Submitted:
11 March 2024
Posted:
14 March 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
- (1)
- Previous empirical research has relied on inconsistent ESG performance indicators collected by different institutions, potentially resulting in unreliable and incomparable research findings. To address this problem, this study synthesizes data from prominent ESG rating agencies in China and constructs a comprehensive indicator for ESG performance. Given the growing popularity of ESG investing, numerous third-party ESG evaluation agencies have emerged recently. Unlike previous research, this study constructs a comprehensive ESG performance indicator. This approach mitigates the problem of unreliable results stemming from inconsistent index selection.
- (2)
- Existing empirical studies have assumed a linear relationship between ESG performance and enterprise value, leading to incongruent results across studies. To overcome this limitation, this paper hypothesizes a non-linear relationship and adopts a specialized regression model, generating a cohesive empirical framework for future research.
- (3)
- Prior studies often overlook the problem of biased estimation due to endogeneity. To tackle the issue of biased estimation stemming from endogeneity, this paper employs instrumental variables via the two-stage least squares method, mitigating potential threats to internal validity. More specifically, we employ tool variables like analyst prediction bias and the industry's mean ESG responsibility performance. These variables will undergo thorough testing to address endogeneity effectively, thereby strengthening the reliability of our analysis.
2. Theoretical Analysis and Research Hypotheses
2.1. Nonlinear Relationships and the Moderating Effect of Financing Constraints
2.2. Heterogeneity of ESG Responsibility Fulfilment and Enterprise Value
2.3. Reducing Financing Cost Is the Primary Path for ESG Responsibility Fulfilment to Influence Enterprise Value
3. Research Design
3.1. Data Sources and Processing
3.2. Variable Descriptions
3.2.1. Dependent Variable
3.2.2. Explanatory Variable
3.2.3. Moderating and Mediating Variables
3.2.4. Control Variables
3.3. Empirical Model
4. Empirical Results and Analysis
4.1. Analysis of the Results of the Benchmark Regression
4.2. Discussion and Treatment of Endogenous Problem
4.3. Robustness Tests
4.3.1. Replacement of the Dependent Variable and Independent Variables
4.3.2. Quantile Regression
4.4. Heterogeneity Analysis
4.5. Further Discussion: Mechanism Analysis
5. Conclusions
Funding
References
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| 1 | Source: address to the 75th session of the United Nations General Assembly. |
| 2 | Source:《2021 China ESG Development White Paper》 |
| 3 | From: Wind et al. database. |
| 4 | Note: Subsequently, we also use KZ and SA indexes to test the moderating effect, both of which passed. |
| 5 | EPS, which stands for Earnings Per Share, follows Mao and Botosan's approach, utilizing analysts’ forecasts of earnings per share as the earnings per share for the sample companies in each period. |
| Institution | Sample size | Mean | Standard deviation | Minimum | Median | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sino-securities | 32,210 | 61.283 | 13.282 | 10 | 60 | 90 |
| Bloomberg | 9,340 | 20.771 | 7.084 | 1.240 | 19.835 | 64.115 |
| Hexun | 31,984 | 23.267 | 15.134 | -18.450 | 21.540 | 90.87 |
| WESG | 9,241 | 40.937 | 9.505 | 6.927 | 39.921 | 68.077 |
| Variable type | Variable name | Variable definition |
|---|---|---|
| Explained variable | Tobin’s Q | Market value is divided by total assets at the end of the period. |
| Explanatory variable | WESG | Weighted generated enterprise ESG responsibility fulfillment optimization indicator. |
| Moderating variable | FC | Enterprise age and cash dividend payout ratio after standardization. |
| Mediating variables | COD | The ratio of financial expenses to liabilities. |
| COE | Analysts forecast the difference in earnings per share for two consecutive years divided by the closing share price and open the number. | |
