Submitted:
11 June 2023
Posted:
12 June 2023
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Abstract
Keywords:
MSC: 90-10
1. Introduction
2. Non-Participating Policies and Participating Policies
2.1. Assumptions and Notation
| Fixed business cost | |
| Variable business cost/per piece | |
| Terms of a valid policy | |
| Benefit amount due/piece/term | |
| Claim amount within the policy period in the event of an accident of the beneficiary | |
| Risk-free rate | |
| The occurrence of a covered accident prior to one term (when the proposer purchased the policy) | |
| The probability of an insured having a covered accident at the j term,and j=1, 2, …, N-1. (after the proposer purchased the policy) | |
| The probability of an insured having no covered accident during the policy | |
| The premium of a policy/per policy/term, the decision variable | |
| Policy demand with where a is spontaneous demand, b is induced demand, and is a decreasing function with respect to s. |
- Considering a single insurance product.
- The insurers have liability for compensation for the insured’s accident that occurs within the policy period. The claim amount is R. The policy becomes void once the claim is settled.
- While the proposer purchases the policy, the probability of accidents equals one, which is
- The demand for the policy is a decreasing function of the premium of the policy.D(s) satisfies D′(s) < 0
2.2. Non-Participating Policy
- (1)
- Present value of gross premium income
- (2)
- Gross initial business cost
- (3)
- Present value of total expected claim amount
2.3. Participating Policy
- (1)
- Present value of gross premium income
- (2)
- Gross initial business cost
- (3)
- Present Value of the total expected claim amount
- (4)
- Present Value of the total expected payment due

3. Numerical Experiments and Sensitivity Analysis
3.1. Non-Participating Policy
3.2. Participating Policy
3.3. Comparing Non-Participating and Participating Policy Optimal Solutions
4. Concluding Remarks
4.1. Conclusions and Discussion
4.2. Research Implications
4.3. Limitations and Future Research
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| variation(%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Parameter | variation(%) | The premium of a policy |
The total expected profit of policies |
| R | -50 | -1.2332 | 2.6115 |
| -25 | -0.6166 | 1.3015 | |
| +25 | 0.6166 | -1.2931 | |
| +50 | 1.2332 | -2.5778 | |
| c0 | -50 | 0.0000 | 2.91955×10-6 |
| -25 | 0.0000 | 1.45977×10-6 | |
| +25 | 0.0000 | -1.45977×10-6 | |
| +50 | 0.0000 | -2.91955×10-6 | |
| c1 | -50 | -0.0027 | 0.0057 |
| -25 | -0.0013 | 0.0028 | |
| +25 | 0.0013 | -0.0028 | |
| +50 | 0.0027 | -0.0057 | |
| R | -50 | 0.0515 | 2.4273 |
| -25 | 0.0256 | 1.1991 | |
| +25 | - 0.0252 | -1.1709 | |
| +50 | - 0.0501 | -2.3144 | |
| A | -50 | -48.7641 | -76.2833 |
| -25 | -24.382 | -44.7209 | |
| +25 | 24.382 | 57.8795 | |
| +50 | 48.7641 | 128.917 | |
| B | -50 | 97.5282 | 105.235 |
| -25 | 32.5094 | 35.0725 | |
| +25 | -19.5056 | -21.0368 | |
| +50 | -32.5094 | -35.0556 | |
| variation(%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| parameter | variation(%) | The premium of a policy |
The total expected profit of policies |
| R | -50 | -0.8734 | 4.6311 |
| -25 | -0.4367 | 2.3025 | |
| +25 | 0.4367 | -2.2763 | |
| +50 | 0.8734 | -4.5263 | |
| M | -50 | -14.5866 | 91.0835 |
| -25 | -7.2933 | 41.8874 | |
| +25 | 7.2933 | -34.5786 | |
| +50 | 14.5866 | -61.8483 | |
| c0 | -50 | 0.0000 | 9.09154×10-6 |
| -25 | 0.0000 | 4.54577×10-6 | |
| +25 | 0.0000 | -4.54577×10-6 | |
| +50 | 0.0000 | -9.09154×10-6 | |
| c1 | -50 | -0.0019 | 0.0100 |
| -25 | -0.0010 | 0.0050 | |
| +25 | 0.0010 | -0.0050 | |
| +50 | 0.0019 | -0.0100 | |
| r | -50 | 0.9841 | -2.6834 |
| -25 | 0.4836 | -1.2970 | |
| +25 | -0.4674 | 1.2119 | |
| +50 | -0.9194 | 2.3427 | |
| a | -50 | -34.5380 | -99.1027 |
| -25 | -17.2690 | -70.0394 | |
| +25 | 17.2690 | 111.0150 | |
| +50 | 34.5380 | 263.0070 | |
| b | -50 | 69.0760 | 294.9590 |
| -25 | 23.0253 | 92.8447 | |
| +25 | -13.8152 | -49.1369 | |
| +50 | -23.0253 | -76.4200 | |
| Types of policies | Optimum policy premium | Optimal policy sales volume | Maximum present value of expected gross profits |
| Non-participating policy Participating policy |
$34,1782 | 19494(sheets) | $34,251,900,000 |
| $48,2560 | 11046(sheets) | $10,999,200,000 |
| Parameter | Premium per policy (s) | Present Value of total profits |
|---|---|---|
| R | ↑ | ↓ |
| M | ↑ | ↓ |
| c0 | ↑ | ↓ |
| c1 | ↑ | ↓ |
| r | ↓ | ↑↓ |
| a | ↑ | ↑ |
| b | ↓ | ↓ |
| Parameter | Variation(%) | Non-participating policy | Participating policy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variation(%) | Variation(%) | ||||
| Policy Price | PV of Expected total profits | Policy Price | PV of Expected total profits | ||
| a | -50 | -48.7641 | -76.2833 | -34.5380 | -99.1027 |
| -25 | -24.382 | -44.7209 | -17.2690 | -70.0394 | |
| +25 | 24.382 | 57.8795 | 17.2690 | 111.0150 | |
| +50 | 48.7641 | 128.917 | 34.5380 | 263.0070 | |
| b | -50 | 97.5282 | 105.235 | 69.0760 | 294.9590 |
| -25 | 32.5094 | 35.0725 | 23.0253 | 92.8447 | |
| +25 | -19.5056 | -21.0368 | -13.8152 | -49.1369 | |
| +50 | -32.5094 | -35.0556 | -23.0253 | -76.4200 | |
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