Submitted:
22 December 2025
Posted:
23 December 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
Introduction
Literature Review
Youth Health and Structural Determinants in Africa
Poverty as the Fundamental Determinant of Health Inequality
Age-Differentiated Health Vulnerability
Theoretical Foundations for Age as a Moderator
Empirical Evidence on Age-Differentiated Poverty Effects
Rationale for the Current Study
Materials and Methods
Data Source and Study Design
Sampling and Data Collection
Ethical Considerations
Measures
Dependent Variables
- Gone without healthcare at least once – a binary variable (1 = yes, 0 = no) indicating whether respondents reported going without needed healthcare services at least once in the previous 12 months. Nearly 60% yes and 40% no responses were recorded for which reason a complementary log-log regression was selected.
- Paid a bribe to access healthcare – a binary variable (1 = yes, 0 = no) capturing whether respondents reported paying a bribe or gift to obtain healthcare during the same period. Almost 11% yes and 89% no responses were obtained, and negative log-log regression model was adopted.
- Difficulty in accessing healthcare – a binary variable (1 = yes, 0 = no) measuring respondents’ self-reported difficulty in obtaining medical care when needed. About 30% yes and 70% no responses were obtained, and negative log-log regression model was executed.
Independent Variables
- Poverty status was operationalised using Afrobarometer’s Lived Poverty Index (LPI), which captures the frequency with which individuals go without basic necessities such as food, clean water, or medical care. Higher scores indicate greater material deprivation.
- Age was measured as a continuous variable (in years) and re-categorised into four mutually-exclusive groups for regression models. For moderation analysis, interaction terms between age groups and poverty were constructed.
- Control variables included sex, educational attainment, employment status, urban-rural residence, and country fixed effects to account for structural and contextual variation across national settings.
Statistical Analysis
- Bivariate complementary log-log (cloglog) regression model predicting the likelihood of having gone without healthcare at least once. The cloglog link was chosen due to the asymmetric distribution of the outcome and its appropriateness for modeling binary rare-event data.
- Bivariate and multivariate negative log-log regression models predicting the probability of paying a bribe to access healthcare. The bivariate models examined the unadjusted relationships between poverty, age, and the dependent variable, while multivariate models adjusted for all control variables.
- Bivariate and multivariate negative log-log regression models predicting difficulty in accessing healthcare, following the same modeling strategy as above.
Results
Poverty as a Core Determinant of Healthcare Inequality
Age, Youth Vulnerability, and the Moderation of Poverty
Mediation and Suppression Effects: What the Multivariate Transition Reveals?
Healthcare Integrity vs. Accessibility: Distinct but Connected Outcomes
Policy and Research Implications
