Submitted:
18 April 2025
Posted:
23 April 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
Objective of the Study
2. Materials and Methods
- BI-RADS 4-5 lesions on CEM
- Histologically confirmed invasive cancer
- Complete imaging (mammography, ultrasound, CEM).
- Demographics
- Imaging metadata (ACR density, BPE grades)
- Quantitative measurements (glandular dimensions).
- Contrast: Iohexol 350 mgI/mL (1.5 mL/kg, 3 mL/s infusion).
- Acquisition: Senographe Pristina (GE Healthcare), dual-energy exposure (LE:26-31keV; HE:45-49keV), first acquisition at 2 minutes post-injection.
- Analysis: BPE graded on MIN/LIE/MOD/MAR scale by 5 expert radiologists (>10 years’ experience).
- Dependent variable: Breast density (Densitanum, scale 1-4).
- Independent variables: BPE grade (BPEnum) and age.
- Positive density-BPE association (r=0.368).
- Negligible age-related effects (r≈-0.15).
- Linear regression (scikit-learn): 26% lower MSE (0.641 vs Excel’s 0.864), preserving biological correlations.
- Neural network (TensorFlow): Comparable performance (MSE=0.638), but with non-linear transformations that modify variable relationships.
- scikit-learn (linear regression): Not epoch-dependent; uses closed-form optimization (no epochs required).
- TensorFlow (DNN): 20 epochs are reasonable given the small dataset. However, to mitigate overfitting:
3. Results
Correlation Analysis
Model Performance
| Model | MSE | R2 | p-value (vs. Excel) | Clinical Impact and Interpretation |
| Excel Regression | 0.864 | 14.4% | - | Baseline linear model. Preserves original variable correlations but has limited predictive power. |
| scikit-learn | 0.641 | 20.3% | <0.001* | Optimized linear approach. Maintains interpretability while improving accuracy over Excel. Preferred when preserving original data relationships is crucial. |
| TensorFlow DNN | 0.638 | 23.3% | <0.001* | Captures non-linear patterns for best predictive performance (lowest MSE). Requires advanced interpretation techniques (e.g., Bayesian analysis) as it may alter original correlations. |
- -
- MSE: Lower values indicate better predictive accuracy
- -
- R2: Higher values indicate better variance explanation
- -
- p-value: Statistical significance vs. baseline (Excel) model
- p-values: <0.001 confirms significant improvements over the Excel baseline.
- Clinical Impact: The 22% false-positive reduction in BI-RADS C/D cases is clinically meaningful, as these patients face the highest risk of masking effects.
- Strengths: Clearly contextualizes improvements (e.g., 40% variability reduction → κ=0.82) against clinical standards (BI-RADS κ=0.45).
- Weaknesses: The DNN’s marginal MSE gain (0.641 vs. 0.638) over scikit-learn is statistically insignificant (p>0.05) but framed as a "26% error reduction," which risks overstatement.
Clinical Validation
Interpretation

4. Discussion
- The high incidence of occult cancers in this population,
- The complexity of modern hormonal profiles,
- The growing demand for precision diagnostics.
- Probabilistic Hybrid Models: Integrating Bayesian networks with deep learning could quantify uncertainty in borderline BI-RADS C/D cases, providing radiologists with confidence intervals for density/BPE assessments.
- Multi-modal Fusion: Combining CEM with radiomics (e.g., texture features) or genomic risk scores may disentangle biological vs. technical contributors to BPE variability.
- Prospective Validation: Large-scale trials (e.g., EU-wide cohorts) are needed to evaluate clinical endpoints (e.g., interval cancer reduction, supplemental imaging referrals).
- Explainability: Layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) or SHAP values could decode DNN decisions, ensuring AI outputs align with radiologists’ cognitive frameworks.
- Federated Learning: Privacy-preserving multi-institutional training would enhance generalizability across diverse populations and imaging protocols.
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| BPE | Background Parenchimal Enhancement |
| OV | Observer variability |
| CEM | contrast-enhanced mammography |
| ANN | artificial neural networks |
| BD | Breast density |
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