Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Gell River Fire Driven by Forced Channeling and Lateral Fire in 2018–19 Summer, Tasmania

Version 1 : Received: 20 July 2023 / Approved: 21 July 2023 / Online: 21 July 2023 (10:27:29 CEST)

How to cite: Ozaki, M.; Williamson, G.; Fox-Hughes, P.; Love, P.; Aryal, J. Gell River Fire Driven by Forced Channeling and Lateral Fire in 2018–19 Summer, Tasmania. Preprints 2023, 2023071502. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202307.1502.v1 Ozaki, M.; Williamson, G.; Fox-Hughes, P.; Love, P.; Aryal, J. Gell River Fire Driven by Forced Channeling and Lateral Fire in 2018–19 Summer, Tasmania. Preprints 2023, 2023071502. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202307.1502.v1

Abstract

Mountain fire can become more complex than fires at lower elevation due to the complex interaction of fire, topography, and weather. The Gell River Fire in Tasmania, Australia occurred in rugged terrain where there are abundant fire sensitive vegetation communities, as well as the presence of infrastructure including high-voltage transmission lines. The fire began at the end of December 2018 and lasted a few months, with a final burnt area of approximately 350km2 despite significant fire suppression effort. The fire was investigated by employing wind vector maps, numerical weather model vertical sounding charts (NWMVS) and Prototype 2, which is an integrated fire simulator and can detect lateral fire channeling (LFC). Our analysis of the fire found its spread was likely to be introduced into a valley by forced channeling (FC), which is modified synoptic wind, and showed rapid spread in the valley. The simulated fire also showed wider spread than the observed data in the valley, with the simulated fire impacting highly sensitive vegetation communities on the fringes of the valley. This alludes to some potential conclusions: (1) The loss of fire sensitive vegetation would have increased if fire suppression activity had not been conducted. (2) Spotting fires could be produced by LFC because these spotting fire would allow spreading fire in a shorter period. (3) Heterogeneity of vegetation, such as combination of buttongrass and forest, could help carry fire rapidly in the valley with LFC. Fire can propagate faster in buttongrass than in forests while the forests allow the spotting fire.

Keywords

Rugged terrain, AFDRS, buttongrass, forced channeling, lateral fire channeling

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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