Preprint
Concept Paper

This version is not peer-reviewed.

The Airborne and Gastrointestinal Coronavirus SARS-COV-2 Pathways

Submitted:

06 April 2020

Posted:

09 April 2020

Read the latest preprint version here

Abstract
Since there is not a clear consensus about the possibility for COVID-2 to be an airborne disease, a controversy also exists regarding the need to use surgical masks to prevent its spreading. Here, using the Kepler conjecture for ideal packaging, the number of virions of different sizes that can be accommodated inside droplets was calculated and are proportional to the 3rd potency of the droplet/virion diameter. The differences between particles of 5 um and 100 μm are around four orders of magnitude, explaining why the airborne spread is much more difficult but still possible. There is no solid evidence yet that the airborne coronaviruses may reach enough concentration to infect, but in certain circumstances, this may be true. The WHO partially recognizes now this fact in a warning to health workers (from my point of view too late as the pandemic declaration). Another issue is if the virus stays infective in aerosols generated from patients. This has not been directly probed yet except with artificial aerosols, but there are no reasons by which the virus cannot remain in the air and be infective if the viral charge and time of exposure are enough. Another issue is if the virus can infect the intestine; there are some signs in this sense. Finally, and most importantly, to flatten the curve, leave the quarantine, and avoid a rebound, we need to reduce the interactions by using surgical masks. For cultural reasons, a social distance of 2 meters (2M) is extremely hard to manage. Surgical masks do the task of reducing the interactions in conditions of proximity and, therefore, help to “flatten the curve”. The WHO and CDC “laissez-faire” in this matter does not help and we are running out of time. Anticipated actions, such as the use of surgical masks for the general population, are critical.
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Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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