Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia

Pablo Blas Tupac Silva Barbosa; Andrés Peña-Galindo; Andrés Miguel Sampayo; Sebastian Londoño-Méndez; Ivan Enrique Contreras Cala; David Granada Donato; Jenny Rocío Beltrán  Pérez; Alejandro Feged-Rivadeneira

doi:10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1

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preprints.org > social sciences > demography > doi: 10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1

Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia

Pablo Blas Tupac Silva Barbosa

Andrés Peña-Galindo

^* ,

Andrés Miguel Sampayo

Sebastian Londoño-Méndez

Ivan Enrique Contreras Cala

David Granada Donato

Jenny Rocío Beltrán Pérez

Alejandro Feged-Rivadeneira

Version 1 : Received: 4 September 2023 / Approved: 6 September 2023 / Online: 6 September 2023 (10:25:31 CEST)

How to cite: Silva Barbosa, P.B.T.; Peña-Galindo, A.; Sampayo, A.M.; Londoño-Méndez, S.; Contreras Cala, I.E.; Granada Donato, D.; Beltrán Pérez, J.R.; Feged-Rivadeneira, A. Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia. Preprints 2023, 2023090408. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1 Silva Barbosa, P.B.T.; Peña-Galindo, A.; Sampayo, A.M.; Londoño-Méndez, S.; Contreras Cala, I.E.; Granada Donato, D.; Beltrán Pérez, J.R.; Feged-Rivadeneira, A. Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia. Preprints 2023, 2023090408. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1

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MDPI and ACS Style

Silva Barbosa, P.B.T.; Peña-Galindo, A.; Sampayo, A.M.; Londoño-Méndez, S.; Contreras Cala, I.E.; Granada Donato, D.; Beltrán Pérez, J.R.; Feged-Rivadeneira, A. Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia. Preprints 2023, 2023090408. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1

APA Style

Silva Barbosa, P.B.T., Peña-Galindo, A., Sampayo, A.M., Londoño-Méndez, S., Contreras Cala, I.E., Granada Donato, D., Beltrán Pérez, J.R., & Feged-Rivadeneira, A. (2023). Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1

Chicago/Turabian Style

Silva Barbosa, P.B.T., Jenny Rocío Beltrán Pérez and Alejandro Feged-Rivadeneira. 2023 "Estimating the Incidence of Venezuelan Migration and Other Socioeconomic Factors on Urban Growth in Colombia" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202309.0408.v1

Abstract

This study investigates the intricate relationship between Venezuelan migration and urban growth in Colombia from 2018 to 2021. The study employs remote sensing data and social network metrics to uncover migration patterns and their impact on urban expansion. The methodology consists of three stages. Firstly, nighttime satellite imagery is used to analyze year-over-year urban growth in Colombia. Secondly, social network data estimates Venezuelan migration, overcoming challenges of underreporting and informal border crossings. Lastly, an econometric analysis explores the quantitative link between Venezuelan migration and urban growth, integrating socioeconomic variables to address endogeneity. The findings reveal the complex interplay of Venezuelan migration, socioeconomic factors, and urban growth. The study outlines remote sensing analysis, introducing the Anthropogenic Footprint Expansion Index (AFEI) to quantify urban growth. Facebook API data estimates migration trends and explores socioeconomic impacts on urban expansion. The analysis uncovers migration, poverty, aging, and urban population proportion as key factors affecting Colombia's urban landscape. Furthermore, the research underscores how Venezuelan migration affected short-term urban expansion pre- and post-COVID-19. Migration had a notable effect before the pandemic, but this influence waned afterward. The study highlights migration's short-term nature and emphasizes age demographics' role in medium-term dynamics.

Keywords

venezuelan migration; urban growth; colombia; remote sensing analysis; social network data

Subject

Social Sciences, Demography

Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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