Thorp, J.A.; Thorp, M.M.; Thorp, E.M.; Scott-Emuakpor, A.; Thorp, K. Global COVID-19 Pandemic Outcomes: Dissecting a Failed Strategy. Preprints2022, 2022110480. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0480.v1
Thorp, J.A., Thorp, M.M., Thorp, E.M., Scott-Emuakpor, A., & Thorp, K. (2022). Global COVID-19 Pandemic Outcomes: Dissecting a Failed Strategy. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0480.v1
Thorp, J.A., Ajovi Scott-Emuakpor and K.E. Thorp. 2022 "Global COVID-19 Pandemic Outcomes: Dissecting a Failed Strategy" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0480.v1
Objectives to assess COVID-19 mortality rates per country population. To determine what if any independent country-specific variables from 9 different databases were correlated. Design population based retrospective cohort study. Setting analysis of global COVID-19 treatment and containment strategies using data from 9 worldwide websites. Participants 108 countries worldwide. Interventions none. Main Outcome Measures were COVID-19 death rates per country population analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis. The main outcome parameters were to determine if there are any correlations between the percentage of countrywide COVID-19 deaths/population by the countries’ percent vaccinated. Secondary outcome measures include the effect of other independent variables on COVID-19 death rates per country population including: health expenditures per capita, annual income per capita, COVID-19 tests per 1000 people, stringency index (a measure of each countries containment strategies), hydroxychloroquine score (a measure of each countries use), ivermectin score (a measure of each countries use), hypertension, obesity, diabetes, and specific countries and geographic locations. Results COVID-19 vaccination rates ranged from 0-99% in 108 countries. Univariate analysis demonstrates the following independent variables to correlate with COVID-19 deaths/population (correlation coefficient, p value): countrywide COVID-19 vaccination rates (+0.2936, p=0.002); healthcare costs per capita (+0.3212, p=0.0007), income per capita (+0.3051, p=0.0013), COVID-19 tests per 1000 population (+0.6981 p=0.0307); stringency index (+0.3098, p=0.0011); hydroxychloroquine index (-0.1337, p=0.0678); and ivermectin index (-0.1383, p=0.1535). Conclusions Increasing rates of COVID-19 vaccination are associated with increase COVID-19 death rates per country population (p=0.002). Other variables associated include healthcare costs per capita (+0.3212, p=0.0007), income per capita (+0.3051, p=0.0013), COVID-19 tests per 1000 population (+0.6981 p=0.0307); and stringency index (+0.3098, p=0.0011).
COVID-19 death rates; COVID-19 vaccines; hydroxychloroquine; ivermectin; rates of COVID-19 testing; containment measures; social distancing; travel restriction,
Public Health and Healthcare, Health Policy and Services
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