4.1. Dust Range and Trajectory Identification
(1) Verification results of the Icsd and DDI algorithms
The performances of the two dust detection algorithms (Icsd and DDI) were evaluated using the FY-4A AGRI dust products for the BTH region from 02:00 to 06:00 UTC on March 15, 2021. The results are summarized in
Table 2. Overall, the POCD of Icsd remained above 80% across different periods, indicating high accuracy in dust storm detection. However, the FP values of Icsd fluctuated significantly, with a notable peak of 2,421 at 02:00, leading to a high POFD of 49.11% during that time. Despite the excellent performance of Icsd at 04:00, with a POCD of 95.13%, its overall false alarm rate was high, affecting its practical application. In contrast, the DDI demonstrated more stable POCD and lower POFD values during dust storm detection, showing extremely high detection accuracy and extremely low false alarm rates. For instance, DDI's POCD at 03:00 was 93.25%, with a POFD of only 23.09%; at 04:00, the POFD decreased further to 11.71%. By 06:00, DDI's POCD reached 96.14%, indicating excellent accuracy. Overall, DDI's POCD exceeded 88% at all times, and its POFD was below 30% for most periods, demonstrating a more stable detection performance.
Overall, although ICSD performed exceptionally well during certain periods, it had a higher overall false-alarm rate. The DDI provides more stable and accurate dust storm detection results. This stability and high precision make the DDI more advantageous for dust storm detection in the BTH region. Owing to the unique geographical and climatic conditions of the BTH region, dust storms are frequent and pose significant threats. Accurate and reliable dust storm detection is crucial for early regional warning and emergency responses. Therefore, only the DDI was used for the subsequent analysis of typical dust storm events in the BTH region.
(2) Analysis of horizontal movement trajectory and dust intensity in the BTH region
The dust identification and dust intensity index calculation methods are applicable for dust monitoring and analysis in the BTH region. This study used two observation periods in the BTH region as examples to elaborate on dust monitoring methods based on FY-4A satellite data. The example utilizes FY-4A satellite AGRI full-disk 4 km L1 data covering the BTH region from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC on March 15, 2021, and 03:00 to 06:00 UTC on March 22, 2023, to observe the spatial distribution, movement trajectory, and intensity changes of dust phenomena in the region. The AGRI true-color images (
Figure 4a and
4c) show the extent of the dust, whereas the DDI index images (
Figure 4b and
4d) indicate that values < 19 correspond to thin clouds or non-dust surface features, values > 21.5 correspond to thick clouds, and values between 19 and 21.5 represent different concentrations of dust, with deep brown indicating the highest concentration and light yellow indicating lower concentrations.
Figure 4e shows the distribution of DDI values for each period, with wider shapes indicating a higher density of data points within that DDI value range and the graph's overall shape reflecting the data distribution trend.
Case 1: The most severe dust event in the BTH region in the past decade
Based on the analysis in
Figure 4, at UTC 03:00 on March 15, 2021, dust weather had already developed in some areas of the BTH (
Figure 4a1). At this time, the DDI value in the Langfang area exceeded 21, indicating a high dust concentration (
Figure 4b1). One hour later, the dust coverage expanded further, with the area having DDI values between 21 and 21.5 increasing (
Figure 4a2 and
4b2). By UTC 05:00 , the dust continued to move southeast, with the DDI values in cities such as Shijiazhuang, Hengshui, and Cangzhou reaching 21–21.5, indicating that the high-concentration dust area had reached its maximum size (
Figure 4a3 and
4c3).
However, at UTC 06:00, both the range and intensity of the dust weakened (
Figure 4a4 and
4b4), indicating that the impact of dust on the BTH region had begun to decrease. Combining the DDI value statistics from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC on March 15, 2021 (
Figure 4e), it is evident that at UTC 05:00, the data were primarily concentrated in higher DDI value ranges, with the percentile and median being the highest, indicating that the dust intensity peaked at this time. Conversely, at UTC 06:00, the data distribution was concentrated in the lower DDI value ranges, indicating that the dusty weather began diminishing.
