Submitted:
14 August 2024
Posted:
15 August 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract

Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Decarbonizing Road Transportation
2.1. Electric Vehicles (EVs)
3. EV Policies
3.1. EU Countries
3.2. USA
3.3. China
3.4. India
4. EVs Current Status and Future Projections
4.1. Case Study of Norway
4.2. Case Study of India
4.3. Price War of EVs
4.4. Used EVs Market and Costs
- Those who actually want an EV already have one. The market is fairly saturated.
- b. The battery life of any rechargeable battery-operated device is limited. Therefore, the life left in the battery of a used EV is questionable. The cost of electric vehicle batteries could exceed $10000. So, buying a used car is just another $10000 responsibility, a tough pill to swallow.
- c. There are not nearly enough chargers available, and no sane person with a life, places to be and things to do, want to plan their day and week around finding chargers.
5. Charging Infrastructure
6. Consumer Perspectives
6.1. Consumers Concern
6.2. Prospect of EV Acceptance and Decarbonization
7. Conclusions
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- By the end of 2023, my country has built a total of 8.596 million charging infrastructure units. Teller Report. March 18, 2024. https://www.tellerreport.com/business/2024-03-18-by-the-end-of-2023--my-country-has-built-a-total-of-8-596-million-charging-infrastructure-units.rJmuh-mSCT.html. Accessed on April 30, 2024.
- Phate Zhang. Nio's charging map now accesses over 1 million 3rd-party chargers. CNEVPOST, Shanghai, China. Feb 18, 2024. https://cnevpost.com/2024/02/18/nio-charging-map-1-million-3rd-party-chargers/.
- Hongwen He, Fengchun Sun, Zhenpo Wang, Cheng Lin, Chengning Zhang, Rui Xiong, Junjun Deng, Xiaoqing Zhu, Peng Xie, Shuo Zhang, Zhongbao Wei, Wanke Cao, Li Zhai. China's battery electric vehicles lead the world: achievements in technology system architecture and technological breakthroughs. Green Energy and Intelligent Transportation, Volume 1, Issue 1, 2022, 100020, ISSN 2773-1537, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geits.2022.100020.
- High-Quality Charging Anywhere | Huawei Releases Top 10 Trends of Charging Network 2024. Huawei, Shenzhen, China. Jan 30, 2024. https://digitalpower.huawei.com/en/activity/news/detail/2173.html.
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| Incentives | Maharashtra | Gujarat | Karnataka | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nodal Agency | Steering Committee, Government of Maharashtra, 2021 | Energy and Petrochemicals Department, Government of Gujarat, 2021 | Commerce and Industries, Government of Karnataka, 2017 | |
| Targets and Term | ∙ BEVs to contribute to 10% of new vehicle registrations by 2025 ∙ 10% electric 2-wheelers by 2025 ∙ 20% electric 3-wheelers by 2025 ∙ 5% electric 4-wheelers by 2025 ∙ 15% electric buses by 2025 (25 percent for Urban Agglomerations) ∙ 25% electric fleet operators by 2025. ∙ 4 years. |
∙ 110000 electric 2-wheelers by 2025 ∙ 70000 electric 3-wheelers by 2025 ∙ 20000 electric 4-wheelers by 2025. ∙ 4 years. |
∙Auto Rickshaws, Cab Aggregators, Corporate Fleets and School Buses/Vans to achieve 100% electric mobility by 2030 ∙ 1000 electric buses by 2022 ∙ EV 3-wheelers and 4-wheelers mini goods vehicles to achieve 100% electric mobility by 2030. ∙ 5 Years. |
|
|
Charging infrastructure and capital subsidy |
∙ 60% for the first 15000 slow public and semi-public charging stations up to INR 10000 ∙ 50% for the first 500 moderate and fast public and semi-public charging stations up to INR 500000 |
