exposure to invasive devices. These vulnerabilities make infection prevention and recognition particularly important. However, Romanian data focusing specifically on neurological ICU infection burden and mortality prediction remain limited. Most available evidence is either general ICU surveillance, general healthcare-associated infection reporting, or stroke-focused literature rather than full-cohort neurological ICU outcome modeling (13), (14), (30).
This study also extends previous institutional work. A recent Romanian neurological ICU study described healthcare-associated infections among deceased stroke patients and found pneumonia to be the dominant infectious complication in that fatal subgroup (14). However, because that analysis was restricted to deceased patients, it could not determine whether infections distinguished survivors from non-survivors or whether individual infectious complications independently predicted mortality. The present study addresses this limitation by analyzing the full available neurological ICU cohort, including both survivors and patients who died during hospitalization. This survivor-versus-non-survivor framework is essential for estimating mortality associations and for evaluating the incremental prognostic value of infections (14).
From an institutional perspective, the findings may support targeted quality-improvement efforts. The strong and robust association between pneumonia and mortality suggests that pneumonia surveillance, dysphagia and aspiration-risk assessment, respiratory care protocols, mobilization when feasible, and early recognition of respiratory deterioration should remain central priorities in neurological ICU care. The high-risk profile associated with sepsis-related coding also indicates the need for timely recognition of systemic infectious deterioration and careful documentation of infection source, organ dysfunction, microbiology, and treatment timing (2), (8), (9), (22), (23).
4.9. Strengths and Limitations
This study has several strengths. First, it included a large six-year cohort of neurological ICU admission episodes, allowing analysis across a substantial institutional experience rather than a narrow diagnostic subgroup. Second, the study used a full-cohort survivor-versus-non-survivor design, which allowed direct evaluation of infectious complications as factors associated with in-hospital mortality. Third, individual infectious complications were analyzed separately, rather than being collapsed only into a composite infection variable. This allowed the study to distinguish the strong independent signals of pneumonia and sepsis-related coding from the more attenuated adjusted associations of urinary tract infection and pressure sore-related infection.
Fourth, the analysis included a prespecified primary model without GCS and a GCS-adjusted sensitivity model. This approach balanced cohort preservation with the need to account for neurological severity. Fifth, the study evaluated the incremental prognostic value of infections beyond baseline clinical variables and performed internal validation and calibration analyses. Finally, the COVID-related sensitivity analysis strengthened the interpretation of the pneumonia signal by showing that it was not driven exclusively by COVID-related pneumonia (16) (17) (18), (26), (27).
Several limitations must also be acknowledged. The study was retrospective and single-center, which limits causal inference and may affect generalizability. Infection variables were derived from routinely collected clinical documentation and coding fields rather than from prospective standardized infection adjudication. As a result, misclassification, under-documentation, and variation in diagnostic thresholds are possible. Some comorbidity variables, including documented obesity, may have been influenced by routine documentation practices and should therefore be interpreted as recorded clinical documentation variables rather than systematically adjudicated comorbidity endpoints. Sepsis was analyzed as sepsis-related coding rather than formally adjudicated sepsis, because the dataset did not consistently contain the standardized information needed to apply formal sepsis definitions retrospectively (22), (23). Therefore, this variable may combine true sepsis, suspected sepsis, clinician-perceived systemic infectious deterioration, and documentation practices, and should be interpreted as a high-risk clinical documentation marker rather than a pathophysiologically confirmed sepsis endpoint.
The study used the ICU admission episode, rather than the unique patient, as the unit of analysis. Recurrent admissions of the same patient across different calendar years were not actively linked in the final anonymized dataset, and the exact number of patients contributing more than one episode could not be reliably determined after deidentification. However, the admission-episode framework was appropriate for the selected outcome, which was in-hospital mortality during the index ICU admission episode, and for the study aim of evaluating episode-level prognostic associations. GCS was available in only approximately half of the cohort. For this reason, it was not included in the primary model, and the GCS-adjusted model was interpreted as a sensitivity analysis. Although the consistency of the findings across both models supports robustness, residual confounding by neurological severity remains possible (25).
Another important limitation is the absence of consistently available timing for infection onset. Infectious complications were hospital-course variables, and their exact onset relative to admission, deterioration, or death could not be reliably reconstructed. Therefore, Cox regression or Kaplan–Meier analysis was not used as a primary analytical framework, because treating infections as fixed baseline exposures would risk immortal time bias. The logistic regression approach was appropriate for evaluating associations with in-hospital mortality, but it does not establish temporal causality (31). Finally, microbiological data, antibiotic exposure, infection source adjudication, ventilatory status, device exposure, dysphagia assessment, and standardized severity scores other than GCS were not uniformly available, limiting mechanistic interpretation.
4.10. Future Directions
Future research should prospectively evaluate infectious complications in neurological ICU populations using standardized definitions, systematic infection surveillance, and consistent timing of infection onset. This would allow more accurate distinction between baseline risk factors, early infection, late hospital-course complications, and terminal events. Prospective designs could also incorporate time-dependent analyses, reducing the risk of immortal time bias and clarifying whether infections independently contribute to mortality or primarily mark clinical deterioration (8), (9), (21), (31).
Further studies should also include standardized neurological and physiological severity measures, such as GCS, stroke severity scales when applicable, organ dysfunction scores, ventilatory status, dysphagia screening results, device exposure, microbiological findings, antimicrobial treatment timing, and source-control data. These variables would allow more precise modeling of the pathways linking neurological injury, infection, systemic deterioration, and death (8), (9), (22), (23), (25).
At the institutional level, the present findings support the development of targeted surveillance and prevention strategies focused particularly on pneumonia and systemic infectious deterioration. Future quality-improvement projects could evaluate aspiration-prevention bundles, early dysphagia assessment, respiratory care protocols, device-use optimization, mobilization strategies, antimicrobial stewardship, and standardized documentation of infection-related organ dysfunction. Multicenter Romanian studies would also be valuable to determine whether the observed findings are reproducible across different neurological ICU settings and to support national benchmarking of infection-related outcomes in neurocritical care (2), (23), (24), (28), (30), (29).
Ultimately, infection surveillance in neurological intensive care should not be viewed only as an administrative or epidemiological requirement. The present findings suggest that infectious complications, especially pneumonia and sepsis-related coding, may provide clinically meaningful prognostic information and should be integrated into outcome assessment, risk stratification, and quality-improvement frameworks for neurological ICU patients (1), (2), (3), (5), (15), (16), (17), (18).