Case2:Small-scale dust events in the BTH region during spring
On March 22, 2023, at UTC 03:00, the dust primarily affected the Hengshui and Cangzhou areas (
Figure 4c1). The DDI values were concentrated between 19 and 20, indicating that the dust concentration and intensity were in their initial stages (
Figure 4d1). By UTC 04:00, the impact of the dust expanded to the central-southern and northwestern regions of the BTH area (
Figure 4c2), and the area with DDI values between 20.5 and 21 also continued to grow (
Figure 4d2). By UTC 05:00, although the extent of the dust impact did not show a significant change (
Figure 4c3), the area with DDI values greater than 20.5 increased significantly (
Figure 4d3), indicating that the dust intensity reached its peak at this time. By UTC 06:00, both the extent and intensity of the dust had significantly decreased (
Figure 4c4 and
4d4). According to the DDI statistics from UTC 03:00 to 06:00 on March 22, 2023 (
Figure 4e), the violin plot at UTC 05:00 shows a wider region around DDI values of approximately 19.36 and 20.5, indicating that these DDI values were more concentrated. Moreover, the frequency of DDI values > 20.5 was the highest among the four time periods, confirming that the dust intensity peaked at this time. In contrast, at UTC 06:00, the DDI values decreased sharply, with the maximum not exceeding 21, and the dataset was concentrated in the lower ranges, indicating that the dust impact was significantly weakened.
In summary, analysis of the dust events in the BTH region in 2021 and 2023 revealed that the movement trajectories of the dust in both events were similar. The dust originated from areas above the BTH, gradually moved downward, reached its peak intensity around UTC 05:00, and ultimately accumulated in the southeastern part of the region. This pattern is related to the topographical features of the BTH area, with its higher northwest and lower southeast terrain and the prevailing southeastern winds (
Figure 4 a, c, yellow arrows). However, there were significant differences in the dust intensity between the two events. In the 2021 event, the median DDI value was approximately 20, with values exceeding 21 in all four periods. In contrast, the median value of the 2023 event was approximately 19.75, with no values exceeding 21 at UTC 06:00, and All DDI values in the four time periods were lower than those in 2021. This indicates that the dust monitoring method using FY-4A satellite data allows for a detailed understanding of dust spatial distribution, movement trajectories, and intensity changes, providing a scientific basis for atmospheric environment forecasting and prevention.
AGRI true-color images for March 15, 2021, UTC 03:00–06:00 (a1–a4) and DDI distribution maps (b1–b4); AGRI true-color images for March 22, 2023, UTC 03:00–06:00 (c1–c4) and DDI distribution maps (d1–d4); DDI violin and boxplot statistics for March 15, 2021, and March 22, 2023, UTC 03:00–06:00 (e)
4.2. HYSPLIT-4 Backward Trajectory Simulation Analysis
The Lagrangian Hybrid Single-Particle Trajectory Model (HYSPLIT) is a valuable tool in atmospheric sciences widely used for dust storm monitoring and simulation utilizing meteorological data from the Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS). In this study, backward trajectory simulations were performed using HYSPLIT for two events, March 15, 2021, and March 22, 2023, with the starting point set at Beijing (39.91°N, 116.39°E) at 06:00 UTC. The trajectories were initialized at a height of 500 m above the ground and simulated for 48 h to illustrate the transport paths and sources of dust particles.
(1) Study of the most severe dust storm events in the BTH region over the past decade
Around March 15, 2021, the dust originated rapidly from southern Mongolia and the northwestern border of Inner Mongolia in China. Under the guidance of northwesterly winds, dust was transported southeastward, resulting in the most severe dust storms in northern China over nearly a decade.
Figure 5a shows the backward trajectories of the BTH region, indicating that the air mass moved rapidly from northern Russia, crossed Mongolia, transported dust into Inner Mongolia and Hebei, and eventually reached Beijing. Research indicates that on March 13, the vertical distribution of dust exceeded 6,000 m. On March 14, the vertical height of the dust decreased from 4,500 to 1,000 m. By March 15, at 04:00 UTC, the dust had descended near the ground, at ≤ 500 m.
