Preprint Review Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Study on the Causes of Heavy Rainfall over the Mei-Yu front:A Case Study in Suzhou

Version 1 : Received: 12 June 2023 / Approved: 12 June 2023 / Online: 12 June 2023 (10:08:51 CEST)

How to cite: Shuya, C.; Lanjun, Z.; Yang, L.; Bo, C.; Ruiqi, M.; Yue, W. Study on the Causes of Heavy Rainfall over the Mei-Yu front:A Case Study in Suzhou. Preprints 2023, 2023060818. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202306.0818.v1 Shuya, C.; Lanjun, Z.; Yang, L.; Bo, C.; Ruiqi, M.; Yue, W. Study on the Causes of Heavy Rainfall over the Mei-Yu front:A Case Study in Suzhou. Preprints 2023, 2023060818. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202306.0818.v1

Abstract

Influenced by the quasi-stationary Mei-yu front and the development of mesoscale low vortices on the Mei-yu front, a torrential rain event occurred in Suzhou on July 6, 2020. The 24-hour rainfall recorded by the automatic station exceeded 200 millimeters, with the highest hourly intensity surpassing 70 millimeters, accompanied by thunderstorms and strong winds. This heavy precipitation process was characterized by suddenness, extremity, long duration, high precipitation efficiency, and backward propagation. Using various data sources such as the European ERA5 reanalysis data, ground-based automatic stations, sounding, Doppler weather radar, and wind profile radar, this paper analyzed in detail the circulation characteristics and radar echo structures of this torrential rain event, and further studied the triggering, feature evolution, and maintenance mechanisms of the heavy precipitation.The results show: (1) The continuously strengthening low-level jet stream propagates downward forming an ultra-low-level jet stream. Heavy precipitation is located on the left front side of the jet exit area, where strong convergence and lifting in the boundary layer overlap with the ascending branch of the secondary circulation above the shear line, resulting in heavy precipitation. (2) A supercell storm with intense precipitation produced this heavy rainfall event, characterized by a low centroid of strong echo; echo-free vault, bounded weak echo region, and other supercell structural features. During this event, the high reflectivity factor areas corresponded to high KDP value areas, indicating a large amount of liquid water content. Vertically, the KDP column can track the rainwater mixing ratio well, and its location corresponds to the vicinity of the short-term heavy precipitation occurrence. The high KDP value area mainly consists of numerous precipitation particles, and the vertical vortex wind field structure causes rapid growth of precipitation particles through continuous rolling. Furthermore, it can be found through correlation coefficients (CC) that there are always high-value areas for CC since they correspond to areas of intense precipitation. (3) Continuous triggering of mesoscale convective cloud clusters on the east-west ground convergence line leads to new development and forms a "train effect." Strong frontogenesis in both horizontal and vertical directions triggers and sustains this heavy precipitation event. The significant increase in liquid water and water vapor density has indicative significance for the occurrence of heavy precipitation.

Keywords

Mei-yu front; train effect; convergence line; frontogenesis function

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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