Preprint
Communication

This version is not peer-reviewed.

Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States

Submitted:

24 May 2020

Posted:

24 May 2020

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Abstract
We present a modification of the logistic model of epidemics that takes into account the possibility that an epidemic can develop from multiple physically-distinct hot spots with a range of starting times. This produces an improved understanding of the time evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic taking place in the United States in the spring of 2020.
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Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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