1. Introduction
High-dose methotrexate (HDMTX) is used in various protocols for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and different types of non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL) [
1,
2,
3]. Generally, the therapy for these conditions includes phases of induction, consolidation, re-induction, and maintenance. Intrathecal MTX, with or without HDMTX is the standard of care for prevention of CNS disease in children with ALL and NHL during intensive cytostatic treatment and through maintenance phase. HDMTX is applied during consolidation phase, with intrathecal MTX (dosage according to age) with every HDMTX [
1]. However, the risk of toxicity with high-dose treatments is still a concern in clinical practice. Supportive treatments, including the introduction of antidote, hydration, and urine alkalization, as well as close monitoring of clinical and laboratory parameters, are essential to prevent toxicity [
4,
5,
6,
7]. In addition, the high variability in MTX pharmacokinetics requires routine drug monitoring to guide leucovorin dosing [
4,
5]. The incomplete understanding of covariates that may delay MTX elimination limits prediction of its individual exposure and further complicates therapy optimization. Our previous work focused on the relationship between biochemical and concomitant treatment characteristics and MTX concentrations adjusted for the administered dose. Although renal function, hemoglobin level, and concomitant medications explained a substantial portion of the variability in dose-normalized MTX concentration, the results of the regression analysis are subject to some limitations that can be overcome by population modeling analysis focusing on the variability in pharmacokinetic parameters [
8].
Population pharmacokinetic modeling is a valuable tool for evaluating covariates with significant influence on pharmacokinetic parameters and the extent of their influence. Moreover, it can account for both between- and within-subject variability, enabling individual tailoring of therapy [
9,
10]. Several categories of covariates have been described in previous MTX models, but the results are not fully consistent [
4]. Renal function is a major source of variation in MTX clearance (CL), characterized as either serum creatinine (SECR) or creatinine clearance [
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18]. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) has been reported to explain 10% of the between- subject variability of MTX CL in infants and young children with brain tumors [
15], whereas in an oncology study with a mixed population, CL varied 2.1-fold over the range of estimated GFR [
19]. On the other hand, in a study of pediatric ALL patients, SECR did not improve model fit, while weight was selected as the main source of variability in pharmacokinetic parameters [
20]. In addition, body surface area (BSA) has been frequently used as a covariate in population models [
4,
11,
15,
17], which is expected because of its correlation with GFR and the fact that MTX dose is depends mainly on BSA. In general, body size descriptors and/or age are often utilized in pediatric studies to reflect growth and organ development [
4,
21,
22]. On the other hand, patient sex and genetic polymorphism have been less frequently considered in population models [
4,
23]. Considering the known interactions of MTX with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, proton pump inhibitors, antibiotics, or dexamethasone, one would expect that concomitant therapy could explain the variability in MTX elimination [
4,
24]. However, interactions have been described only occasionally in final pharmacokinetic models [
4,
13,
15], and further evaluation is needed. Liver function has also been investigated because a small fraction of the drug undergoes hepatic metabolism [
13]. In one study, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) correlated with MTX CL [
25], whereas in another, the influence of albumin level on CL was captured [
16]. Finally, MTX distribution into red blood cells suggests a possible effect of erythrocyte parameters on its disposition. However, the influence was tested only sporadically in adults [
7,
25] while an evaluation in pediatric patients is not available.
Despite various population pharmacokinetic models, there is still unexplained variability in MTX elimination, even when renal function and/or size descriptors are taken into account. Moreover, the results of previous studies regarding the factors contributing to this variability are not fully consistent, especially in the pediatric population. The objective of this study was to develop a population pharmacokinetic model for HDMTX in children with ALL and NHL and to evaluate the sources of pharmacokinetic variability. Specifically, the goal was to identify and quantify the effects of covariates on HDMTX CL, and to improve understanding of the contribution of erythrocyte parameters to between-subject pharmacokinetic variability.