∙ 25% capital subsidy of the charging station equipment/machinery up to INR 10 lakhs for the first 250 commercial public EV charging stations | ∙ General investment promotion subsidy (a) Micro – 25% value of fixed assets (VFA) – up to INR 15 lakh (b) Small – 20% VFA – up to INR 40 lakh (c) Medium – up to INR 50 lakh; Investment subsidy (charging infra equipment/ BS infra): 20% VFA - first 5 units ∙ DC chargers (>=100V) 25% - 100 stations - INR 10 lakh ∙ Other (a) BS stations(2W/3W)- 25 percent - first 100 stations – up to INR 3 lakh (b) BS stations (cars) – 25% - first 50 stations – up to INR 5 lakh (c) BS (buses) - first 50 stations – up to INR 10 lakh |
|
| Incentives for consumers | ||||
| Capital subsidy | 2W | ∙ INR 5000/kWh up to INR 10000 for the first 1 lakh electric 2-wheelers | ∙ INR 10000/kWh | ∙ No |
| 3W | ∙ INR 5000/kWh up to INR 30000 for the first 15000 electric 3-wheelers autos. ∙ INR 5000/kWh up to INR 30000 for the first 10000 electric 3-wheelers goods carrier. |
∙ INR 10000/kWh | ||
| 4W | ∙ INR 5000/kWh up to INR 150000 for the first 10000 electric 4-wheelers cars. * INR 5000/kWh up to INR 100000 for the first 10000 electric 4-wheelers goods carrier. |
∙ INR 10000/kWh | ||
| Others | ∙ 10% of the ex-factory cost up to INR 2000000 for the first 1000 e-buses | No | No | |
| Registration fee exemption | ∙ 100% | No | No | |
| Road tax exemption | ∙ 100% | No | No | |
| Agency | Projections of EVs sales and revenue |
|---|---|
| Statista Inc. USA | 17.07 million-unit sales of EVs and revenue of US$623.3bn worldwide by 2028 |
| Research and Markets, Dublin, Ireland | Global EV Market size is projected to hit US$ 1148.43 Billion by 2030. |
| Global EV Outlook 2023. International Energy Agency, France | Sales share of electric two/three-wheelers and electric buses may reach almost 80%, and 50% in 2030 in China. EVs (excluding two/three-wheelers) unit sales grows from almost 30 million in 2022 to about 240 million in 2030 globally (30% average annual growth rate). |
| Goldman Sachs Inc. New York | About 73 million units of EV sales worldwide in 2040. |
| Deloitte Insights, UK | Global EV sales will grow from 11.2 million units in 2025 to 31.1 units by 2030. |
| ABI Research, New York | Worldwide EV sales volume will climb to 47.44 million by 2030. |
| Markets and Markets Research Private Ltd. Pune, India | EVs market size is projected to reach US$951.9 billion by 2030. |
| Allied Market Research, Delaware 19801 USA | Projected to reach $823.75 billion by 2030. |
| Fortune Business Insights Pvt. Ltd., India | EV market size is projected to grow US$ 1579.10 billion in 2030 |
| Automotive Dive, Washington, DC, USA | EVs could reach 86 percent of global vehicle sales by 2030. A growth of 62% (Fast growth scenario) to 86% ((Faster growth scenario). |
| Global Industry Reports (US), Inc. | Global market size for EVs is projected to reach 80.7 million units by 2030. BEVs share is projected to reach 74.4 million units. |
| Types | Incentives |
| Purchase Tax | No purchase or import tax on EVs (1990–2022). In 2023, all new electric vehicles were subjected to a weight-based purchase tax. |
| Exemption from 25% VAT on purchases (2001–2022). From 2023, 25% VAT was imposed on the purchase price of 500000 Norwegian Kroner and over. | |
| Road Tax | No annual road tax (1996–2021). Reduced tax in the year 2021. Full tax from 2022 onward. |
| No charges on toll roads (1997–2017). | |
| No charges on ferries (2009–2017). | |
| Maximum 50% of the total amount on ferry fares for electric vehicles (2018). | |
| Maximum 50% of the total amount on toll roads (2018–2022). From 2023, 70% tax. | |
| Incentives to Companies | 25% reduced company car tax (2000–2008). 50% reduced company car tax (2009–2017). It was reduced to 40% range (2018–2021) and 20% from 2022 onward. |
| Exemption from 25% VAT on leasing (2015–onward) | |
| Nonmonetary Incentives | Free municipal parking (1999–2017) |
| Access to bus lanes (2005–). New rules allow local authorities to limit access to only EVs that carry one or more passengers (2016-). | |
| Charging rights for people living in apartment buildings were established in 2017. | |
