Article
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Compliance with NPIs and Possible Deleterious Effects on Mitigation of an Epidemic Outbreak
Version 1
: Received: 6 February 2021 / Approved: 8 February 2021 / Online: 8 February 2021 (10:33:43 CET)
How to cite: Barbarossa, M.V.; Fuhrmann, J. Compliance with NPIs and Possible Deleterious Effects on Mitigation of an Epidemic Outbreak. Preprints 2021, 2021020178 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202102.0178.v1). Barbarossa, M.V.; Fuhrmann, J. Compliance with NPIs and Possible Deleterious Effects on Mitigation of an Epidemic Outbreak. Preprints 2021, 2021020178 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202102.0178.v1).
Abstract
The first attempt to control and mitigate an epidemic outbreak caused by a previously unknown virus occurs primarily via non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). In case of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which since the early days of 2020 caused the COVID-19 pandemic, NPIs aimed at reducing transmission enabling contacts between individuals. The effectiveness of contact reduction measures directly correlates with the number of individuals adhering to such measures. Here, we illustrate by means of a very simple compartmental model how partial noncompliance with NPIs can prevent these from stopping the spread of an epidemic.
Subject Areas
non-pharmaceutical intervention; epidemic model; compliance; reproduction number; COVID-19
Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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