Limitations
Conclusion
Funding
References
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| Variable | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lived Poverty (Ref: No Lived Poverty) | |||||
| Low Lived Poverty | 1.209 | 0.027 | 0.000 | 1.157 | 1.264 |
| Moderate Lived Poverty | 1.408 | 0.031 | 0.000 | 1.348 | 1.471 |
| High Lived Poverty | 1.530 | 0.036 | 0.000 | 1.461 | 1.602 |
| Youth & Adult Poverty (Ref: Non-poor youth) | |||||
| Non-Poor Adult | 1.056 | 0.042 | 0.171 | 0.977 | 1.142 |
| Minimally-Poor Youth | 1.294 | 0.040 | 0.000 | 1.217 | 1.375 |
| Minimally-Poor Adult | 1.175 | 0.038 | 0.000 | 1.104 | 1.252 |
| Moderately-Poor Youth | 1.518 | 0.047 | 0.000 | 1.428 | 1.613 |
| Moderately-Poor Adult | 1.359 | 0.043 | 0.000 | 1.277 | 1.447 |
| Highly-Poor Youth | 1.644 | 0.054 | 0.000 | 1.542 | 1.753 |
| Highly-Poor Adult | 1.490 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.396 | 1.590 |
| Life Stage (Youth Ref: 35 years or younger) | |||||
| Adult (36 years and older) | 0.916 | 0.011 | 0.000 | 0.894 | 0.937 |
| Gender/Sex (Ref: Male) | |||||
| Female | 0.989 | 0.012 | 0.365 | 0.967 | 1.012 |
| Educational Attainment (Ref: No formal education) | |||||
| Primary education | 0.976 | 0.017 | 0.164 | 0.944 | 1.010 |
| Secondary education | 0.919 | 0.015 | 0.000 | 0.890 | 0.950 |
| Post-secondary education | 0.929 | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.894 | 0.965 |
| Religion (Ref: Christian) | |||||
| Muslim | 1.065 | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.039 | 1.092 |
| Others | 0.888 | 0.019 | 0.000 | 0.851 | 0.927 |
| Employment Status (Ref: No (not looking)) | |||||
| No (looking) | 1.104 | 0.016 | 0.000 | 1.073 | 1.137 |
| Yes, part time | 1.036 | 0.020 | 0.069 | 0.997 | 1.075 |
| Yes, full time | 0.991 | 0.016 | 0.566 | 0.960 | 1.022 |
| Urbanicity (Ref: Urban residence) | |||||
| Rural residence | 0.996 | 0.012 | 0.730 | 0.973 | 1.019 |
| Variable | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lived Poverty (Ref: No Lived Poverty) | |||||
| Low Lived Poverty | 1.341 | 0.027 | 0.000 | 1.289 | 1.395 |
| Moderate Lived Poverty | 1.720 | 0.035 | 0.000 | 1.653 | 1.790 |
| High Lived Poverty | 2.010 | 0.044 | 0.000 | 1.925 | 2.098 |
| Youth & Adult Poverty (Ref: Non-poor youth) | |||||
| Non-Poor Adult | 1.063 | 0.037 | 0.082 | 0.992 | 1.139 |
| Minimally-Poor Youth | 1.383 | 0.038 | 0.000 | 1.310 | 1.461 |
| Minimally-Poor Adult | 1.378 | 0.039 | 0.000 | 1.302 | 1.457 |
| Moderately-Poor Youth | 1.802 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.706 | 1.903 |
| Moderately-Poor Adult | 1.735 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.641 | 1.836 |
| Highly-Poor Youth | 2.075 | 0.063 | 0.000 | 1.955 | 2.202 |
| Highly-Poor Adult | 2.065 | 0.064 | 0.000 | 1.943 | 2.194 |
| Life Stage (Youth Ref: 35 years or younger) | |||||
| Adult (36 years and older) | 0.991 | 0.012 | 0.461 | 0.969 | 1.014 |
| Gender/Sex (Ref: Male) | |||||
| Female | 1.033 | 0.012 | 0.005 | 1.010 | 1.057 |
| Educational Attainment (Ref: No formal education) | |||||
| Primary education | 0.963 | 0.017 | 0.030 | 0.931 | 0.996 |
| Secondary education | 0.953 | 0.016 | 0.003 | 0.923 | 0.984 |
