Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Impact of Hydroclimatic Changes on Water Security in the Cantareira Water Production System, Brazil

Version 1 : Received: 27 October 2023 / Approved: 30 October 2023 / Online: 30 October 2023 (08:49:51 CET)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Tercini, J.R.B.; Mello Júnior, A.V. Impact of Hydroclimatic Changes on Water Security in the Cantareira Water Production System, Brazil. Atmosphere 2023, 14, 1836. Tercini, J.R.B.; Mello Júnior, A.V. Impact of Hydroclimatic Changes on Water Security in the Cantareira Water Production System, Brazil. Atmosphere 2023, 14, 1836.

Abstract

The Cantareira Water Producer System (CWPS), which supplies water to the most populous Brazilian region, Metropolitan Region of São Paulo (MRSP), faces significant challenges due to climate change, threatening its water security. Climate change affects the hydrological cycle affecting water availability. The CWPS is vulnerable to periods of scarcity and instability due to increased climatic variability and increasing water consumption. Current water resource management systems do not consider the impacts of climate change, making it difficult to ensure water security in the future. This study analyzes the impact of climate change on the availability of CWPS using hydrological modeling approach with forecast precipitation data by CMIP6 and assessment of existing systems. The finds will provide a comprehensive understanding of the challenges faced by CWPS in the context of climate change, as well as support strategies and adaptive measures to ensure water security for MRSP.

Keywords

reservoir system; climate change; water security; hydrological modeling

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Water Science and Technology

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