Figure 5b highlights the dust source regions in Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Inner Mongolia with red circles, indicating that the dust influenced by the air mass entered the BTH region. The study also found that from February 12 to March 12, 2021, the northern regions of China experienced significantly higher temperatures and lower precipitation, which accelerated the expansion of bare surfaces and created favorable conditions for dust storms(Gui et al., 2021; Duan et al., 2021; Guan et al., 2021).
(2) Study on small-scale dust events in the BTH region during spring
Around March 22, 2023, influenced by cold air, a large-scale dust event affected the northeastern part of the northwestern region, Inner Mongolia, northern China, and parts of the northeast.
Figure 5c shows that on March 22, 2023, the dust impacting the BTH region originated primarily from central Inner Mongolia and southern Mongolia. The dust particles were lifted from the ground to altitudes between 500 and 5,000 m by wind and transported southward and southeastward. The red circles in
Figure 5d indicate the dust sources and drifting-sand conditions in Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Mongolia.
These dust particles were transported into the BTH region by an air mass. Since March 2023, northern China has experienced reduced precipitation, significantly higher temperatures in Mongolia and the northwest, and a lack of snow cover on its surface, which, combined with the intrusion of cold air, has greatly facilitated dusty weather.
Overall, both dust events originated from the border region between Mongolia and Inner Mongolia, and mainly entered China from the central and southern regions of Mongolia. In Inner Mongolia, the dust moves southeast after crossing the Yinshan Mountains, affecting the BTH region. However, there were significant differences between the two events. The 2021 dust event was influenced by high-latitude air masses from Russia, resulting in higher altitudes for the vertical distribution of dust, which generally exceeded that of the 2023 event. By contrast, the 2023 dust event was influenced by lower-latitude air masses, leading to lower dust heights. Although both events were affected by reduced precipitation and lack of snow cover, the different sources and altitudes of the air masses led to variations in the vertical distribution characteristics and transport paths of the dust. These differences directly affected the intensity and extent of dust in the BTH region; the 2021 event had a greater and broader impact, whereas the 2023 event had a relatively smaller effect.
4.3. Analysis of the Vertical Transport Path of Dust Aerosols
The remote sensing dataset used in this analysis was obtained from the VFM product of the CALIPSO satellite, which was generated from the Level 1 B lidar data of the CALIOP sensor.
Figure 6 shows the CALIOP vertical profile classification map and backscatter coefficient map for aerosols and clouds, where aerosols are classified into six subcategories: clean continental, clean marine, dust, polluted continental, polluted dust, and smoke (Peng et al., 2023). Additionally, numerous studies have demonstrated the accuracy of the VFM compared to ground-based measurements(Burton et al., 2013; Jiménez, 2020) confirming its reliability in aerosol and cloud monitoring. However, owing to the low temporal resolution of the CALIPSO satellite, PM10 hourly station data were used to further explain the vertical distribution and cross-regional transport characteristics of dust in the BTH and Inner Mongolian regions.
(1) Study on the most intense dust storm events in the BTH region over the past decade
On March 15, 2021, the CALIOP lidar observed the BTH region and Inner Mongolia, revealing that the aerosols in these areas could be classified into six types: clean continental, clean marine, dust, polluted continental, polluted dust, and smoke aerosols (
Figure 6a1,
6b1). In the BTH region, dust and polluted dust aerosols accounted for 99.23% of the total aerosol grid counts, predominantly distributed between117.4°N~118.3°N and 118.7°N~119.1°N and concentrated near the surface with heights < 4 km. The corresponding backscatter coefficients were mainly in the range of 0.0025–0.0045 (km·sr)
-1 (
Figure 6a1,
6a2). In contrast, Inner Mongolia exhibited a larger range and vertical span of cloud and dust distribution. Dust and polluted dust aerosols accounted for > 90% of the grid count. Particularly between 107.5°N and 109.8°N, aerosols had a significant vertical span, with substantial amounts present 2–12 km above the surface. When aerosol pollution was present near the surface, cloud formation was often observed with cloud backscatter coefficients < 0.01 (
Figure 6b1,
6b2). This vertical distribution allows the dust to remain suspended in the air for extended periods and facilitates long-distance transport. Combining PM10 concentration data from key monitoring sites in the BTH region and Inner Mongolia (
Figure 6a3,
6b3), we found that by 04:00 in Beijing on March 15, 2021, signs of dust initiation were already present in Inner Mongolia. Within 24 h, PM10 concentrations rapidly exceeded 6,000 µg/m³. In comparison, the PM10 concentration surge in the BTH region occurred 8 h later and stabilized only on March 17, whereas in Inner Mongolia, PM10 concentrations stabilized earlier. This indicates that Inner Mongolia was first affected by dust and its propagation path and timing led to a delay in dust pollution in the BTH region. This demonstrates that dust from Inner Mongolia can remain suspended in the air for extended periods and be transported over long distances, significantly impacting air quality in the BTH region.
