Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Predictive Score for Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia Based on Cardiovascular and Colorectal Cancer Risk Factors

Version 1 : Received: 12 April 2024 / Approved: 15 April 2024 / Online: 15 April 2024 (08:56:05 CEST)

How to cite: Ruiz Belmonte, L.M.; Carrera-Lasfuentes, P.; Cebollada-Solanas, A.; Scarpignato, C.; Lanas, A.; Gargallo-Puyuelo, C.J. Predictive Score for Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia Based on Cardiovascular and Colorectal Cancer Risk Factors. Preprints 2024, 2024040892. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0892.v1 Ruiz Belmonte, L.M.; Carrera-Lasfuentes, P.; Cebollada-Solanas, A.; Scarpignato, C.; Lanas, A.; Gargallo-Puyuelo, C.J. Predictive Score for Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia Based on Cardiovascular and Colorectal Cancer Risk Factors. Preprints 2024, 2024040892. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0892.v1

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cardiovascular disease and colorectal cancer (CRC) are significant health problems and share some risk factors. The aim of our study was to develop and validate a predictive score for advanced colorectal neoplasia (CRN) based on risk factors for cardiovascular disease and CRC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study comprising a derivation cohort and an external validation cohort of 1049 and 308 patients respectively. A prediction score for advanced CRN (CRNAS: Colorectal Neoplasia Advanced Score) was developed from a logistic regression model, comprising sex, age, first-degree family history for CRC, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, body mass index, diabetes, smoking, and antihypertensive treatment. Other cardiovascular risk scores (Framingham-Wilson, REGICOR, SCORE and FRESCO) were also used to predict the risk of advanced CRN. The discriminatory capacity of each score was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: CRN were found in 379 subjects from the derivation cohort (36%) including 228 patients (22%) with an advanced CRN. Male sex, age, diabetes, and smoking were identified as independent risk factors for advanced CRN. The newly created score (CRNAS), showed an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.64-0.73) for advanced CRN, which was better than cardiovascular risk scores (p

Keywords

colorectal neoplasia; cardiovascular risk; risk factors; predictive score

Subject

Medicine and Pharmacology, Gastroenterology and Hepatology

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