Preprint
Article

Predicting Active, Death and Recovery Rates of COVID-19 in Algeria Using Facebook’ Prophet Model

This version is not peer-reviewed.

Submitted:

26 February 2021

Posted:

01 March 2021

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Abstract
The coronavirus disease pandemic 2019 (COVID-19) has emerged in Wuhan province, China in December 2019 and has spread over all countries. The current study was carried out to predict active, death and cured rate of COVID 19 in Algeria for a future period of 35 days using FB prophet model. Results shoed that the active rate and the death rate decrease for the next days while the cured rate increase. The active, cured and death rates are estimated at 19.7% 78.85% and 2.55% respectively. These results highlight the importance of FB prophet model in COVID-19 prediction which could help national authorities in adopting the best preventive measures.
Keywords: 
COVID-19; Algeria; FB Prophet model; Active rate; death rate; cured rate.
Subject: 
Computer Science and Mathematics  -   Applied Mathematics
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.

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