Submitted:
27 November 2025
Posted:
28 November 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design
2.2. Data Sources
2.3. Participants and Sample Selection
- Missing data on current ADHD or ASD diagnosis;
- Missing age or age outside the 3–17-year range;
- Missing values on key social determinants of interest (household income category, parental education, neighborhood safety);
- Missing design variables or sampling weights needed for survey analysis.
2.4. Variables and Measures
2.4.1. Outcomes
2.4.2. Predictors: Social Determinants of Health
- Household income was categorized relative to the federal poverty level (FPL) as <100% FPL, 100%–199% FPL, 200%–399% FPL, and ≥400% FPL, based on survey-derived income and family size.
- Parental education was defined as the highest educational attainment of any parent or guardian in the household and grouped as less than high school, high school diploma or equivalent, some college, and bachelor’s degree or higher.
- Health insurance type at the time of the survey was coded as private, public (Medicaid or Children’s Health Insurance Program), or uninsured.
- Food insecurity was defined from caregiver responses indicating that the household sometimes or often could not afford enough food in the past 12 months.
- Neighborhood safety was based on the question asking how safe the caregiver considers the neighborhood for children to play outside, with response options “definitely safe,” “somewhat safe,” and “not at all safe.” For primary analyses, we retained this three-level measure; in regression models, “definitely safe” served as the reference category.
2.4.3. Covariates
- Child age (continuous, in years);
- Sex (male, female);
- Race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, other, or multiracial);
- U.S. Census region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West);
- Family structure (two-parent household, single-parent household, other family arrangement);
- Survey year (2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023).
2.5. Statistical Analyses
2.6. Ethical Approval
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Statistics
3.2. Main Outcomes: Prevalence of ADHD and ASD
3.3. Regression Outcomes
3.4. Figures
3.5. Sensitivity Analyses
4. Discussion
4.1. Summary of Key Findings
4.2. Comparison with Existing Literature
4.3. Interpretation of Mechanisms and Implications
4.4. Strengths and Limitations
4.5. Policy Implications and Public Health Relevance
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Characteristic | Category | Weighted % | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | Male | 51.2 | 50.4–52.0 |
| Female | 48.8 | 48.0–49.6 | |
| Race/Ethnicity | Non-Hispanic White | 50.8 | 49.6–52.0 |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 13.6 | 12.9–14.3 | |
| Hispanic | 24.1 | 23.1–25.1 | |
| Other/Multiracial | 11.5 | 10.8–12.2 | |
| Household Income (% FPL) | <100% FPL | 19.7 | 18.6–20.8 |
| 100–199% FPL | 25.4 | 24.2–26.6 | |
| 200–399% FPL | 31.8 | 30.4–33.2 | |
| ≥400% FPL | 23.1 | 22.0–24.3 | |
| Parental Education | <High school | 9.5 | 8.8–10.2 |
| High school diploma | 29.1 | 28.0–30.3 | |
| Some college | 27.6 | 26.4–28.8 | |
| Bachelor’s or higher | 33.8 | 32.4–35.2 | |
| Insurance Type | Private | 54.2 | 53.0–55.4 |
| Public | 38.5 | 37.2–39.8 | |
| Uninsured | 7.3 | 6.8–7.9 | |
| Neighborhood Safety | Definitely safe | 70.1 | 69.1–71.2 |
| Somewhat safe | 25.8 | 24.7–26.9 | |
| Not safe | 4.1 | 3.7–4.6 | |
| Food Insecurity | Yes | 10.8 | 10.1–11.6 |
| No | 89.2 | 88.4–90.0 |
| Determinant | Category | ADHD % (95% CI) | ASD % (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Household Income (% FPL) | <100% FPL | 13.4 (12.1–14.7) | 3.8 (3.1–4.5) |
| 100–199% FPL | 10.8 (9.8–11.8) | 3.2 (2.6–3.8) | |
| 200–399% FPL | 8.6 (7.8–9.4) | 2.7 (2.3–3.1) | |
| ≥400% FPL | 6.2 (5.6–6.8) | 2.0 (1.7–2.3) | |
| Parental Education | <High school | 14.6 (12.8–16.4) | 3.9 (3.1–4.7) |
| High school diploma | 11.2 (10.1–12.3) | 3.3 (2.7–3.9) | |
| Some college | 9.0 (8.1–9.9) | 2.7 (2.3–3.1) | |
| Bachelor’s or higher | 6.8 (6.1–7.5) | 2.1 (1.8–2.4) | |
| Insurance Type | Private | 8.1 (7.5–8.7) | 2.4 (2.1–2.7) |
| Public | 13.2 (12.0–14.4) | 3.8 (3.2–4.4) | |
| Uninsured | 10.5 (8.4–12.6) | 2.6 (1.8–3.4) | |
| Neighborhood Safety | Definitely safe | 8.9 (8.3–9.5) | 2.5 (2.2–2.8) |
| Somewhat safe | 12.5 (11.3–13.7) | 3.4 (2.8–4.0) | |
| Not safe | 15.8 (13.0–18.6) | 4.4 (3.0–5.8) | |
| Food Insecurity | Yes | 14.9 (13.2–16.6) | 4.1 (3.4–4.9) |
| No | 8.8 (8.3–9.3) | 2.7 (2.4–3.0) |
| Determinant | Category | ADHD aOR (95% CI) | ASD aOR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Household Income (% FPL) | <100% FPL | 2.11 (1.82–2.46) | 1.73 (1.32–2.28) |
| 100–199% FPL | 1.69 (1.46–1.95) | 1.32 (1.04–1.67) | |
| 200–399% FPL | 1.28 (1.12–1.45) | 1.14 (0.92–1.40) | |
| ≥400% FPL (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Parental Education | <High school | 1.83 (1.52–2.20) | 1.46 (1.12–1.91) |
| High school diploma | 1.42 (1.26–1.60) | 1.28 (1.01–1.63) | |
| Some college | 1.21 (1.07–1.36) | 1.10 (0.88–1.37) | |
| Bachelor’s or higher (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Insurance Type | Public | 1.37 (1.20–1.55) | 1.21 (0.98–1.49) |
| Uninsured | 1.18 (0.95–1.47) | 1.05 (0.72–1.52) | |
| Private (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Neighborhood Safety | Somewhat safe | 1.31 (1.15–1.50) | 1.24 (0.97–1.59) |
| Not safe | 1.94 (1.51–2.49) | 1.79 (1.21–2.64) | |
| Definitely safe (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Food Insecurity | Yes | 1.88 (1.60–2.21) | 1.61 (1.18–2.19) |
| No (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Child Sex | Male | 2.39 (2.12–2.68) | 3.84 (3.13–4.72) |
| Female (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Race/Ethnicity | Non-Hispanic Black | 1.18 (1.01–1.37) | 0.64 (0.51–0.80) |
| Hispanic | 0.76 (0.66–0.88) | 0.59 (0.47–0.73) | |
| Other/Multiracial | 0.93 (0.78–1.10) | 0.82 (0.64–1.06) | |
| Non-Hispanic White (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
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