Submitted:
21 August 2025
Posted:
27 August 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
Introduction
1. Territorial Intelligence and Decision-Making in Urban Development: A Literature Review
1.1. Conceptual Foundations: Territorial Intelligence and Decision-Making
1.2. Behavioral Research on Residential Choice
1.3. The Role of Territorial Intelligence in Urban Planning Decisions
- H1: Behavioral factors (such as individual lifestyle preferences, social network ties, and travel attitudes) have a significant influence on residential location choices, beyond what traditional economic factors alone can explain.
- H2: Integrating territorial intelligence tools (e.g., spatial data analytics and participatory platforms) into urban planning decision processes leads to development plans that more closely align with residents’ actual preferences and behaviors, compared to planning processes without such intelligence.
- H3: Urban development projects co-created through territorial intelligence – incorporating local knowledge and behavioral insights – will achieve higher resident satisfaction and sustainability outcomes than top-down projects developed without considering behavioral factors.
2. Methodology
2.1. Research Design and Rationale
2.2. Case Study Selection
2.3. Data Collection Methods
2.4. Sampling Strategy
2.5. Variables and Measurement
2.6. Analytical Techniques
3. Results
3.1. Survey Descriptive Statistics
3.2. Predictors of Residential Location Choice
3.3. Satisfaction with Residential Decision
3.4. Qualitative Findings
3.5. Integration of Quantitative and Qualitative Results
Conclusion
References
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| Variable Category | Example Variable | Definition / Role | Measurement Approach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Behavioral Factors | Housing preferences | Importance attached to various housing and location attributes (e.g. price, size, neighborhood amenities, proximity to work) | Survey: Respondents rated the importance of multiple factors on a 5-point Likert scale (1 = Not important, 5 = Very important) for their housing choice. Interviews: Participants described key preferences and any trade-offs made. |
| Social influence | Influence of family, friends, or social networks on the residential decision (norms, advice, or the desire to be near others) | Survey: Items on whether others’ opinions affected the choice (e.g., “Advice from family/friends influenced where I chose to live,” rated 1–5). Also a binary item if they moved to be closer to family/friends (Yes/No). Interviews: Open discussion on whether and how social contacts factored into the move (e.g., pressure, support). | |
| Territorial Intelligence Indicators | Data and information use | Extent of utilizing data sources and information in decision-making (reflecting territorial intelligence at individual level) | Survey: Yes/No checklist if respondent used specific information sources (city open data portal, crime stats, school ratings, real estate websites, etc.) in their search; plus a self-assessment (“I felt well-informed about different neighborhoods,” 1–5). Interviews: Questions about what information sources were consulted and the usefulness of data (e.g., “Did you look up any official data or plans while deciding?”). |
| Planning awareness | Awareness of and alignment with spatial planning initiatives (e.g. knowledge of urban development projects, zoning plans, future infrastructure) | Survey: One item asking if the respondent was aware of any current or planned urban projects in the area they chose (Yes/No), and a follow-up rating of how much such knowledge influenced their choice (1–5). Interviews: Discussion of participants’ knowledge of city plans (e.g., “Were you aware of the new tram line or redevelopment in this area before you moved? Did that affect your decision?”). | |
| Residential Choice Outcomes | Location chosen | The type of residential environment selected, indicating the outcome of decision (linked to urban form) | Survey: Categorical variable for location type (e.g., “city center or dense urban neighborhood,” “inner suburb,” “outer suburb/rural fringe”). Also recorded distance from city center in km for continuous analysis. Interviews: Participants explained why they chose that particular location and how it meets their needs. |
| Housing type and tenure | The physical dwelling type and ownership – part of the choice outcome impacting experience | Survey: Dwelling type (apartment, terraced house, detached house, etc.) and tenure (rent or purchase) were recorded. Interviews: Allowed understanding if the housing type was a deliberate preference and how it relates to satisfaction. | |
| Satisfaction with choice | The subjective outcome of the decision, indicating success of decision-making in meeting expectations | Survey: 5-point Likert scale (“Overall, how satisfied are you with your current residence and neighborhood?”). Interviews: Explored reasons for satisfaction or dissatisfaction, unexpected issues after moving, and whether they would make the same choice again. |
| Variable | Scale or Categories | Mean / % | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preference score | 1–5 Likert composite | 3.82 | 0.71 |
| Social influence index | 1–5 Likert composite | 2.94 | 0.92 |
| Data use (count of sources) | 0–5 | 2.17 | 1.45 |
| Planning awareness | Yes | 42 % | — |
| Chosen location | Central | 45 % | — |
| Satisfaction with choice | 1–5 | 4.04 | 0.79 |
| Predictor | B | SE | Wald | OR | 95 % CI OR | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preference score | 0.26 | 0.11 | 6.11 | 1.30 | 1.05–1.62 | .020 |
| Social influence | 0.14 | 0.10 | 1.79 | 1.15 | 0.96–1.38 | .181 |
| Data use | 0.37 | 0.14 | 7.02 | 1.45 | 1.10–1.90 | .010 |
| Planning awareness | 0.47 | 0.17 | 8.06 | 1.60 | 1.14–2.25 | .005 |
| Constant | −2.31 | 0.79 | 8.56 | 0.10 | — | .003 |
| Predictor | B | SE | β | t | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preference score | 0.06 | 0.05 | .08 | 1.21 | .228 |
| Social influence | 0.04 | 0.04 | .05 | 0.96 | .339 |
| Data use | 0.18 | 0.08 | .14 | 2.17 | .031 |
| Planning awareness | 0.12 | 0.07 | .10 | 1.70 | .091 |
| Preference × Location match | 0.24 | 0.09 | .15 | 2.67 | .008 |
| Constant | 2.64 | 0.44 | — | 5.95 | <.001 |
| Adjusted R² | .12 |
| Theme | Synopsis | Example quotation |
|---|---|---|
| Life-cycle and housing needs | Moves linked to childbirth, coupling, or retirement shape preferences for space, schools, or calm. | “We had twins last year, so a garden became non-negotiable” (Hanane, 33, suburban mover). |
| Social anchoring | Desire to stay near or follow family/friends influences but does not always determine final location. | “My sister already lived in El Jadida; being nearby was a plus, but price still led me further out” (Karim, 29). |
| Trust in data vs. intuition | Some rely heavily on spatial data, others find it confusing and default to gut feeling. | “City crime maps reassured me, but comparing school scores made me anxious” (Siham, 38). |
| Engagement with planning | Awareness of transport or zoning plans can attract residents or, if absent, cause post-move surprises. | “Only after buying did I learn about the new ring road—traffic has tripled” (Walid, 45). |
| Post-move reflections | Satisfaction hinges on alignment between expectations and reality; mismatches spark intent to move again. | “The flat is great, but weekend noise was worse than I imagined—maybe next year we’ll look further out” (Sofia, 31). |
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