Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Bertrand Paradox: Critical Consideration of Two of the Three Solutions in Terms of Geometry

Version 1 : Received: 7 March 2023 / Approved: 8 March 2023 / Online: 8 March 2023 (10:10:49 CET)

How to cite: Brazhnikov, P. Bertrand Paradox: Critical Consideration of Two of the Three Solutions in Terms of Geometry. Preprints 2023, 2023030154. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202303.0154.v1 Brazhnikov, P. Bertrand Paradox: Critical Consideration of Two of the Three Solutions in Terms of Geometry. Preprints 2023, 2023030154. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202303.0154.v1

Abstract

This article presents the results of the consideration of the Bertrand paradox in terms of geometric probability theory. Although the method and conclusions of this article are straightforward, no equivalent studies were found when reviewing the relevant literature. This could be conditioned by the fact that the hypotheses presented in this research have low intuitive obviousness and, in contrast, could be due to the historically established agreement regarding the issue. This article shows that out of three classical solutions to the problem described by Bertrand, two methods are inconsistent with the claimed relative objectivity. Although the remaining solution (1/4) seems to be the most correct, we cannot claim that we have exhaustively ruled out all aspects that could reduce its adequacy to solve the problem.

Keywords

Bertrand paradox; geometric probability; probability estimation method

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Probability and Statistics

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