PreprintArticleVersion 1Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed
Analysis of the Association Between Meteorological Variables and Mortality in the Elderly Applied to Different Climatic Characteristics of the State of São Paulo, Brazil
Version 1
: Received: 31 July 2020 / Approved: 3 August 2020 / Online: 3 August 2020 (09:56:17 CEST)
How to cite:
Barros, F.S.D.; Gonçalves, F.L.T.; Gobo, J.P.A.; ³, J.B.C. Analysis of the Association Between Meteorological Variables and Mortality in the Elderly Applied to Different Climatic Characteristics of the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Preprints2020, 2020080068. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0068.v1
Barros, F.S.D.; Gonçalves, F.L.T.; Gobo, J.P.A.; ³, J.B.C. Analysis of the Association Between Meteorological Variables and Mortality in the Elderly Applied to Different Climatic Characteristics of the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Preprints 2020, 2020080068. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0068.v1
Barros, F.S.D.; Gonçalves, F.L.T.; Gobo, J.P.A.; ³, J.B.C. Analysis of the Association Between Meteorological Variables and Mortality in the Elderly Applied to Different Climatic Characteristics of the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Preprints2020, 2020080068. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0068.v1
APA Style
Barros, F.S.D., Gonçalves, F.L.T., Gobo, J.P.A., & ³, J.B.C. (2020). Analysis of the Association Between Meteorological Variables and Mortality in the Elderly Applied to Different Climatic Characteristics of the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0068.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Barros, F.S.D., João Paulo Assis Gobo and Júlio Barboza Chiquetto ³. 2020 "Analysis of the Association Between Meteorological Variables and Mortality in the Elderly Applied to Different Climatic Characteristics of the State of São Paulo, Brazil" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0068.v1
Abstract
With the rising trends in elderly populations around the world, there is a growing interest in understanding how climate sensitivity is related to their thermal perception. Therefore, we analyzed the associations between mortality in the elderly due to cardiovascular (CVD) and respiratory diseases (RD) and meteorological variables, for three cities in the State of São Paulo, Brazil: Campos do Jordão, Ribeirão Preto and Santos, from 1996 to 2017. We applied the Autoregressive Model Integrated with Moving Average (ARIMA) and the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in order to evaluate statistical associations. Results showed CVD as a major cause of mortality, particularly in the cold period, when a high mortality rate is also observed due to RD. The mortality rate was higher in Campos do Jordão and lower in Santos (and intermediate values in Ribeirão Preto). Campos do Jordão results indicate an increased probability of mortality from CVD and RD due to lower temperatures. In Ribeirão Preto, the lower relative humidity may be related to the increase in CVD and RD deaths. This study emphasizes that, even among subtropical climates, there are significant differences. Therefore, this can assist decision makers in the implementation of mitigating and adaptive measures.
Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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