Submitted:
29 March 2026
Posted:
30 March 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Definition and Flow Measurement of R&D Factors
2.1. Definition of R&D Factors
2.2. Measuring R&D Factor Mobility
3. Theoretical Analysis and Research Hypotheses
4. Research Design
4.1. Variable Explanation
4.2. Data Sources
4.3. Model Construction
5. Empirical Findings and Analysis
5.1. Spatial Econometric Results Analysis
5.2. Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Collaborative Innovation in the Yangtze River Delta Region
5.3. Threshold Effect Analysis
6. Research Findings and Policy Recommendations
6.1. Research Findings
6.2. Policy Recommendations
7. Conclusion
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | Observations | Mean | Standard Deviation | Minimum | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innov | 861 | 1.871 | 2.047 | 0 | 8.597 |
| PF | 861 | 8.334 | 1.227 | 5.726 | 12.391 |
| CF | 861 | 13.577 | 1.791 | 8.695 | 17.475 |
| IPP | 861 | 0.291 | 0.438 | 0 | 2.879 |
| pgdp | 861 | 10.782 | 1.185 | 7.847 | 16.793 |
| internet | 861 | 2.843 | 1.123 | 0.27 | 13.623 |
| market | 861 | 9.461 | 1.643 | 5.152 | 13.356 |
| urban | 861 | 0.564 | 0.164 | 0.113 | 0.896 |
| industry | 861 | 0.95 | 0.347 | 0.313 | 3.034 |
| Year | Geographic Distance Matrix | Economic Distance Matrix | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moran’I | P-Value | Moran’I | P-Value | |
| 2003 | 0.061*** | 0.000 | 0.373*** | 0.005 |
| 2004 | 0.046*** | 0.000 | 0.301** | 0.017 |
| 2005 | 0.049*** | 0.004 | 0.295** | 0.021 |
| 2006 | 0.060*** | 0.001 | 0.282** | 0.031 |
| 2007 | 0.073*** | 0.000 | 0.321** | 0.018 |
| 2008 | 0.080*** | 0.000 | 0.366*** | 0.009 |
| 2009 | 0.067*** | 0.000 | 0.346** | 0.012 |
| 2010 | 0.108*** | 0.000 | 0.391*** | 0.007 |
| 2011 | 0.107*** | 0.000 | 0.393*** | 0.007 |
| 2012 | 0.103*** | 0.000 | 0.444*** | 0.003 |
| 2013 | 0.102*** | 0.000 | 0.394*** | 0.007 |
| 2014 | 0.119*** | 0.000 | 0.410*** | 0.005 |
| 2015 | 0.110*** | 0.000 | 0.458*** | 0.002 |
| 2016 | 0.097*** | 0.000 | 0.356** | 0.012 |
| 2017 | 0.121*** | 0.000 | 0.510*** | 0.001 |
| 2018 | 0.122*** | 0.000 | 0.519*** | 0.001 |
| 2019 | 0.111*** | 0.000 | 0.515*** | 0.001 |
| 2020 | 0.097*** | 0.000 | 0.496*** | 0.001 |
| 2021 | 0.089*** | 0.000 | 0.482*** | 0.001 |
| 2022 | 0.068*** | 0.000 | 0.360** | 0.012 |
| 2023 | 0.076*** | 0.000 | 0.361** | 0.012 |
| Variable | SAR Model | SEM Model | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geographic Distance Matrix | Economic Distance Matrix | Geographic Distance Matrix | Economic Distance Matrix | |||||
| Model (1) | Model (2) | Model (3) | Model (4) | Model (5) | Model (6) | Model (7) | Model (8) | |
| Pf | 0.3443*** | 0.2044*** | 0.2370*** | 0.1856** | 0.3485*** | 0.3157*** | 0.3299*** | 0.2886*** |
| Cf | 0.2883*** | 0.1965*** | 0.1805*** | 0.1549*** | 0.2209*** | 0.2072*** | 0.2265*** | 0.2087*** |
| lngdp | -0.1766 | -0.1119 | 0.0285 | 0.0581 | 0.0532 | 0.0583 | 0.0711 | 0.0849 |
| Internet | 0.0876 | 0.0649 | 0.0729 | 0.0722 | 0.0855* | 0.0839* | 0.0822* | 0.0825* |
