Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Who should be Prioritized for COVID-19 Vaccination in China? A Descriptive Study

Juan Yang
,
Wen Zheng
,
Huilin Shi
,
Xuemei Yan
,
Kaige Dong
,
Qian You
,
Guangjie Zhong
,
Hui Gong
,
Zhiyuan Chen
,
Mark Jit
,
Cecile Viboud
,
Marco Ajelli
,
Hongjie Yu
*
Version 1 : Received: 18 September 2020 / Approved: 19 September 2020 / Online: 19 September 2020 (05:02:54 CEST)

How to cite: Yang, J.; Zheng, W.; Shi, H.; Yan, X.; Dong, K.; You, Q.; Zhong, G.; Gong, H.; Chen, Z.; Jit, M.; Viboud, C.; Ajelli, M.; Yu, H. Who should be Prioritized for COVID-19 Vaccination in China? A Descriptive Study. Preprints 2020, 2020090446. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202009.0446.v1 Yang, J.; Zheng, W.; Shi, H.; Yan, X.; Dong, K.; You, Q.; Zhong, G.; Gong, H.; Chen, Z.; Jit, M.; Viboud, C.; Ajelli, M.; Yu, H. Who should be Prioritized for COVID-19 Vaccination in China? A Descriptive Study. Preprints 2020, 2020090446. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202009.0446.v1

Abstract

All countries are facing decisions about which groups to prioritise for COVID-19 vaccination after the first vaccine product has been licensed, at which time supply shortages are inevitable. Here we define the key target populations and their size in China for a phased introduction of COVID-19 vaccination with evolving goals, accounting for the risk of illness and transmission. Essential workers (47.2 million) like healthcare workers could be prioritized for vaccination to maintain essential services. Subsequently, older adults, individuals with underlying health conditions and pregnant women (616.0 million) could be targeted to reduce severe COVID-19 outcomes. Then it could be further extended to target adults without underlying health conditions and children (738.7 million) to reduce symptomatic infections and/or to stop virus transmission. The proposed framework could assist Chinese policy-makers in the design of a vaccination program, and could be generalized to inform other national and regional COVID-19 vaccination strategies.

Keywords

Novel coronavirus diseases 2019; vaccination; target population; China

Subject

Medicine and Pharmacology, Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases

Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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