3. Results
Fifty patients aged 1 to 18 years with ALL (50%) and NHL (50%) were included in the study. The male sex was more prevalent with 38 children. Patients received 184 cycles of HDMTX at doses from 3 g/m
2 (19% of cycles) to 5 g/m
2 (81% of cycles). Demographic and biochemical characteristic features of patients at the start of HDMTX treatment are given in
Table 1. Details of number of MTX concentrations per the cycle, as well as its values compared to protocol reference range for the specific time-points are given in our previous work [
8]. Data for modeling included 473 MTX concentrations (
Figure 1), averaging 2.57 per patient per cycle.
The two-compartment model was parameterized in terms of CL, volume of the central compartment (V1), volume of the peripheral compartment (V2) and intercompartmental clearance (Q). Theory-based allometry was incorporated into the base model, assuming a fixed exponent of 0.75 for CL and Q, and 1.0 for V1 and V2. The proportional error model was selected for the residual intraindividual variability of MTX concentration. The OFV for the base model was 334.186.
During covariate modeling, effects of sex, INCMTX, SECR, ER, HGB, ALT, AST, and TBIL on CL were tested. The introduction of SECR as a covariate resulted in a 107.905 decrease in OFV, while the inclusion of HGB resulted in an additional 13.051 units drop in OFV. The influences of both covariates were best described by exponential models. After the backward step, selected variables were retained in the final model. According to the final model, population pharmacokinetic values, scaled to standard adult weight, were 11 L/h for CL (relative standard error: 5.1%), 46.5 L for V1 (relative standard error: 6.8%), 16.4 L for V2 (relative standard error: 11.6%) and 0.168 L/h for Q (relative standard error: 9.9%). While the inter-individual coefficient of variability for CL and η-shrinkage were 27.6% and 2.1%, respectively, the residual variability was estimated to be 52.7% and ε-shrinkage 3.6%. The parameters of the final model are presented in
Table 2, along with the results of bootstrap analysis based on 992 successful runs.
Hence, final MTX population model is written in equation (3).
The relationship between MTX CL and HGB value is shown in
Figure 2.
Goodness of fit plots of the final model are given in
Figure 3. The population and individual predicted concentrations correlated well with the observed values, while CWRES plots demonstrated that most residuals distributed between -2 and +2.
Performance of the final model evaluated by pvcVPC is given in
Figure 4.
4. Discussion
The present study describes HDMTX population pharmacokinetics in pediatric patients with ALL and NHL. The development of the two-compartment model was in line with most previous population analyzes [
7,
11,
12,
15,
16,
19,
23,
34], although models with one [
13] or three compartments have occasionally been reported [
17]. The effect of body weight was included at the beginning of modeling process using standard allometric scaling, whereas the effect of maturation was not considered, since only 2 patients were younger than 2 years [
35]. After testing the effects of the remaining covariates on CL, only the influence of SECR and HGB was included the final pharmacokinetic model in addition to body weight. To our knowledge, this is the first population model to describe the influence of HGB on HDMTX CL variability in pediatric patients. According to the final model, population pharmacokinetic values, scaled to standard adult weight, were 11 L/h for CL, 46.5 L for V1, 16.4 L for V2 and 0.168 L/h for Q. The estimated pharmacokinetic parameters, and in particular CL, were close to previous reports that used the weight scaling approach [
19,
34].
Impact of renal function is consistent with previous studies describing MTX CL decrease with the increase of SECR [
11,
12,
16,
18,
36]. In our analysis, a change in SECR values from 45 to 90 µmol/L resulted in a MTX CL decrease for 50.2% that complies with our previous results where lower creatinine clearance was associated with higher dose normalized MTX concentration [
8]. It is not surprising, since the major route of MTX elimination is via the kidneys as unchanged drug (approximately 70-90%) [
13]. However, the same alteration in SECR resulted in a decrease of CL of only 5.6% in the study by Johansson et al. [
18], although the patients were older (4-51 years) and had osteosarcoma. On the other hand, a model developed in adult and pediatric patients with primary central nervous system lymphoma, suggests a reduction in CL for almost 30% within the same SECR variation [
11]. Moreover, MTX CL varied 2.1-fold over the range of GFR from 40 to 387 mL/min/1.73 m2 in a mixed oncology population [
19]. Nevertheless, in our analysis, estimates of GFR from SECR using standard formulas were not appropriate, since equations are based on weight already included in the model.
