Submitted:
02 October 2023
Posted:
03 October 2023
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Medico-Administrative Database
Patient Characteristics
Ethics
2.2. Clinical Database Epithor
Patient Characteristics
Ethics
Outcome Measurements
Statistical Analysis
Validation of Models
3. Results
Description of Predictors
Development Model
Model Validity
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Coef | S.E. | Wald test | P value | |
| Intercept | -8.0726 | 1.7008 | -4.75 | <0.0001 |
| FEV 1* | 0.0192 | 0.0134 | 1.43 | 0.1518 |
| FEV 2 | -0.0835 | 0.0416 | -2.01 | 0.0445 |
| FEV 3 | 0.3055 | 0.1609 | 1.90 | 0.0576 |
| Age | 0.0247 | 0.0080 | 3.09 | 0.0020 |
| Body Mass Index** Bmi: X/10 |
1.3608 | 0.8036 | 1.69 | 0.0904 |
|
Bmi : X^3 |
-0.0813 | 0.0374 | -2.17 | 0.0298 |
| Performance status 2 |
0.3381 | 0.1559 | 2.17 | 0.0301 |
|
≥ 3 |
0.7057 | 0.2269 | 3.11 | 0.0019 |
| Dyspnea score ≥4 | 1.3531 | 0.2899 | 4.67 | <0.0001 |
| Gold score ≥3 | 0.2870 | 0.2128 | 1.35 | 0.1774 |
| Pneumonectomy | 0.3655 | 0.2362 | 1.55 | 0.1219 |
| Sleeve | 0.9130 | 0.3111 | 2.94 | 0.0033 |
| VATS | -0.0331 | 0.1540 | -0.22 | 0.8296 |
| Extended resection | 0.3369 | 0.3686 | 0.91 | 0.3606 |
| T2 | 0.1873 | 0.1898 | 0.99 | 0.3237 |
| T3 | 0.6567 | 0.2056 | 3.19 | 0.0014 |
| T4 | 0.8566 | 0.2560 | 3.35 | 0.0008 |
| T missing | 2.1008 | 0.8099 | 2.59 | 0.0095 |
| N2 | 0.3969 | 0.2089 | 1.90 | 0.0575 |
| N missing | 0.7002 | 0.1853 | 3.78 | 0.0002 |
| M2 | 0.7117 | 0.2662 | 2.67 | 0.0075 |
| M missing | -2.3664 | 0.8259 | -2.87 | 0.0042 |
| Female | -0.7042 | 0.1807 | -3.90 | <0.0001 |
| Asa score 2 | 0.3854 | 0.2779 | 1.39 | 0.1656 |
| Asa score 3 | 0.6555 | 0.2822 | 2.32 | 0.0202 |
| Comorbidity score ≥3 | 0.2693 | 0.1479 | 1.82 | 0.0687 |
| Coef | S.E. | Wald test | P value | |
| Intercept | -4.3107 | 1.0408 | -4.14 | <0.0001 |
| Pulmonary disease | 1.4882 | 0.1401 | 10.62 | <0.0001 |
| Heart disease | 0.4115 | 0.1412 | 2.91 | 0.0036 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 0.4095 | 0.1652 | 2.48 | 0.0131 |
| Neurological disease | 0.5063 | 0.2213 | 2.29 | 0.0221 |
| Liver disease | 1.9270 | 0.3037 | 6.35 | <0.0001 |
| Renal disease | 0.7027 | 0.2410 | 2.92 | 0.0035 |
| Metabolic disease | -0.3874 | 0.1867 | -2.07 | 0.0380 |
| Anemia | 0.3951 | 0.1483 | 2.66 | 0.0077 |
| Infectious disease | 1.4135 | 0.3245 | 4.36 | <0.0001 |
| Other disease | 0.4097 | 0.1292 | 3.17 | 0.0015 |
| Extended resection | 0.6063 | 0.1632 | 3.71 | 0.0002 |
| Sleeve | 0.8957 | 0.2966 | 3.02 | 0.0025 |
| Female | -0.7435 | 0.1680 | -4.43 | <0.0001 |
| VATS/robot | -0.6010 | 0.1590 | -3.78 | 0.0002 |
| Age 1* | 0.0054 | 0.0163 | 0.33 | 0.7379 |
| Age 2 | 0.0405 | 0.0161 | 2.52 | 0.0117 |
| Logarithm hospital volume | -0.2163 | 0.0661 | -3.27 | 0.0011 |
| Medico-administrative database | Clinical database Epithor | |||
| Development data (n=10516) | Validation data (n=4507) |
Development data (n=10516) |
Validation data (n=4507) |
|
| Performance measures R2 Brier score Brier max Brier scaled |
20% 0.024 0.026 0.08 |
19% 0.024 0.026 0.07 |
12% 0.02 0.021 0.03 |
13% 0.02 0.02 0.08 |
| Discrimative ability AUC ROC Concordance statistic Discrimination slope |
0.83[0.80- 0.85] |
0.80[0.76- 0.84] 0.82 0.08 |
0.78[0.75-0.81] |
0.73[0.68- 0.78] 0.73 0.03 |
| Calibration Hosmer-Lemeshow test (Χ2) (P-value) ICI E50 E90 Emax Abs Calibration Error* Unreliability p value |
8.7 (0.36) |
8 (0.5) 0.0037 0.003 0.006 0.15 0.006 0.2 |
10.4(0.24) |
9(0.43) 0.003 0.002 0.005 0.68 0.005 0.05 |
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