Submitted:
14 May 2026
Posted:
14 May 2026
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2.1. Overview of Thermal Management System
2.1.1. Cabin, Battery Heating Mode
2.1.2. Battery Waste Heat Recovery Mode
2.1.3. Natural Heat Dissipation Mode of Batteries

2.2. Multi-Physics Component Modeling
2.2.1. Compressor Model
2.2.2. Heat Exchanger Model
2.2.3. Expansion Valve Model
2.2.4. Cabin Model
2.2.5. Battery Electro-Thermal Coupling Model
2.2.6. Models of Other Components
2.3. Operational Modes and NMPC-Based Control Strategy
2.3.1. Baseline Rule-Based Control (FSMC)
2.3.2. Proposed SSA-Tuned NMPC Control
| Operating modes | Temperature | Compressor or PTC | Electronic expansion valve opens | Globe valve open | Pump open | Four-way valve reversing | Three-way valve reversing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Cabin cooling | Tcab ≥ 25°C 15°C < Tbat < 35°C |
Compressor | 1, 2 | 1, 2 | — | — | — |
| 2. Battery cooling | Tamb ≥ 25°C Tcab < 25°C Tbat > 35°C |
Compressor | 4 | — | 2 | — | — |
| 3. Parallel cooling of cabin and battery | Tamb ≥ 25°C Tcab ≥ 25°C Tbat > 35°C |
Compressor | 1, 2, 4 | 1, 2 | 2 | — | — |
| 4. Heat pump air conditioning to heat the cabin | Tamb > -10°C Tcab < 25°C |
Compressor | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| 5. Heat pump air conditioning to heat the battery | Tamb > -10°C Tbat < 15°C |
Compressor | 3 | 3 | 2, 3 | — | 1 |
| 6. PTC to heat the cabin | Tamb ≤ -10°C Tcab < 25°C |
PTC1, 2 | — | — | 3 | — | — |
| 7. PTC to heat the battery | Tamb ≤ -10°C Tbat < 15°C |
PTC1, 2 | — | — | 2, 3 | — | 1 |
| 8. Motor waste heat | 10°C ≤ Tbat < 15°C Tmw > Tbat+5°C Tcab > 25°C |
— | — | — | 1, 2 | 1 | — |
| 9. Heat radiator to dissipate battery heat | Tamb < 25°C Tbat > 35°C |
— | — | — | 1, 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 10. Heat radiator to dissipate motor | Tm > 90°C | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 |
| Parameter | Symbol | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction horizon | Np | 12 |
| Control horizon | Nc | 4 |
| Sampling interval | Ts | 1 s |
| Battery temperature weight (J₁) | ω1 | SSA-optimized |
| Temperature uniformity weight (J₂) | ω2 | SSA-optimized |
| Energy consumption weight (J₃) | ω3 | SSA-optimized |
| Compressor speed constraint | — | ≤6000rpm |
| EXV opening constraint | — | 5–95 % |
| Battery temperature constraint | — | 25–45 °C |
| Cabin temperature constraint | — | 20–28 °C |
3. Comprehensive Analysis of NEDC and CLTC Driving Cycles
3.1. Comparative Analysis of Driving Cycle Characteristics
3.2. Model Validation
| Parameter | Value | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Vehicle type | Compact electric passenger car | — |
| Curb weight | 1650 | kg |
| Battery type | Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) | — |
| Battery system nominal voltage | 345.6 | V |
| Battery system total energy | 54.3 | kWh |
| Motor type | Permanent magnet synchronous | — |
| Motor peak power | 60 | kW |
| Thermal management system | Heat pump-based integrated system | — |
| Refrigerant | R134a | — |
| Parameter | Summer high-temperature | Winter low-temperature |
|---|---|---|
| Ambient temperature | 40°C | -17°C |
| Driving speed | 138 km/h | 72 km/h |
| Initial battery temperature | 33.5°C | 8°C |
| Initial SOC | 75.35% | 86% |
| Target cabin temperature | 25°C | 22°C |
| Target battery temperature | ≤35°C | ≥15°C |
| Test duration | 2100s | 2100s |
| Terminal SOC (test) | 66.00% | 74.55% |
3.2.1. Vehicle-Level Model Validation Under Summer High-Temperature Conditions
3.2.2. Vehicle-Level Model Validation Under Winter Low-Temperature Conditions
3.2.3. Bench Test Error Summary
| Metric | MAE | Max absolute error | Mean relative error (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refrigerant mass flow rate (g/s) | 1.26 | 2.34 | 4.76 |
| Heating capacity (kW) | 0.21 | 0.48 | 4.30 |
| Cooling capacity (kW) | 0.43 | 0.89 | 10.67 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| MAE | 0.20 °C |
| RMSE | 0.29 °C |
| Maximum absolute error | 0.50 °C |
| Standard deviation | 0.22 °C |
3.3. Performance Analysis Under NEDC Driving Cycle
3.3.1. Cabin Temperature Control
3.3.2. Battery Temperature Control
3.3.3. Energy Consumption Analysis
3.4. Performance Analysis Under CLTC-P Driving Cycles
3.4.1. Summer Cooling Conditions
3.4.2. Heating Operation Mode in Winter
3.5. Discussion of Limitations
4. Conclusions
References
- Fan Hengbin. The Application Status and Development Trend of New Energy Power Battery Technology in the Commercial Vehicle Field. Commercial Vehicles, 2025, (05): 31–33.
