Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Spatiotemporal Distribution of Tuberculosis in the Oromia Region of Ethiopia: Hotspot Analysis

Dereje Bekele
* ORCID logo ,
Solomon Aragie
,
Kefyalew Addis Alene
ORCID logo ,
Tariku Dejene
,
Samson Warkaye
,
Melat Mezemir
,
Dereje Abdena
,
Tesfaye Kebebew
,
Abera Botore
,
Geremew Mekonen
,
Gadissa Gutema
ORCID logo ,
Boja Dufera
,
Kolato Gemede
,
Birhanu Kenate
,
Dabesa Gobena
,
Bizuneh Alemu
,
Dagnachew Hailemariam
,
Daba Muleta
,
SUI Gilman
,
Ketema Tafess
ORCID logo
Version 1 : Received: 31 July 2023 / Approved: 31 July 2023 / Online: 1 August 2023 (03:45:40 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Bekele, D.; Aragie, S.; Alene, K.A.; Dejene, T.; Warkaye, S.; Mezemir, M.; Abdena, D.; Kebebew, T.; Botore, A.; Mekonen, G.; Gutema, G.; Dufera, B.; Gemede, K.; Kenate, B.; Gobena, D.; Alemu, B.; Hailemariam, D.; Muleta, D.; Siu, G.K.H.; Tafess, K. Spatiotemporal Distribution of Tuberculosis in the Oromia Region of Ethiopia: A Hotspot Analysis. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis. 2023, 8, 437. Bekele, D.; Aragie, S.; Alene, K.A.; Dejene, T.; Warkaye, S.; Mezemir, M.; Abdena, D.; Kebebew, T.; Botore, A.; Mekonen, G.; Gutema, G.; Dufera, B.; Gemede, K.; Kenate, B.; Gobena, D.; Alemu, B.; Hailemariam, D.; Muleta, D.; Siu, G.K.H.; Tafess, K. Spatiotemporal Distribution of Tuberculosis in the Oromia Region of Ethiopia: A Hotspot Analysis. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis. 2023, 8, 437.

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health concern in low and middle-income countries including Ethiopia. This study aimed to assess the spatiotemporal distribution and identify TB risk factors in Ethiopia's Oromia region. Descriptive and spatiotemporal analyses were conducted. Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling was employed to identify covariates that accounted for variability and spatiotemporal distribution of TB. A total of 206,278 new pulmonary TB cases were reported in the Oromia region between 2018 and 2022, with the lowest annual TB case notification (96.93 per 100,000 population) reported in 2020 (i.e., during the COVID-19 pandemic) and the highest TB case notification (106.19 per 100,000 population) reported in 2019. Substantial spatiotemporal variations in the distribution of notified TB case notifications were observed at zonal and district levels with most of the hotspot areas detected in the northern and southern parts of the region. The spatiotemporal distribution of notified TB incidence was positively associated with different ecological variables. The findings of this study indicated that preventive measures considering socio-demographic and health system factors can be targeted to high-risk areas for effective control of TB in the Oromia region. Further studies are needed to develop effective strategies for reducing the burden of TB in hotspot areas.

Keywords

Tuberculosis; TB case notification; Spatiotemporal; Oromia; Ethiopia

Subject

Public Health and Healthcare, Public Health and Health Services

Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Download PDF Download Supplementary

Comments (0)

We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our Diversity statement.

Leave a public comment
Send a private comment to the author(s)
* All users must log in before leaving a comment
Views 0
Downloads 0
Comments 0
Metrics 0
Get PDF Supplementary Files Cite Share 0
Bookmark BibSonomy Mendeley Reddit Delicious
×
Alerts
Notify me about updates to this article or when a peer-reviewed version is published.
We use cookies on our website to ensure you get the best experience.
Read more about our cookies here.