| Post-secondary education | 0.922 | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.888 | 0.958 |
| Religion (Ref: Christian) | |||||
| Muslim | 1.075 | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.049 | 1.102 |
| Others | 0.857 | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.824 | 0.892 |
| Employment Status (Ref: No (not looking)) | |||||
| No (looking) | 1.024 | 0.015 | 0.101 | 0.995 | 1.054 |
| Yes, part time | 1.014 | 0.019 | 0.464 | 0.977 | 1.052 |
| Yes, full time | 0.938 | 0.015 | 0.000 | 0.910 | 0.967 |
| Urbanicity (Ref: Urban residence) | |||||
| Rural residence | 0.994 | 0.012 | 0.591 | 0.971 | 1.017 |
| Variable | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youth & Adult Poverty (Ref: Non-poor youth) | |||||||||||||||
| Non-Poor Adult | 1.054 | 0.042 | 0.186 | 0.975 | 1.140 | 1.056 | 0.042 | 0.171 | 0.977 | 1.143 | 1.054 | 0.042 | 0.188 | 0.975 | 1.141 |
| Minimally-Poor Youth | 1.293 | 0.040 | 0.000 | 1.216 | 1.374 | 1.286 | 0.040 | 0.000 | 1.210 | 1.368 | 1.291 | 0.041 | 0.000 | 1.214 | 1.373 |
| Minimally-Poor Adult | 1.173 | 0.038 | 0.000 | 1.101 | 1.249 | 1.166 | 0.038 | 0.000 | 1.093 | 1.243 | 1.169 | 0.038 | 0.000 | 1.096 | 1.246 |
| Moderately-Poor Youth | 1.517 | 0.047 | 0.000 | 1.428 | 1.612 | 1.506 | 0.047 | 0.000 | 1.416 | 1.602 | 1.516 | 0.048 | 0.000 | 1.426 | 1.613 |
| Moderately-Poor Adult | 1.357 | 0.043 | 0.000 | 1.275 | 1.444 | 1.342 | 0.044 | 0.000 | 1.259 | 1.430 | 1.351 | 0.044 | 0.000 | 1.268 | 1.440 |
| Highly-Poor Youth | 1.644 | 0.054 | 0.000 | 1.542 | 1.753 | 1.625 | 0.054 | 0.000 | 1.523 | 1.734 | 1.637 | 0.054 | 0.000 | 1.534 | 1.747 |
| Highly-Poor Adult | 1.487 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.393 | 1.588 | 1.472 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.377 | 1.574 | 1.483 | 0.051 | 0.000 | 1.387 | 1.586 |
| Life Stage (Youth Ref: 35 years or younger) | |||||||||||||||
| Adult (36 years and older) | Omitted owing to collinearity | ||||||||||||||
| Gender/Sex (Ref: Male) | |||||||||||||||
| Female | 0.980 | 0.012 | 0.083 | 0.957 | 1.003 | 0.978 | 0.012 | 0.067 | 0.955 | 1.002 | 0.975 | 0.012 | 0.040 | 0.952 | 0.999 |
| Educational Attainment (Ref: No formal education) | |||||||||||||||
| Primary education | 1.003 | 0.018 | 0.871 | 0.968 | 1.039 | 0.996 | 0.018 | 0.835 | 0.962 | 1.032 | |||||
| Secondary education | 0.940 | 0.017 | 0.001 | 0.907 | 0.974 | 0.923 | 0.017 | 0.000 | 0.890 | 0.957 | |||||
| Post-secondary education | 0.978 | 0.021 | 0.301 | 0.938 | 1.020 | 0.955 | 0.021 | 0.038 | 0.915 | 0.998 | |||||
| Religion (Ref: Christian) | |||||||||||||||
| Muslim | 1.068 | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.040 | 1.097 | 1.067 | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.039 | 1.095 | |||||
| Others | 0.894 | 0.020 | 0.000 | 0.856 | 0.933 | 0.892 | 0.020 | 0.000 | 0.855 | 0.932 | |||||
| Employment Status (Ref: No (not looking)) | |||||||||||||||
| No (looking) | 1.098 | 0.017 | 0.000 | 1.066 | 1.132 | 1.094 | 0.017 | 0.000 | 1.062 | 1.128 | |||||
| Yes, part time | 1.055 | 0.021 | 0.007 | 1.015 | 1.096 | 1.049 | 0.021 | 0.014 | 1.010 | 1.091 | |||||
