El Niño Effects on Southern African Agriculture in 2023/24, Anticipatory Action Strategies to Reduce the Impacts in Zimbabwe

Hillary Mugiyo; Tamuka Magadzire; Dennis Junior Choruma; Vimbayi Grace Petrova Chimonyo; Rebecca Manzou; Obert Jiri; Tafadzwa Mabhaudhi

doi:10.20944/preprints202310.0421.v1

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preprints.org > environmental and earth sciences > atmospheric science and meteorology > doi: 10.20944/preprints202310.0421.v1

Preprint Communication Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

El Niño Effects on Southern African Agriculture in 2023/24, Anticipatory Action Strategies to Reduce the Impacts in Zimbabwe

Hillary Mugiyo

^* ,

Tamuka Magadzire

Dennis Junior Choruma

Vimbayi Grace Petrova Chimonyo

Rebecca Manzou

Obert Jiri

Tafadzwa Mabhaudhi

Version 1 : Received: 7 October 2023 / Approved: 8 October 2023 / Online: 8 October 2023 (07:28:20 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Mugiyo, H.; Magadzire, T.; Choruma, D.J.; Chimonyo, V.G.P.; Manzou, R.; Jiri, O.; Mabhaudhi, T. El Niño’s Effects on Southern African Agriculture in 2023/24 and Anticipatory Action Strategies to Reduce the Impacts in Zimbabwe. Atmosphere 2023, 14, 1692. Mugiyo, H.; Magadzire, T.; Choruma, D.J.; Chimonyo, V.G.P.; Manzou, R.; Jiri, O.; Mabhaudhi, T. El Niño’s Effects on Southern African Agriculture in 2023/24 and Anticipatory Action Strategies to Reduce the Impacts in Zimbabwe. Atmosphere 2023, 14, 1692.

Abstract

The brief paper utilises Zimbabwe as a case study to discuss the effects of El Nino in Southern Africa. It offers potential adaptation and mitigation measures for farmers to prepare for the forecasted El Nino-influenced rainy season 2023/24 and the future. To reduce climate and weather hazards connected with El Nino, the brief report suggests anticipatory action methods be applied in southern Africa, using Zimbabwe as a case study. To protect farmers' livelihoods and enhance drought readiness for the forthcoming agricultural seasons, the paper suggests a degree of strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making that the agriculture industry should adhere to. It emphasised the significance of providing farmers with knowledge and advice regarding drought and heat stress, including cultivating crop varieties and livestock and sufficient fire safety precautions. The brief paper calls to advocate for anticipatory action to avert El Nino in Southern Africa.

Keywords

Early warning; El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO); Climate services, weather, and climate information

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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