(2) Research on Small-Scale Spring Dust Events in the BTH Region
From March 20 to 23, 2023, the northern region experienced the largest dust storms of the year. According to CALIPSO VFM and backscatter coefficient data for the BTH and Inner Mongolia regions (
Figure 6c1,
6c2,
6d1,
6d2), this dust event featured a diverse range of aerosol types, including smoke, polluted dust, polluted continental, clean continental, dust, and clean marine aerosols, with backscatter coefficients concentrated between 0.0025 and 0.0045 (km·sr)
-1. These observations indicate that the dust event involved a mixture of various aerosol types rather than a single type of aerosol dispersion; specifically, polluted continental and clean marine aerosols were mainly concentrated around 2 km above the ground, whereas smoke aerosols typically appeared around 4 km, and clean continental aerosols were found at higher altitudes, generally between 8 and 10 km. The vertical distribution of dust aerosols was extensive, ranging from the ground up to 12 km, allowing dust aerosols to remain suspended in the air for extended periods and travel long distances with the wind. In the BTH and Inner Mongolia regions, dust aerosols accounted for over 65% of the grid counts (
Figure 6c1,
6d1), indicating that dust dominated during this event. In contrast, during this period, the dust aerosols in Inner Mongolia were mainly concentrated below 5 km, and a backscatter coefficient of approximately 0.0045 was predominantly in the lower layers. Although dust activity in Inner Mongolia was frequent, its lower vertical distribution resulted in a relatively lower long-distance transport efficiency, thus limiting its impact on other regions (
Figure 6d1,
6d2). According to station monitoring data (
Figure 6d3), the highest PM10 concentration in Inner Mongolia during this period did not exceed 1,600 µg/m³, indicating a less severe dust storm than more extreme cases. This suggests that dust from Inner Mongolia has a relatively limited impact on the BTH region. Despite this, the BTH region experienced some dust impact, primarily from local and nearby pollutants and dust mixtures.
In the past decade, the BTH region experienced several significant dust events, with dust storms on March 15, 2021, and March 22, 2023, representing long-distance, high-intensity dust events and small-scale spring dust events, respectively. In both events, dust aerosols dominated the BTH and Inner Mongolia regions, but their vertical distribution characteristics differed significantly. During the large dust event in BTH, dust aerosols were concentrated near the surface, with backscatter coefficients primarily in the range of 0.0025–0.0045 (km·sr)-1. This low-altitude, high-concentration distribution significantly impacts ground-level air quality. In contrast, the dust distribution in Inner Mongolia was more extensive, with vertical heights ranging from 2 to 12 km. This broad vertical distribution allowed dust to remain suspended for extended periods and be transported over long distances, significantly affecting air quality in downwind areas. In the small-scale dust event in BTH, dust aerosols had a larger vertical distribution span, with dust present throughout the atmospheric column from the surface to 12 km. Furthermore, the backscatter coefficient remained within a similar range. However, in Inner Mongolia, dust was primarily concentrated below 5 km, resulting in lower long-distance transport efficiency. This vertical distribution suggests that the dust from Inner Mongolia mainly impacted local and neighboring regions. In contrast, the BTH region was affected by a mix of local and external dust types. Notably, when the proportion of dust aerosol grid counts was extremely high, the corresponding PM10 concentrations were also high. This correlation indicates that during dust events, areas with high aerosol concentrations often experience severe air pollution with significant increases in PM10 levels, further exacerbating public health and environmental issues. Therefore, monitoring dust aerosols can provide insights into the spatial distribution and movement of dust and a more accurate assessment of its impact on air quality through changes in PM10 concentrations.