| Market | 0.1870*** | 0.1672*** | 0.1707*** | 0.1818*** | 0.2163*** | 0.2213*** | 0.2094*** | 0.2165*** |
| Urban | 1.0769* | 0.8658** | 0.8025** | 0.8369** | 0.7692* | 0.7800* | 0.7691* | 0.8054** |
| Industry | 2.0726*** | 1.4943*** | 1.5431*** | 1.4544*** | 1.7618*** | 1.6807*** | 1.7478*** | 1.6733*** |
| IPP | -4.3134** | -3.6182** | -2.4876** | -2.7547*** | ||||
| PF*IPP | 0.2336*** | 0.1911** | 0.1370*** | 0.1520** | ||||
| CF*IPP | 0.1663** | 0.1424* | 0.0995** | 0.1052* | ||||
| rho | 1.2501*** | 1.2582*** | 0.1917*** | 0.1874*** | ||||
| lambda | 2.7369*** | 2.6926*** | 0.1616*** | 0.1536*** | ||||
| sigma2_e | 0.4806*** | 0.4768*** | 0.4568*** | 0.4545*** | 0.4664*** | 0.4651*** | 0.4665*** | 0.4654*** |
| N | 861 | 861 | 861 | 861 | 861 | 861 | 861 | 861 |
| R2 | 0.400 | 0.423 | 0.587 | 0.592 | 0.617 | 0.618 | 0.610 | 0.612 |
| 2003 | 2016 | 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| City Pair | Count | City Pair | Count | City Pair | Count |
| Shanghai City - Hangzhou City | 24 | Hangzhou City - Taizhou City | 255 | Hangzhou City - Ningbo City | 2372 |
| Nanjing City - Suzhou City | 6 | Shanghai City - Ningbo City | 128 | Shanghai City - Suzhou City | 800 |
| Shanghai City - Nanjing City | 5 | Hangzhou City - Shaoxing City | 114 | Shanghai City - Nanjing City | 749 |
| Shanghai City - Wuxi City | 4 | Shanghai City - Yancheng City | 112 | Suzhou City- Hefei City | 731 |
| Nanjing City - Hangzhou City | 4 | Shanghai City - Jinhua City | 107 | Shanghai City - Wuxi City | 610 |
| Hangzhou City - Huzhou City | 4 | Nanjing City - Yancheng City | 89 | Hangzhou City - Jiaxing City | 547 |
| Ningbo City - Zhoushan City | 4 | Hangzhou City - Wenzhou City | 83 | Shanghai City - Hangzhou City | 488 |
| Shanghai City - Nantong City | 3 | Hangzhou City - Ningbo City | 76 | Hangzhou City - Shaoxing City | 405 |
| Nanjing City - Nantong City | 3 | Hangzhou City - Zhoushan City | 66 | Shanghai City - Hefei City | 396 |
| Variable | Threshold Type | F-statistic | Critica Values | Bootstrap Repetitions | P-value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 5% | 1% | |||||
| R&D Personnel Flow | Single Threshold | 14.022*** | 8.089 | 10.319 | 12.557 | 300 | 0.007 |
| Double Threshold | 3.688 | 7.555 | 9.199 | 11.895 | 300 | 0.537 | |
| Triple Threshold | 3.153 | 9.983 | 11.829 | 17.341 | 300 | 0.733 | |
| R&D Capital Flow | Single Threshold | 12.918*** | 7.572 | 9.189 | 12.835 | 300 | 0.008 |
| Double Threshold | 3.052 | 7.431 | 8.643 | 11.378 | 300 | 0.583 | |
| Triple Threshold | 4.413 | 11.262 | 13.479 | 17.171 | 300 | 0.597 | |
| Variable | R&D Personnel Flow | R&D Capital Flow |
|---|---|---|
| Model (9) | Model (10) | |
| Innov | 0.3216** | 0.2779** |
| lngdp | 0.0143 | 0.0305 |
| Internet | 0.0924** | 0.0950** |
| Market | 0.2113*** | 0.2098*** |
| Urban | 0.7533 | 0.7150 |
| Industry | 1.7595*** | 1.7617*** |
| Regime 1 | 0.3559** | 0.2891** |
| Regime 2 | 0.2957** | 0.2059* |
| C | -9.0957*** | -9.1260*** |
| N | 861 | 861 |
| R2 | 0.716 | 0.716 |
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