Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Research on Short-Term Passenger Flow Prediction of LSTM Rail Transit Based on Wavelet Denoising

Version 1 : Received: 16 August 2023 / Approved: 16 August 2023 / Online: 16 August 2023 (11:08:42 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Zhao, Q.; Feng, X.; Zhang, L.; Wang, Y. Research on Short-Term Passenger Flow Prediction of LSTM Rail Transit Based on Wavelet Denoising. Mathematics 2023, 11, 4204. Zhao, Q.; Feng, X.; Zhang, L.; Wang, Y. Research on Short-Term Passenger Flow Prediction of LSTM Rail Transit Based on Wavelet Denoising. Mathematics 2023, 11, 4204.

Abstract

Urban rail transit offers advantages like high safety, energy efficiency, and environmental friendliness. With cities rapidly expanding, travelers are increasingly using rail systems, heightening demands for passenger capacity and efficiency while also pressuring these networks. Passenger flow forecasting is an essential part of transportation systems. Short-term passenger flow forecasting for rail transit can estimate future station volumes, providing valuable data to guide operations management and mitigate congestion. This paper investigates short-term forecasting for Suzhou's Shantang Street station. Shantang Street's high commercial presence and distinct weekday versus weekend ridership patterns make it an interesting test case. Wavelet denoising and LSTM modeling were combined to predict short-term flows, comparing the results to standalone LSTM and SVR approaches. This study illustrates that the adopted algorithms exhibit good performance for passenger prediction. The LSTM model with wavelet denoising proved most accurate, demonstrating applicability for short-term rail transit forecasting and practical significance.

Keywords

rail transit short-term passenger flow prediction; LSTM; wavelet denoising analysis; SVR

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

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