| Tougher Regulations | The Norwegian Parliament decided that all new cars sold by 2025 should be zero-emission (electric or hydrogen) (2017). |
| Public procurement: From 2022 on, cars need to be ZEVs (zero-emission vehicles). From 2025 on, the same applies to city bus transport. |
| EV charging service providers | Charging Stations | |
|---|---|---|
| Fortum Charge & Drive collaborators: Other main collaborators in Norway are: Recharge IONITY Kople |
Allego | 164 |
| E. ON | 441 | |
| EVBox/Everon | 1981 | |
| GreenFlux | 12 | |
| UFC (Ultra-Fast Charging Scandinavia) | 69 | |
| Recharge | 3565 (includes fast charging network ) | |
| Mer (Grønn Kontakt), Norway | 950 fast chargers across the country | |
| Eviny | Installed more than 400 fast chargers | |
| Ionity | 164 | |
| Circle K | More than 500 chargers (includes Fast Chargers) | |
| Kople | 5152 (AC and DC chargers | |
| Tesla | 1724 | |
| Terra 360 and Eviny | Fastest charging stations. Charging time – 15 minutes or less. Maximum output of 360kW,. | |
| Big Challenges in adoption of EVs in India | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charging infrastructure | Poor charging infrastructure and range are the main concerns of people who opt for hybrid vehicles over EVs. No common App for locating charging stations. Lack of a universal payment option, poor quality of the power grid, and frequent power outages are some other major reasons for not opting for EVs. |
| 2 | Higher cost of EVs | Relatively high price tag compared to traditional gasoline vehicles. Poses a significant barrier to adoption. Limited credit options and high EMIs make it tough for the EV sector. Financial limitations create a significant impediment to the adoption of EVs. |
| 3 | Lack of technology | Battery technology plays a pivotal role in driving EV adoption. Performance improvement, range, and cost reduction are directly linked to innovations in battery technology. |
| 4 | Import of EV component and materials | The number of OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) manufacturing batteries from materials in India is very small. Lack of certain raw materials (cobalt, nickel, lithium, high-quality other chemicals, etc.) to produce batteries. Currently, it relies heavily on China and Korea. |
| 5 | Lack of skilled workforce | Very little repair and maintenance network for EVs compared to gasoline vehicles. Non-availability of trained technicians to repair, maintain, and find faults in the electric vehicle. Require sufficient, skilled technicians to rectify the problem as quickly as possible. Most EV owners have to rely on their EV dealer for service. |
| 6 | Resistance to change | Consumers are resisting the adoption of EVs, despite their long-term economic and environmental benefits. General reluctance toward new technologies. |
| Year | Model | Year of Released | Range (km per charge) | Cost (in RMB, ¥) (MSRP at launch) |
|
Xpeng |
Xpeng G3i-Basic | February 2022 | 460 | 138900 |
| Xpeng G6 Pro | February 2023 | 580 | 189900 | |
| Xpeng G9 Pro | February 2023 | 570 | 253900 | |
| Xpeng P5 Plus | February 2023 | 500 | 144900 | |
| Xpeng P7i Pro | February 2023 | 550 | 203900 | |
| Xpeng X9 Pro | February 2024 | 610 | 359800 | |
|
BYD |
Han – DM Premium | February 2024 | 506 | 179800 |
| Qin EV Standard | February 2021 | 405 | 145800 | |
| Qin EV Plus Glory | February 2024 | 420 | 109800 | |
| BYD D1 Ultra | February 2023 | 415 | 169800 | |
| BYD Dolphin Vibrant | February 2024 | 302 | 99800 | |
| Seal Elite | March 2024 | 550 | 179800 | |
| Tang EV Champion | February 2023 | 600 | 219800 | |
| Yuan Pro Deluxe | February 2023 | 320 | 89800 | |
| Seagull Vibrant | March 2024 | 305 | 69800 | |
| Son L Ultra | February 2023 | 550 | 189800 | |
| e2 Pride Comfort | March 2024 | 405 | 89800 | |
|
Tesla |
Model 3 Rear wheel drive | February 2023 | 606 (CATL Ningle battery) | 245900 |
| Model 3 All wheels drive | February 2023 | 713 (LG Battery) | 285900 | |
