Version 1
: Received: 24 May 2020 / Approved: 24 May 2020 / Online: 24 May 2020 (18:19:02 CEST)
How to cite:
Roberts, D.H. Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States. Preprints2020, 2020050395. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202005.0395.v1
Roberts, D.H. Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States. Preprints 2020, 2020050395. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202005.0395.v1
Roberts, D.H. Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States. Preprints2020, 2020050395. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202005.0395.v1
APA Style
Roberts, D.H. (2020). Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202005.0395.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Roberts, D.H. 2020 "Modification of the Logistic Model for Epidemics and Application to the COVID-19 Epidemic of 2020 in the United States" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202005.0395.v1
Abstract
We present a modification of the logistic model of epidemics that takes into account the possibility that an epidemic can develop from multiple physically-distinct hot spots with a range of starting times. This produces an improved understanding of the time evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic taking place in the United States in the spring of 2020.
Keywords
epidemic; coronavirus; COVID-19; logistic
Subject
Medicine and Pharmacology, Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
