Article
Version 2
Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed
Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model
Version 1
: Received: 10 April 2020 / Approved: 12 April 2020 / Online: 12 April 2020 (14:21:13 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 22 May 2020 / Approved: 23 May 2020 / Online: 23 May 2020 (10:47:33 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 22 May 2020 / Approved: 23 May 2020 / Online: 23 May 2020 (10:47:33 CEST)
A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.
Islam, M. S., Ira, J. I., Kabir, K. A., & Kamrujjaman, M. (2020). COVID-19 Epidemic compartments model and Bangladesh. Preprint, 10. Islam, M. S., Ira, J. I., Kabir, K. A., & Kamrujjaman, M. (2020). COVID-19 Epidemic compartments model and Bangladesh. Preprint, 10.
Abstract
In the promptness of the COVID-19 outbreak, it would be very important to observe and estimate the pattern of diseases to reduce the contagious infection. To study this effect, we developed a COVID-19 analytical epidemic framework that combines with isolation and lockdown effect by incorporating five various groups of individuals. Then we analyze the model by evaluating the equilibrium points and analyzing their stability as well as determining the basic reproduction number. The extensive numerical simulations show the dynamics of a different group of the population over time. Thus, our findings based on the sensitivity analysis and the reproduction number highlight the role of outbreak of the virus that can be useful to avoid a massive collapse in Bangladesh and rest of the world. The outcome of this study concludes that outbreak will be in control which ensures the social and economic stability.
Keywords
COVID-19; lockdown; sensitivity analysis; epidemic dynamics
Subject
Computer Science and Mathematics, Computational Mathematics
Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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