Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Measuring Household Perception and Adaptation to Drought Occurrence: A Heckman Model Approach

Version 1 : Received: 11 November 2023 / Approved: 13 November 2023 / Online: 13 November 2023 (09:54:31 CET)

How to cite: Abdulahi, A.; Chauke, P.; Karthika, P. Measuring Household Perception and Adaptation to Drought Occurrence: A Heckman Model Approach. Preprints 2023, 2023110746. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202311.0746.v1 Abdulahi, A.; Chauke, P.; Karthika, P. Measuring Household Perception and Adaptation to Drought Occurrence: A Heckman Model Approach. Preprints 2023, 2023110746. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202311.0746.v1

Abstract

Drought is a long period of unusually low rainfall and can have serious effects on people's lives. It is caused by various factors such as climate change, deforestation, and the overuse of water re-sources. In the Somali region of Ethiopia, Kebri Dehar is the most at risk and most likely to have a drought. The lack of rainfall and high temperatures in Kebri Dehar have led to drought. Man-aging drought is the most challenging and complex problem. The purpose of this study is to as-sess household perception of drought hazards occurrence and adaptation. Additionally, the study aims to design a drought resilience mechanism matrix to mitigate its impact on the local commu-nity. This study used the Heckman two-stage model, which is useful in measuring drought per-ception as it accounts for potential selection bias and allows for the identification of factors that influence individuals' perceptions of drought. Gender, severity of drought, water shortage, tem-perature, drought frequency, and long dry season all have a positive effect on adaptation of resil-ience mechanisms to drought hazards, while food availability and rainfall have a negative effect. It is important for governments and individuals to act to mitigate the effects of the drought. Ef-forts to address the issue require a multi-participation approach that involves household, com-munity, and institutional level participation is needed for adopting drought resilience mecha-nisms.

Keywords

Drought; Drought Occurrence; Adaptation; Perception; Resilience Mechanism

Subject

Business, Economics and Management, Economics

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