Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Mathematical Modelling of Social Consciousness to Control the Outbreak of COVID-19

Version 1 : Received: 10 April 2020 / Approved: 12 April 2020 / Online: 12 April 2020 (14:44:42 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Mahmud, M. S., Kamrujjaman, M., Jubyrea, J., Islam, M. S., & Islam, M. S. (2020). Quarantine vs Social Consciousness: A Prediction to Control COVID-19 Infection. Journal of Applied Life Sciences International, 23(3), 20-27. https://doi.org/10.9734/jalsi/2020/v23i330150 Mahmud, M. S., Kamrujjaman, M., Jubyrea, J., Islam, M. S., & Islam, M. S. (2020). Quarantine vs Social Consciousness: A Prediction to Control COVID-19 Infection. Journal of Applied Life Sciences International, 23(3), 20-27. https://doi.org/10.9734/jalsi/2020/v23i330150

Journal reference: Journal of Applied Life Sciences International 2020, 23, 20-27
DOI: 10.9734/jalsi/2020/v23i330150

Abstract

Background: The world, now in an emergency of preventing the drastic spread of COVID-19. After the infection was first reported in December 2019, almost every country did not pay attention to this highly contaminated disease and failed to react swiftly. Now the whole universe is in an vulnerable state, loosing a great loss of lives and facing difficulties in all socio-economic aspects. That is why we have the urge to develop an efficient mathematical model (quarantine) based on social consciousness to control the epidemic. Methods: This is a quarantine mathematical model. The outcome of the system is dependent on social consciousness. We have calculated the awareness level by considering various socio-economic factor of each country. In our model, the parameters are Education Index, GDP per capita, population density, high literacy and stable economy. To maximize the efficiency of the model, it has to be implemented in initial stage. However, strict application of the method in vigorous stage of epidemic will also bring a satisfactory outcome. Results: Higher social consciousness will decrease the number of infected population dramatically while minimal or lower awareness will do a outburst. Conclusion: Outbreak will be in control of health care system, lower the death rate and will ensure social and economic stability.

Subject Areas

coronavirus; COVID-19; consciousness; data analysis; mathematical model; control

Comments (0)

We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our diversity statement.

Leave a public comment
Send a private comment to the author(s)
Views 0
Downloads 0
Comments 0
Metrics 0


×
Alerts
Notify me about updates to this article or when a peer-reviewed version is published.
We use cookies on our website to ensure you get the best experience.
Read more about our cookies here.