In contrast to renal function, red blood cell parameters have not been frequently described as covariates in population pharmacokinetic models. However, well-known MTX distribution in erythrocytes, polyglutamate formation, and long half-life of the drug in these cells put hematological parameters under the spotlight. Specifically, MTX enters red blood cells by reduce folate carrier and its intracellular metabolism includes addition of glutamate groups by the activity of folylpolyglutamate synthetase. Release from cells occurs through gamma glutamyl hydrolase activity and efflux via multi-drug resistance protein and breast cancer resistance protein [
37]. To our knowledge, there are only two NONMEM models of HDMTX describing the influence of hematological parameters on its pharmacokinetics in oncology patients, and both included patients aged 14 years and older [
7,
25]. While Dupuis et al. reported an effect of HGB on MTX volume of distribution [
25], only Nader et al. described a positive influence of hematocrit on CL. It was explained by the distribution of the drug in erythrocytes and the consequent decrease in serum levels, which was reflected in a higher CL [
7]. In contrast to the aforementioned model, we managed to describe a positive impact of HGB level on HDMTX CL in pediatric patients. Due to high correlation, hematocrit was not tested simultaneously. According to our model, the difference between the lowest and the highest HGB levels corresponds to a difference of almost 30% in CL and it reflects 44% change in dose normalized MTX concentration, as previously reported [
8]. In the study by Nader et al. a difference in CL of 50% was found over the whole range of hematocrit values [
7]. This highlights the importance of monitoring hematological parameters, not only to assess toxicity, but also to predict the effects on drug levels during HDMTX.
HDMTX protocols include the use of multiple therapeutic agents [
1,
3] and frequently different kind of supportive therapy is required. Therefore, these patients are at high risk of drug-drug interactions, most of which also occur at the membrane transporter level [
4,
24]. In our analysis, we grouped drugs according to their potential to increase MTX levels based on data in Lexicomp database [
29] and excluded those involved in routine protocols and administered in every patient. Similarly to our finding, most of previous studies failed to demonstrate the influence of co-therapy [
7,
11,
38]. Although our previous multiple regression analysis showed increase in MTX concentrations with drugs in focus [
8], the results of population analysis may be more reliable due to methodological advantages [
10], and covariates were treated as time-varying during the analysis. Nevertheless, a few models explained some of the variability in pharmacokinetics by including concomitant medications [
4], such as dexamethasone and/or vancomycin [
13,
15]. However, these drugs were not tested in our model because they were either part of the preparation of patients for HDMTX or the interaction was not documented in the Lexicomp database. In addition, assessment of liver function tests as a potential covariate affecting MTX CL did not result in a significant change in OFV and therefore, was not kept in the final model. This is in accordance with most previous studies and the fact that MTX undergoes only modest hepatic metabolism [
4,
7,
11]. The influence of sex was also not detected in our model, which is supported by the majority of previous reports [
4,
11,
12,
13,
17].
Some limitations of our study should be noted. The retrospective nature of the study allowed the collection of data available only in medical records. Hence, no information on genetic polymorphism could be obtained. Moreover, the sample size was relatively small. Nevertheless, the precision of the parameters in the final model implies valuable finding, especially considering that a vulnerable group of pediatric patients was studied. Individualization of MTX exposure is challenging due to numerous factors contributing to variability, even when accounting for renal function and/or body size descriptors.