Submitted:
11 February 2025
Posted:
13 February 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
- We tackle variable selection and multicollinearity in Model (1.1), which features strongly correlated covariates, using six penalty functions: Ridge, Lasso, aLasso, SCAD, Elastic Net, and MCP.
- We then review and compare these methods, highlighting their strengths, limitations, and uses within PLRMs.
- To further enhance parameter estimation, we incorporate shrinkage estimation techniques—both standard and positive shrinkage estimators—into the penalty-based framework.
- Finally, kernel smoothing via penalized least squares is employed to estimate both the parametric (linear) and nonparametric (smooth) components of the model.
Background
2. Estimation Based on Kernel Smoothing
3. Kernel Type Ridge Estimator in Semiparametric Model
4. Penalty Functions and Shrinkage Estimators
4.1. Estimation Procedure for the Parametric Component
4.2. Shrinkage Estimators
- Parametric Component Estimation: We utilize the respective penalty functions (Ridge, Lasso, aLasso, SCAD, ElasticNet, MCP) to estimate the parameter vector .
- Shrinkage Application: We apply the shrinkage techniques to obtain ordinary stein-type shrinkage or positive shrinkage estimator to refine the parameter estimates.
- Nonparametric Component Estimation: We estimate the smooth function using the refined parameter estimates via kernel smoothing as described in equation (4.8).
4.3. Estimation Procedure for the Nonparametric Component
|
Input: Data matrix of parametric component , data vector , and response vector . Output: Pair of estimates based on a certain penalty function 1: Select an appropriate bandwidth using a predetermined criterion and compute the smoother matrix , as defined in (3.9). 2: Compute the partial residuals and . 3: To minimize determine the shrinkage parameter by a predetermined criterion. 4: Partition the partial residuals of in form , as defined in Section 4.2. 5: Apply shrinkage estimators , and based on used penalty functions 6: Find the estimate of parametric component associated with the contains and . 7: Estimate the nonparametric smooth function as follows: 8: Return . |
5. Measuring the Quality of Estimators
5.1. Evaluation of the Parametric Component
5.2. Evaluation of the Nonparametric Component
6. Asymptotic Analysis
- (i)
- where is the ith row of
- (ii)
- where is a finite positive-definite matrix.
7. Simulation Studies
- i.
- Samples of size n = 50, 100 and 200
- ii.
- Two numbers of parametric covariates k = 25 and 40
- iii.
- Two correlation levels ρ(rho) = 0.5 and 0.90
- iv.
- The number of replications is 1000.
7.1. Analysis of the Parametric Component
7.2. Analysis of the Nonparametric Component
8. Real Data
9. Conclusions
- The paper establishes the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators, including Ridge, Lasso, aLasso, SCAD, ElasticNet, MCP, and the Stein-type shrinkage estimators, providing a theoretical foundation for their use in PLRMs.
- The theoretical results highlight the advantages of aLasso and shrinkage estimation, particularly in scenarios with high multicollinearity and sparsity.
- The simulation study demonstrates that aLasso and the shrinkage estimators, especially the positive shrinkage estimator, consistently outperform other methods in terms of lower Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) for both the parametric and nonparametric components of the PLRM.
- The superior performance of aLasso and shrinkage estimators is more pronounced when the sample size is small and multicollinearity is high, confirming their robustness in challenging conditions.
- MCP and SCAD also exhibit strong performance in the simulations, often outperforming Ridge, Lasso, and ElasticNet, particularly when multicollinearity is present.
- The simulation results reveal that the choice of estimator can significantly impact the estimation of the nonparametric function, with aLasso and shrinkage estimators generally producing smoother and more accurate curves.
- The analysis of the Hitters dataset confirms the practical advantages of aLasso and shrinkage estimation, particularly positive shrinkage, in a real-world scenario with multicollinearity, as indicated by the high condition number.
- The shrinkage and aLasso estimators achieve the lowest RMSE and MSE values when predicting log(Salary), demonstrating their superior predictive accuracy compared to Ridge, Lasso, SCAD, ElasticNet, and MCP.
- The fitted nonparametric curves for the "Years" variable reveal interesting differences in how each estimator captures the nonlinear relationship between experience and salary, with aLasso and shrinkage estimators providing a balance between flexibility and smoothness.
- The real data results align with the findings of the simulation study, further supporting the use of aLasso and shrinkage estimation, especially positive shrinkage, in PLRMs when multicollinearity is a concern. Also, SCAD has unexpected results which needs more investigation.