| Model Y Rear wheel drive | February 2024 | 554 (CATL) | 258900 | |
| Model Y All wheels drive | February 2024 | 688 (LG) | 299900 | |
| Model Y High performance All wheels drive | February 2024 | 615 (LG) | 363900 | |
|
Nio |
Nio ET5 | February 2024 | 560 | 298,000 |
| Nio ET5T | February 2024 | 560 | 298000 | |
| Nio ET7 | February 2023 | 530 | 428000 | |
| Nio ET9 | Scheduled December 2024 | 800000 | ||
| Nio EC6 | February 2024 | 505 | 358000 | |
| Nio EC7 | February 2024 | 490 | 458000 | |
| Nio ES6 | February 2024 | 500 | 338000 | |
| Nio ES7 | February 2024 | 485 | 438000 | |
| Nio ES8 | February 2024 | 465 | 498000 | |
|
SAIC-GM-Wuling |
Wuling Air EV Standard | February 2022 | 300 | 57800 |
| Wuling Bingo Enjoyment model | February 2023 | 203 | 55800 | |
| Hongguang Mini EV Macaron | February 2023 | 170 (Lithium ion phosphate battery) | 39800 | |
| Wuling Nano EV Enjoy model | February 2022 | 205 | 55800 | |
| Wuling Zhengcheng EV Journey model | February 2023 | 360 | 145800 | |
|
FAW Hongqi |
E-HS9 | March 2024 | 660 | 589800 |
| E-QM5 Plus | March 2024 | 560 | 199800 | |
| EH7 Pro | March 2024 | 760 | 309800 | |
| ESH7 2WD Basic model | Planned for 2024 | 660 | ||
|
Zeekr |
Zeekr 001 Basic | February 2024 | 750 | 269000 |
| Zeekr 007 Rear drive | February 2023 | 688 | 209900 | |
| Zeekr 009 WE | February 2024 | 702 | 500000 | |
| Zeekr X 4WD | February 2024 | 512 | 200000 | |
|
Seres |
AITO M5 Standard | February 2023 | 620 | 259800 |
| AITO M9 Max | February 2023 | 630 | 509800 | |
|
MG Motors -SAIC |
MG Cyberster Glamour Heart | November 2023 | 501 | 319800 |
| MG 4EV Champion | February 2023 | 415 | 115800 | |
|
Xiaomi Auto |
Xiaomi SU7 - Standard | March 2024 | 700 | 215900 |
| Xiaomi SU7 –Ultra Max | March 2024 | 800 | 299900 |
| Issues | Causes and impact |
| Environmental impact of battery production | Lithium-ion batteries require significant amounts of energy and resources. This is contributing to environmental degradation and carbon emissions. Further, metals, including lithium, to produce batteries are scare, difficult to access or produced in mining operations rife with serious human rights issues. |
| Energy source for charging | The environmental benefits depend on the source of electricity used for charging. In many regions, it may come from coal or natural gas power plants, negating some of the emission reductions. |
| Battery degradation | Over time, the battery performance degrades, resulting to reduced range and charging frequency. Battery degradation also affects the resale value and consumer confidence, highlighting the importance of battery management and recycling programs to address this issue. |
| E-waste generation | The disposal of EV batteries and other components at the end of their life cycle generate electronic –waste, posing environmental and health risks if not properly managed. Toxic metals such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel in lithium-ion batteries leach into soil and water if not disposed properly. Proper handling, storage, and disposal of EV batteries are needed to prevent pollution, protect human health, and environment. |
| Reliance on government subsidies | Heavy reliance on government subsidies lead to market uncertainty, volatility, and dependence on political will, affecting investment decisions and industry growth. For achieving market competitiveness and sustainability with subsidies, innovative business models, technology advancements, and supportive policy frameworks are required. |
| Misconception about EVs | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Not enough energy to manage with demand if everyone drove an EV | Powering millions of cars requires a significant amount of energy. However, it represents a modest part of the country's total energy consumption. Smart chargers and time-of-use rate programs will support balancing the load throughout the day. In the US, the grid is capable of handling more EVs. Even if EVs constitute 80% of the total vehicles, it will only translate into a 10–15% increase in electricity consumption. |