| Yes, full time | 1.049 | 0.018 | 0.004 | 1.015 | 1.085 | 1.045 | 0.018 | 0.010 | 1.010 | 1.080 | |||||
| Urbanicity (Ref: Urban residence) | |||||||||||||||
| Rural residence | 0.948 | 0.012 | 0.000 | 0.924 | 0.972 | ||||||||||
| Variable | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | Odds Ratio | SE | P-Value | 95% CI | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youth & Adult Poverty (Ref: Non-poor youth) | |||||||||||||||
| Non-Poor Adult | 1.065 | 0.037 | 0.073 | 0.994 | 1.141 | 1.0782 | 0.0382 | 0.0340 | 1.0059 | 1.1557 | 1.075 | 0.038 | 0.042 | 1.002 | 1.152 |
| Minimally-Poor Youth | 1.384 | 0.038 | 0.000 | 1.311 | 1.461 | 1.3920 | 0.0389 | 0.0000 | 1.3177 | 1.4704 | 1.398 | 0.039 | 0.000 | 1.324 | 1.477 |
| Minimally-Poor Adult | 1.382 | 0.040 | 0.000 | 1.306 | 1.461 | 1.4040 | 0.0408 | 0.0000 | 1.3263 | 1.4863 | 1.409 | 0.041 | 0.000 | 1.331 | 1.492 |
| Moderately-Poor Youth | 1.802 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.706 | 1.903 | 1.8227 | 0.0516 | 0.0000 | 1.7243 | 1.9266 | 1.839 | 0.052 | 0.000 | 1.740 | 1.944 |
| Moderately-Poor Adult | 1.740 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 1.645 | 1.841 | 1.7756 | 0.0521 | 0.0000 | 1.6764 | 1.8806 | 1.791 | 0.053 | 0.000 | 1.691 | 1.897 |
| Highly-Poor Youth | 2.074 | 0.063 | 0.000 | 1.955 | 2.201 | 2.1060 | 0.0647 | 0.0000 | 1.9829 | 2.2367 | 2.128 | 0.066 | 0.000 | 2.004 | 2.261 |
| Highly-Poor Adult | 2.069 | 0.064 | 0.000 | 1.948 | 2.199 | 2.1256 | 0.0675 | 0.0000 | 1.9974 | 2.2620 | 2.146 | 0.068 | 0.000 | 2.016 | 2.284 |
| Life Stage (Youth Ref: 35 years or younger) | |||||||||||||||
| Adult (36 years and older) | Omitted owing to collinearity | ||||||||||||||
| Gender/Sex (Ref: Male) | |||||||||||||||
| Female | 1.031 | 0.012 | 0.010 | 1.007 | 1.055 | 1.038 | 0.012 | 0.002 | 1.013 | 1.062 | 1.033 | 0.012 | 0.006 | 1.009 | 1.058 |
| Educational Attainment (Ref: No formal education) | |||||||||||||||
| Primary education | 1.032 | 0.019 | 0.084 | 0.996 | 1.069 | 1.023 | 0.018 | 0.207 | 0.987 | 1.060 | |||||
| Secondary education | 1.059 | 0.019 | 0.001 | 1.023 | 1.097 | 1.035 | 0.019 | 0.060 | 0.999 | 1.073 | |||||
| Post-secondary education | 1.079 | 0.023 | 0.000 | 1.035 | 1.125 | 1.047 | 0.023 | 0.037 | 1.003 | 1.092 | |||||
| Religion (Ref: Christian) | |||||||||||||||
| Muslim | 1.084 | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.056 | 1.113 | 1.082 | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.054 | 1.111 | |||||
| Others | 0.883 | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.848 | 0.920 | 0.882 | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.847 | 0.919 | |||||
| Employment Status (Ref: No (not looking)) | |||||||||||||||
| No (looking) | 1.011 | 0.015 | 0.471 | 0.981 | 1.042 | 1.006 | 0.015 | 0.688 | 0.976 | 1.037 | |||||
| Yes, part time | 1.048 | 0.020 | 0.015 | 1.009 | 1.089 | 1.041 | 0.020 | 0.038 | 1.002 | 1.081 | |||||
| Yes, full time | 1.019 | 0.017 | 0.251 | 0.987 | 1.052 | 1.012 | 0.017 | 0.461 | 0.980 | 1.045 | |||||
| Urbanicity (Ref: Urban residence) | |||||||||||||||
| Rural residence | 0.931 | 0.012 | 0.000 | 0.908 | 0.954 | ||||||||||
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