Preprint Short Note Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

Covid-19 Fatality Rate Between 0.1 and 0.3%, Gangelt and Santa Clara Combined

Version 1 : Received: 6 July 2020 / Approved: 8 July 2020 / Online: 8 July 2020 (12:04:50 CEST)

How to cite: Mergel, D. Covid-19 Fatality Rate Between 0.1 and 0.3%, Gangelt and Santa Clara Combined. Preprints 2020, 2020070155 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202007.0155.v1). Mergel, D. Covid-19 Fatality Rate Between 0.1 and 0.3%, Gangelt and Santa Clara Combined. Preprints 2020, 2020070155 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202007.0155.v1).

Abstract

Covid-19 fatality rates of 0.37% (Gangelt, Germany) and 0.17% (Santa Clara, USA) have been reported, estimated from serological studies. We show that the two confidence intervals strongly overlap when the uncertainty in the number of deaths is taken into account, so that the two investigations may be regarded as representative of the same population (tentatively: “Western society with no overload of the Health Care System during the pandemic”). Combining the results, the Covid-19 fatality rate is estimated to be found with 95% confidence in the range [0.1%; 0.3%].

Subject Areas

Confidence interval; Infection fatality rate; Covid-19

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