3.2. Performance of the tests
A total of 339 participants, 235 VL-suspected and 104 NEHC participants were enrolled in the study and their blood samples were tested using 5 different VL diagnostics: rk39 RDT, DAT, LAMP assay, mini-dbPCR-NALFIA and qPCR.
Due to the potential risk of splenic bleeding and very painful bone marrow tissue collection procedure, microscopic examination was done for clinical purpose only. Therefore, microscopic examination was done only in 142 (60.4%) of the VL-suspected patients. The sensitivity, specificity and predictive values for positive and negative of the results of the 5 different VL diagnostic tests were computed against the reference standard (qPCR),
Table 2. Using qPCR, 144 (61.28%) VL suspected patients were tested positive. For the purpose of comparison with the other five tests, these cases were classified as confirmed VL patients, given the fact that qPCR is the most sensitive test. Only one of the NEHC cases tested positive by qPCR.
The rk39 RDT: one hundred fifty-eight (67.23%) of the VL-suspected participants were tested positive with rk39 RDT. Furthermore, only one of the 104 NEHC, was found positive with rk39 RDT (this was the same case that tested also positive by qPCR). The overall rk39 RDT sensitivity and specificity were 88.11% (95%CI: 84.68 - 91.55%) and 83.33% (95%CI: 79.38 - 87.29%) respectively. Among the HIV-positive and negative VL-suspected patients, sensitivity and specificity of rk39 was also determined. Twenty-three (9.79%) of the VL-suspected patients co-infected patients. The sensitivity of rk39 RDT in HIV-positive patients was lower compared to HIV-negative patients (86.9% Vs 95.2%). Similarly, the proportion rk39 RDT positivity among HIV-positive patients was found significantly lower than HIV-negatives patients (McNemar's χ2 test, P=0.024).
The DAT: DAT was done on samples from 339 participants. Hundred thirty eight of 143 qPCR positive patients were positive for DAT (titer ≥1:3200), giving a sensitivity and specificity of 96.50% (95%CI: 94.55 - 98.46%) and 97.96% (95%CI: 96.45-99.46%) respectively. On the other hand, 9 patients had borderline DAT result (≥1:800 and <1:3200), among these patients, 3 were tested positive and 6 were negative by qPCR. However, when the borderline results were considered as negative, the specificity of DAT was increased to 99.47% (95%CI: 96.32 – 99.78%). Of the 182 DAT negative (titer: <1:800) patients, 2 were found positive by qPCR tests. Similarly, among the patients who tested positive by qPCR, 3 had borderline results and 2 had negative results by the DAT.
Microscopic Examination: Microscopic examination of Giemsa-stained tissue aspirates was conducted on 135 patients VL suspected patients, primarily for clinical purposes, and the data for this research purpose was collected from the patient’s medical chart. Of the total who had microscopic examination, 85(62.96%) of them were positive; and out of these 32(28.83%) and 42(39.64%) of them were with grade 2, and grade 3 and above, respectively.
Notably, 27 (24.1%) specimens deemed negative by microscopic examination were tested positive by qPCR. Importantly, none of the qPCR-negative samples were positive by microscopic examination.. Comparative analysis of the average Cycle Threshold (Ct) values revealed that lower Ct values were found in microscopy-negative/qPCR-positive samples than in microscopy-positive/qPCR-positive samples. The overall sensitivity and specificity of the microscopic examination were 76.58% (95% CI: 69.43-83.72%) and 100%, respectively. Microscopy positivity was significantly higher in HIV-positive patients compared to HIV-negative patients (McNemar χ2 test p=0.001).
Additionally, there was an association between parasite density (grades) and DAT titer. Specifically, 55 (71.43%) of patients with DAT titer ≥1:3200 exhibited grade 2 and above in microscopic examinations. All patients with negative microscopic results were also negative for DAT. However, 12 (24.49%) and 13 (26.53%) of microscopy-negative patients had DAT results at the borderline and DAT positive, respectively.
The LAMP assay: Using qPCR as reference tests, sensitivity and specificity of the employed LAMP assay were 94.33% (95%CI: 91.84 - 96.81%) and 97.38% (95%CI: 95.66 - 99.10%), respectively. All of the HIV-VL co-infected patients were positive by the LAMP assay, giving sensitivity 100%, however, the sensitivity was reduced to 89.2% (95%CI: 84.9 – 93.5%) in HIV-negative patients. On the other hand, the specificity of LAMP assay among HIV-positive and negative patients was remained almost the same (97.88% Vs 97.5%) respectively.
Mini-dbPCR NALFIA test: The mini-dbPCR-NALFIA's sensitivity and specificity to diagnose VL was 95.80 % (95%CI: 93.10 - 98.50%) and 98.92% (97.54 - 100.31%) respectively when using qPCR as a reference test. Only 1 sample that was positive by mini-dbPCR-NALFIA was negative by qPCR and 5 samples which were positive by qPCR were negative by mini-dbPCR-NALFIA. Like the LAMP assay, the sensitivity of the mini-dbPCR-NALFIA among the HIV-positive patients was higher (100%) than HIV-negative patients (91.7%, 95%CI: 73.25–98.12%). However, the specificity of mini-dbPCR-NALFIA between HIV-positive and negative patients was remained almost the same (99.5 vs. 100).
Receivers Operator Characteristics Curve (ROC curve) analysis was done for the various tests to assess their effectiveness in differentiating between VL and non-VL cases. Based on the area under ROC curve analysis, the mini-dbPCR-NALFIA, LAMP assay and DAT showed outstanding performance, AUC=0.991, 0.978 and 0.987 respectively. Moreover, the microscopic examination of Giemsa-stained tissue aspirates had an excellent performance, AUC= 0.88, whereas the rk39 RDT showed a lower value, AUC=0.69,
Figure 1.
The agreement of each diagnostic test with the reference standard was evaluated using Cohon's kappa statistics. There was a strong agreement between qPCR and mini-dbPCR-NALFIA (k=0.98, 95%CI: 0.82-1.00), as well as between qPCR and the LAMP assay (k=0.96, 95%CI: 0.79-1.00). Similarly, the agreement between the DAT and qPCR also exhibited an excellent level of agreement (0.97, 95%CI: 0.84-1.01). However, the agreement between the rk39 RDT and qPCR was found to be lower (k=0.85, 95%CI: 0.78-0.98) than that of the mini-dbPCR-NALFIA, LAMP assay and DAT, but still excellent. In contrast, microscopic examination of Giemsa-stained tissue aspirates and the reference test qPCR showed only a substantial level of agreement (K=0.80, 95%CI: 0.39-0.69). Additionally, the agreement between respectively: LAMP assay and mini-dbPCR-NALFIA(0.96, 95%CI: 0.86-1.00), LAMP assay and Microscopy(0.79, 95%CI: 0.65-0.95), LAMP assay and DAT(0.95, 95%CI: 0.76-0.99), LAMP and rk39RDT(0.85, 95%CI: 0.74-0.94), mini-dbPCR-NALFIA and DAT(0.97, 95%CI: 0.85-1.01), mini-dbPCR and rk39 RDT(0.85, 95%CI: 0.75-0.97), mini-dbPCR-NALFIA and microscopy(0.81, 95%CI: 0.71-0.91) DAT and rk39 RDT(85, 95%CI: 0.69-0.98), and DAT and microscopy (0.82, 95%CI: 0.72-0.93) was assessed. All, except the agreement between LAMP assay and microscopy, and rk39 RDT and microscopy, showed an excellent level of agreement.