- Moran Wang, Bin Dong, Kunfeng Liang, et al. Analysis of the Impact of Thermal Management Strategies on the Driving Range of Pure Electric Vehicles during Cold Start in Winter.
- Lei Zhang, Yang Yang, Jing Ma, et al. Research on Optimization of Thermal Management Control Strategy for Liquid-cooled Power Battery System.
- Huiming Zou, Zuohang Tang, Tianyang Yang, et al. Research Progress of Thermal Management Technology for Electric Vehicles.
- Xiaotian Peng. Research on Control Strategy of Thermal Management System for Extended-Range Electric Vehicles.
- Li W., Zhang J., Huang M., et al. Research on the optimization of the control strategy of a vehicle thermal management system for pure electric vehicles.
- Chunjiang Dai, Wenye Lin, Shuaiqi Li, et al. Model Predictive Control Strategy for Electric Vehicle Thermal Management System Assisted by NSGA-II Optimization.
- Zihao Jia. Research on Control Strategy of Electric Vehicle Battery Liquid Cooling System Based on Model Prediction.
- Li X, Guo L, Wang S. MSSSA: a multi-strategy enhanced sparrow search algorithm for global optimization. Swarm and Evolutionary Computation, 2023, 79: 101316.
- Sun J., Zhou T., Wu D. Energy-saving optimization of parallel chiller system based on multi-strategy improved sparrow search algorithm.
- Chongju Cheng. Research on Design and Control Optimization of Thermal Management System for High-Performance Electric Vehicles.
- Loaiza-Quintana C, Arbelaez A, Climent L. A Robust Optimization Framework for eBus Charging Infrastructure Planning. Journal of Heuristics, 2025.
- Chong Guo. Research on Control Strategy of Heat Pump Air Conditioning for Electric Vehicles.
- Wang W., Wang X., Xu R., et al. Development of heat pump–based integrated thermal management system for battery electric vehicles.
- Huang W., Liu Q. Modeling and experimental validation of a vehicle thermal management system.
- Pengpai Li. Modeling and Control Strategy Research on High-Efficiency Heat Pump Air Conditioning System for Pure Electric Vehicles.
- Gnielinski V. New equations for heat and mass transfer in the turbulent flow in pipes and channels.
- Shah M. M. A general correlation for heat transfer during film condensation inside pipes.
- Dittus F. W., Boelter L. M. K. Heat transfer in automobile radiators of the tubular type.
- Chen J. C. Correlation for boiling heat transfer to saturated fluids in convective flow.
- Kim M. H., Bullard C. W. Air-side thermal hydraulic performance of multi-louvered fin aluminum heat exchangers.
- Bernardi D., Pawlikowski E., Newman J. A general energy balance for battery systems.
- Shuang Fan. Modeling of Thermal Management System for Electric Vehicles and Research on Battery Temperature Control Strategy in Winter.
- Du Changqing, Sun Jiahao, Li Wenhao, et al. Integrated Design of Thermal Management System for Pure Electric Vehicles and Research on Multi-level Fuzzy Control Strategy.

















| Components | Parameters | Numerical value | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compressor | Displacement | 161 | cc |
| Condenser | Length × Width × Height | 685×475×16 | mm |
| Evaporator | Length × Width × Height | 295×272×38 | mm |
| Expansion valve | Cross-sectional area | 2.14 | mm2 |
| Plate heat exchanger | Length × Width × Height | 150×76×2.5 | mm |
| Heat sink | Length × Width × Height | 320×275×16 | mm |
| Project | MAE | MSE | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMPC | 0.95 | 15.93 | 3.99 |
| Project | MAE | MSE | RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSMC (Baseline rule-based) | 0.21 | 0.089 | 0.298 |
| NMPC | 0.062 | 0.0098 | 0.099 |
| SSA-NMPC | 0.037 | 0.0042 | 0.076 |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2026 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).