Author Contributions
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Appendix A.1. Proof of Theorem 3.1
Appendix A.2. Proof of Lemma 1
Appendix A.3. Additional Figures for Simulation and Real Data Studies




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| 0.5 | 0.9 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | Estimator/Metric | RMSE | MSE | SMSE | RE | RMSE | MSE | SMSE | RE | |
| 50 | 25 | 0.157 | 0.026 | 0.658 | 1.478 | 0.341 | 0.123 | 3.073 | 1.254 | |
| 0.143 | 0.022 | 0.543 | 1.868 | 0.314 | 0.105 | 2.613 | 1.516 | |||
| 0.101 | 0.012 | 0.312 | 5.340 | 0.313 | 0.122 | 3.061 | 3.049 | |||
| 0.073 | 0.006 | 0.138 | 6.113 | 0.144 | 0.022 | 0.543 | 6.125 | |||
| 0.180 | 0.034 | 0.842 | 1.000 | 0.357 | 0.133 | 3.319 | 1.000 | |||
| 0.098 | 0.012 | 0.291 | 5.660 | 0.304 | 0.114 | 2.861 | 2.993 | |||
| 0.073 | 0.006 | 0.138 | 6.113 | 0.144 | 0.022 | 0.543 | 6.125 | |||
| 0.147 | 0.023 | 0.579 | 1.724 | 0.309 | 0.103 | 2.563 | 1.613 | |||
| 50 | 40 | 0.143 | 0.022 | 0.881 | 3.778 | 0.307 | 0.101 | 4.037 | 2.579 | |
| 0.123 | 0.016 | 0.658 | 5.598 | 0.279 | 0.084 | 3.364 | 3.247 | |||
| 0.080 | 0.008 | 0.309 | 17.354 | 0.250 | 0.081 | 3.244 | 7.766 | |||
| 0.101 | 0.011 | 0.424 | 6.070 | 0.184 | 0.035 | 1.397 | 6.079 | |||
| 0.249 | 0.064 | 2.571 | 1.000 | 0.453 | 0.212 | 8.486 | 1.000 | |||
| 0.078 | 0.008 | 0.303 | 17.679 | 0.258 | 0.086 | 3.431 | 7.793 | |||
| 0.101 | 0.011 | 0.424 | 6.070 | 0.184 | 0.035 | 1.397 | 6.079 | |||
| 0.133 | 0.019 | 0.766 | 4.754 | 0.276 | 0.082 | 3.280 | 3.434 | |||
| 0.5 | 0.9 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | Estimator/Metric | RMSE | MSE | SMSE | RE | RMSE | MSE | SMSE | RE | |
| 100 | 25 | 0.098 | 0.010 | 0.255 | 1.263 | 0.234 | 0.057 | 1.422 | 1.179 | |
| 0.091 | 0.009 | 0.220 | 1.487 | 0.203 | 0.044 | 1.089 | 1.647 | |||
| 0.068 | 0.006 | 0.139 | 3.460 | 0.161 | 0.031 | 0.768 | 3.849 | |||
| 0.042 | 0.002 | 0.045 | 6.055 | 0.099 | 0.010 | 0.251 | 6.049 | |||
| 0.103 | 0.011 | 0.274 | 1.000 | 0.243 | 0.061 | 1.515 | 1.000 | |||
| 0.067 | 0.005 | 0.133 | 3.497 | 0.165 | 0.033 | 0.821 | 3.745 | |||
| 0.042 | 0.002 | 0.045 | 6.055 | 0.099 | 0.010 | 0.251 | 6.049 | |||
| 0.090 | 0.009 | 0.220 | 1.499 | 0.217 | 0.050 | 1.246 | 1.432 | |||
| 100 | 40 | 0.089 | 0.008 | 0.330 | 1.952 | 0.208 | 0.046 | 1.826 | 2.008 | |
| 0.081 | 0.007 | 0.276 | 2.535 | 0.179 | 0.034 | 1.360 | 2.864 | |||
| 0.056 | 0.004 | 0.153 | 8.011 | 0.130 | 0.022 | 0.869 | 9.252 | |||
| 0.048 | 0.002 | 0.092 | 6.032 | 0.112 | 0.013 | 0.521 | 6.030 | |||
| 0.117 | 0.014 | 0.555 | 1.000 | 0.276 | 0.079 | 3.142 | 1.000 | |||
| 0.054 | 0.004 | 0.148 | 8.121 | 0.129 | 0.021 | 0.842 | 9.063 | |||
| 0.048 | 0.002 | 0.092 | 6.032 | 0.112 | 0.013 | 0.521 | 6.030 | |||
| 0.081 | 0.007 | 0.274 | 2.470 | 0.195 | 0.040 | 1.618 | 2.413 | |||
| 0.5 | 0.9 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimator/Metric | RMSE | MSE | SMSE | RE | RMSE | MSE | SMSE | RE | ||
| 200 | 25 | 0.068 | 0.005 | 0.122 | 1.189 | 0.168 | 0.030 | 0.742 | 1.385 | |
| 0.063 | 0.004 | 0.104 | 1.404 | 0.137 | 0.020 | 0.500 | 2.204 | |||
| 0.048 | 0.003 | 0.070 | 3.546 | 0.110 | 0.014 | 0.361 | 5.890 | |||
| 0.029 | 0.001 | 0.021 | 6.024 | 0.076 | 0.006 | 0.151 | 6.018 | |||
| 0.071 | 0.005 | 0.128 | 1.000 | 0.188 | 0.036 | 0.907 | 1.000 | |||
| 0.046 | 0.003 | 0.063 | 3.754 | 0.110 | 0.015 | 0.363 | 5.914 | |||
| 0.029 | 0.001 | 0.021 | 6.024 | 0.076 | 0.006 | 0.151 | 6.018 | |||
| 0.061 | 0.004 | 0.098 | 1.536 | 0.154 | 0.025 | 0.633 | 1.704 | |||
| 200 | 40 | 0.061 | 0.004 | 0.157 | 1.629 | 0.144 | 0.022 | 0.871 | 2.000 | |
| 0.055 | 0.003 | 0.129 | 2.012 | 0.116 | 0.014 | 0.571 | 3.279 | |||
| 0.037 | 0.002 | 0.065 | 6.629 | 0.080 | 0.008 | 0.313 | 10.740 | |||
| 0.030 | 0.001 | 0.037 | 6.015 | 0.077 | 0.006 | 0.245 | 6.012 | |||
| 0.074 | 0.006 | 0.223 | 1.000 | 0.190 | 0.037 | 1.475 | 1.000 | |||
| 0.038 | 0.002 | 0.067 | 6.432 | 0.081 | 0.008 | 0.314 | 10.887 | |||
| 0.030 | 0.001 | 0.037 | 6.015 | 0.077 | 0.006 | 0.245 | 6.012 | |||
| 0.054 | 0.003 | 0.123 | 2.130 | 0.137 | 0.020 | 0.802 | 2.292 | |||
| 25 | 40 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | ||||||||||
| Estimator | MSE | RMSE | RE | MSE | RMSE | RE | MSE | RMSE | RE | MSE | RMSE | RE | |
| 50 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.55 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.33 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 2.66 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 2.05 | |
| 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.57 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.36 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 2.93 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 2.14 | ||