| Control variables | Size | Natural logarithm of total assets of an enterprise. |
| Growth | The growth rate of revenue | |
| Fixed | The sum of net fixed assets and net inventory is divided by total assets. | |
| Top1 | The shareholding ratio of the largest shareholder | |
| Year | 2012-2020 | |
| Ind | The SFC 2012 Industry Classification Guidelines for listed enterprises. |
| Variable | Sample size | Mean | Standard deviation | Minimum | Median | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q | 9,076 | 2.253 | 1.763 | 0.855 | 2.552 | 11.980 |
| WESG | 9,076 | 40.960 | 9.494 | 6.927 | 39.960 | 68.080 |
| FC | 8865 | 0.310 | 0.245 | 0.006 | 0.490 | 0.942 |
| COD | 9,076 | 0.011 | 0.032 | -0.188 | 0.029 | 0.070 |
| COE | 3,550 | 0.095 | 0.050 | 0.012 | 0.120 | 0.262 |
| Size | 9,076 | 23.030 | 1.274 | 19.570 | 23.820 | 26.020 |
| Growth | 9,076 | 0.159 | 0.401 | -0.561 | 0.237 | 2.856 |
| Fixed | 9,076 | 0.242 | 0.176 | 0.003 | 0.348 | 0.700 |
| Top1 | 9,076 | 36.930 | 15.920 | 8.790 | 48.800 | 75.050 |
| Variable | (1) | (2) | (3)First stage(ESG) | (4)First stage(ESG2) | (5)Second stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q | Q | ESG | ESG2 | Q | |
| WESG | 0.057*** | 0.075*** | 1.031*** | ||
| (5.21) | (6.87) | (5.30) | |||
| WESG2 | -0.001*** | -0.001*** | -0.012*** | ||
| (-4.50) | (-5.42) | (-5.39) | |||
| WESG×FC | -0.025*** | ||||
| (-9.84) | |||||
| ERROR | -0.147*** | -11.250*** | |||
| (-8.96) | (-8.06) | ||||
| mESG | 1.020*** | 90.635*** | |||
| (49.58) | (51.81) | ||||
| Size | -0.746*** | -0.853*** | 1.392*** | 112.373*** | -0.684*** |
| (-23.41) | (-23.07) | (18.97) | (18.02) | (-22.33) | |
| Growth | 0.308*** | 0.328*** | -0.898*** | -81.553*** | 0.490*** |
| (10.61) | (11.26) | (-3.96) | (-4.23) | (8.93) | |
| Fixed | -0.651*** | -0.512*** | -2.37*** | -188.271*** | -1.346*** |
| (-3.85) | (-3.00) | (-4.57) | (-4.27) | (-9.98) | |
| Top1 | 0.000 | 0.002 | -0.003 | -0.496 | 0.000 |
| (0.24) | (0.78) | (-0.53) | (-1.00) | (0.14) | |
| cons | 17.894*** | 19.927*** | -31.533*** | -4417.133*** | -2.996 |
| (16.56) | (17.44) | (-16.55) | (-27.27) | (-0.85) | |
| N | 9,076 | 8,865 | 8495 | 8495 | 8495 |
| R2 | 0.263 | 0.267 | Correlation test of instrumental variables: Unidentifiable test: P value=0.000 Weak instrumental variable test: F value=33.469 |
||
| Ind | Yes | Yes | |||
| year | Yes | Yes | |||
| Variable | (1) | (2) | (3)q25 | (4)q50 | (5)q75 | (6)q90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q | Q | Q | Q | Q | |
| WESG | 0.032*** | -0.013*** | 0.003 | 0.027 | 0.081*** | |
| (3.66) | (-2.98) | (0.41) | (1.61) | (3.36) | ||
| WESG2 | -0.000*** | 0.000*** | -0.000 | -0.000 | -0.001*** | |
| (-2.63) | (3.35) | (-0.00) | (-1.43) | (-3.08) | ||
| WESG1 | 0.077*** | |||||
| (4.18) | ||||||
| WESG12 | -0.001*** | |||||
| (-3.34) | ||||||
| Control | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 9,076 | 4793 | 9,076 | 9,076 | 9,076 | 9,076 |
| R2 | 0.209 | 0.289 | 0.116 | 0.142 | 0.166 | 0.191 |
| Variable | (1)Non-polluting | (2)Polluting | (3)Non-state-owned | (4)State-owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q | Q | Q | Q | |
| WESG | 0.097*** | -0.033* | 0.069*** | 0.010 |
| (6.36) | (-1.78) | (3.46) | (0.75) | |
| WESG2 | -0.001*** | 0.000 | -0.001*** | -0.000 |
| (-5.86) | (1.62) | (-3.02) | (-0.78) | |
| Control | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 5826 | 3250 | 4348 | 4728 |
| R2 | 0.129 | 0.089 | 0.139 | 0.080 |
| Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COD | Q | COE | Q | |
| WESG | -0.000*** | 0.056*** | -0.001*** | 0.059*** |
| (-3.37) | (5.08) | (-3.94) | (2.85) | |
| WESG2 | -0.001*** | -0.001*** | ||
| (-4.38) | (-2.59) | |||
| COD | -0.742 | |||
| (-1.44) | ||||
| COE | -1.543*** | |||
| (-3.67) | ||||
| Control | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| N | 9076 | 9076 | 3550 | 3550 |
| R2 | 0.095 | 0.263 | 0.076 | 0.278 |
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