Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Machine Learning - Based Prediction and System Performance Modelling – A Case Study of Garissa Solar Power Plant in Kenya

Version 1 : Received: 16 August 2023 / Approved: 16 August 2023 / Online: 18 August 2023 (09:26:27 CEST)

How to cite: Chirchir, I.R.; Park, S.J.; Kommen, G. Machine Learning - Based Prediction and System Performance Modelling – A Case Study of Garissa Solar Power Plant in Kenya. Preprints 2023, 2023081321. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202308.1321.v1 Chirchir, I.R.; Park, S.J.; Kommen, G. Machine Learning - Based Prediction and System Performance Modelling – A Case Study of Garissa Solar Power Plant in Kenya. Preprints 2023, 2023081321. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202308.1321.v1

Abstract

This study focused on the predictive models incorporating machine learning techniques that induce new dynamics for forecasting energy generation, enabling effective planning, financing, and system monitoring. The research developed a machine learning-based power generation prediction model tailored explicitly for Kenya's Garissa solar power plant. The selected model demonstrated a root mean squared error of 5.23 during evaluation, resulting in a prediction accuracy of 90.42%. This high accuracy indicates that the model can be relied upon for precise generation prediction, facilitating effective planning, and system performance monitoring

Keywords

Energy Forecasting; Modeling; Electricity Mix; Machine Learning Algorithms

Subject

Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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