Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Analysis of Risks and Costs in Intruder Detection With Markov Decision Processes

Version 1 : Received: 25 April 2021 / Approved: 27 April 2021 / Online: 27 April 2021 (12:33:23 CEST)

How to cite: Jormakka, J.; Ghosh, S. Analysis of Risks and Costs in Intruder Detection With Markov Decision Processes. Preprints 2021, 2021040713 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202104.0713.v1). Jormakka, J.; Ghosh, S. Analysis of Risks and Costs in Intruder Detection With Markov Decision Processes. Preprints 2021, 2021040713 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202104.0713.v1).

Abstract

Let us assume that defence mechanisms are so strong that the average outcome of a hacking attack is unsuccessful. How to calculate the costs arising from false positives and false negatives in intruder detection? Is it better for the hacker to make fewer but more effective attacks rather than several but less effective attacks? How to calculate the difference between these alternative strategies?

Subject Areas

combinatorics, risk analysis, decision analysis.

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