Version 1
: Received: 31 July 2016 / Approved: 1 August 2016 / Online: 1 August 2016 (09:47:20 CEST)
How to cite:
Krutova, O.; Nummi, T. How Delayed is “Delayed Integration”? Estimating Transitions out of Unemployment Spells Using Discrete-Time Survival Models. Preprints2016, 2016080001. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0001.v1
Krutova, O.; Nummi, T. How Delayed is “Delayed Integration”? Estimating Transitions out of Unemployment Spells Using Discrete-Time Survival Models. Preprints 2016, 2016080001. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0001.v1
Krutova, O.; Nummi, T. How Delayed is “Delayed Integration”? Estimating Transitions out of Unemployment Spells Using Discrete-Time Survival Models. Preprints2016, 2016080001. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0001.v1
APA Style
Krutova, O., & Nummi, T. (2016). How Delayed is “Delayed Integration”? Estimating Transitions out of Unemployment Spells Using Discrete-Time Survival Models. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0001.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Krutova, O. and Tapio Nummi. 2016 "How Delayed is “Delayed Integration”? Estimating Transitions out of Unemployment Spells Using Discrete-Time Survival Models" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201608.0001.v1
Abstract
This paper studies the duration patterns of unemployment spells for immigrants and the determinants of unemployment’s completion into one of a number of studied labour market states in Finland. We estimate a duration model for unemployment with competing risks of its terminating into employment, labour market training or economic inactivity. Taking into account the wide period of observation and opportunities to analyse processes of labour market integration during various periods of economic development in Finland, in combination with the individualistic character of the labour careers of immigrants, this research is beneficial owing to the many various findings concerning labour market integration of immigrants. The approach undertaken in this research has a dualistic “descriptive-dynamic” character under which integration is understood as a never-ending process, which is conditioned by a time period of long-term existence and a context of solitary action. We find that transitions out of unemployment spells have a cyclical character; after every new “cycle” in unemployment, the probability of terminating unemployment decreases further. We also find that ascriptive factors make sense in the process of job-placement of immigrants from unemployment. Therefore, the gender, education and age of immigrants, as well as the effect of the period in which first unemployment occurred, potentially predict transitions out of unemployment and further labour market integration of immigrants.
Keywords
discrete-time hazard models; labour market transitions; duration of unemployment spells; immigration
Subject
Business, Economics and Management, Econometrics and Statistics
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.