| More expensive than non-EVs | EVs are getting more and more affordable. It is true that electric automobiles are currently more expensive than gasoline vehicles. Charging an EV at home (with off-peak charging) is cheaper than filling a gasoline or diesel vehicle. EV battery prices are already falling, which will effectively reduce the upfront cost of new EVs. |
| Range per charge | While it was true in the early days of electric cars, the range per charge has improved to 400–500 miles currently. Energy consumption might vary depending on weather conditions and driving style. |
| Long charging time | It's true that charging an electric automobile takes longer than filling up at a gas station. Full-capacity charging time depends on battery capacity and charging speed. Even an EV with a comparatively large battery can be recharged (from 10 to 80%) in less than 20 minutes using the latest generation of ultra-fast public chargers. |
| Charging anxiety | There is uncertainty about the availability and/or reliability of public EV charging stations. Various governments are promoting charging infrastructure and encouraging private institutions to invest in the charging infrastructure, particularly in ultra-fast chargers. They hope to provide ultra-fast chargers after 30 miles of travel. There is also a need to provide enough charging stations in rural areas. |
| EVs are safe, EV batteries blow-up | Charging an EV even in the rain is safe. All electric car chargers meet the international standard for waterproofing. Concerns over EV batteries catching fire or exploding in a collision. The frequency and severity of fires and explosions from lithium-ion battery systems are comparable to or less than those for gasoline vehicles. Fuses and flame retardants prevent batteries from leaking electrolytes and/or catching fire. |
| Repair and maintenance | Electric cars have fewer parts than internal combustion engines. EVs need less maintenance throughout the life span of the vehicle. They don’t require regular oil changes or tune-ups. There are far fewer moving parts to eventually fail and need replacing. However, brakes need to be checked regularly, apart from regular maintenance for perishable items. EV tyres can cost more as they need to be replaced much earlier compared to gasoline vehicles due to the larger battery packs, which put additional wear on the rubber. |
| Breakdown concerns | EVs can be towed away to a safe place or to a repair shop like gasoline vehicles. |
| Software and electronic system failures concerns | EVs require electronic systems and software to work properly. These systems may occasionally experience issues. Common electronics-related issues include defective sensors and wiring problems, which can make it difficult to operate EVs safely. Drivers must pay close attention to all the electronic arrays surrounding them. Software problems and electrical device repairs may be more expensive. Software-related issues can be resolved by visiting the dealers or proper service centers. |
| Common issues with EVs | The technology for EVs is advancing continuously. However, it still has a long way to go. There are several potential concerns with EVs that need to be addressed before they can genuinely become popular solutions for everyone. |
| Models | EVs weight (kg) | Gasoline counterparts’ weight (kg) |
| Ford 150 truck | 2728.35 | 1841.58 |
| Hyundai Kona 2024 SEL SUV | 1385 SEL SUV2.0L | |
| Hyundai Kona SEL 2023 | 1685 | 1390 |
| Volvo | 2114.64 | 1690 |
| Peugeot 208, French Automaker | 1910 (e-208 model) | 1090 |
| BMW 4 series Gran Couple | 2065 (i4 model with 70kWh battery) | 1695 |
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