Preprint Article Version 2 This version is not peer-reviewed

Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model

Version 1 : Received: 10 April 2020 / Approved: 12 April 2020 / Online: 12 April 2020 (14:21:13 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 22 May 2020 / Approved: 23 May 2020 / Online: 23 May 2020 (10:47:33 CEST)

How to cite: Shahidul Islam, M.; Irana Ira, J.; Ariful Kabir, K.M.; Kamrujjaman, M. Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model. Preprints 2020, 2020040193 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202004.0193.v2). Shahidul Islam, M.; Irana Ira, J.; Ariful Kabir, K.M.; Kamrujjaman, M. Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model. Preprints 2020, 2020040193 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202004.0193.v2).

Abstract

In the promptness of the COVID-19 outbreak, it would be very important to observe and estimate the pattern of diseases to reduce the contagious infection. To study this effect, we developed a COVID-19 analytical epidemic framework that combines with isolation and lockdown effect by incorporating five various groups of individuals. Then we analyze the model by evaluating the equilibrium points and analyzing their stability as well as determining the basic reproduction number. The extensive numerical simulations show the dynamics of a different group of the population over time. Thus, our findings based on the sensitivity analysis and the reproduction number highlight the role of outbreak of the virus that can be useful to avoid a massive collapse in Bangladesh and rest of the world. The outcome of this study concludes that outbreak will be in control which ensures the social and economic stability.

Subject Areas

COVID-19; lockdown; sensitivity analysis; epidemic dynamics

Comments (1)

Comment 1
Received: 23 May 2020
Commenter: Md Kamrujjaman
Commenter's Conflict of Interests: Author
Comment: We have changed the title and updated all the informations of Bangladesh about COVID-19 up to May 19, 2020.
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