| 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.63 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.34 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 3.31 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 2.32 | ||
| 0.06 | 0.23 | 1.51 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 1.51 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.51 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 1.51 | ||
| 0.09 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.34 | 1.00 | ||
| 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.68 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.39 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 3.34 | 0.08 | 0.26 | 2.24 | ||
| 0.06 | 0.23 | 1.51 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 1.51 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.51 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 1.51 | ||
| 0.07 | 0.25 | 1.54 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 1.40 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 2.79 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 2.18 | ||
| 100 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.24 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.24 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.74 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.59 | |
| 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.26 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.28 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.82 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.65 | ||
| 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.30 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.32 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.91 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.74 | ||
| 0.02 | 0.15 | 1.50 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 1.50 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.50 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.50 | ||
| 0.04 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 1.00 | ||
| 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.30 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.31 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.89 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.76 | ||
| 0.02 | 0.15 | 1.50 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 1.50 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.50 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.50 | ||
| 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.25 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.28 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.79 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 1.63 | ||
| 200 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.17 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.18 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.43 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.41 | |
| 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.18 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.22 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.44 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.44 | ||
| 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.22 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.29 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.51 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.52 | ||
| 0.01 | 0.11 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 1.50 | ||
| 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 1.00 | ||
| 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.23 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.29 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.52 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.52 | ||
| 0.01 | 0.11 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 1.50 | ||
| 0.02 | 0.13 | 1.18 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.20 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.46 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 1.43 | ||
| Estimator | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge | 0.577 | 0.333 | 1.000 |
| Lasso | 0.512 | 0.262 | 1.270 |
| aLasso | 0.443 | 0.196 | 1.697 |
| SCAD | 0.482 | 0.232 | 1.432 |
| ElasticNet | 0.474 | 0.224 | 1.484 |
| MCP | 0.482 | 0.232 | 1.432 |
| Shrinkage | 0.413 | 0.171 | 1.950 |
| Pos. Shrinkage | 0.405 | 0.164 | 2.025 |
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