Version 1
: Received: 10 November 2022 / Approved: 11 November 2022 / Online: 11 November 2022 (04:05:04 CET)
How to cite:
Ruan, W.; Yu, X.; Wang, S.; Zhao, T.; Liu, Y. A Study on the Bilateral Trade Relations between China and ASEAN Ten Countries Based on Lotka-Volterra Model. Preprints2022, 2022110216. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0216.v1
Ruan, W.; Yu, X.; Wang, S.; Zhao, T.; Liu, Y. A Study on the Bilateral Trade Relations between China and ASEAN Ten Countries Based on Lotka-Volterra Model. Preprints 2022, 2022110216. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0216.v1
Ruan, W.; Yu, X.; Wang, S.; Zhao, T.; Liu, Y. A Study on the Bilateral Trade Relations between China and ASEAN Ten Countries Based on Lotka-Volterra Model. Preprints2022, 2022110216. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0216.v1
APA Style
Ruan, W., Yu, X., Wang, S., Zhao, T., & Liu, Y. (2022). A Study on the Bilateral Trade Relations between China and ASEAN Ten Countries Based on Lotka-Volterra Model. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0216.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Ruan, W., Tian-Cheng Zhao and Ya-Zhen Liu. 2022 "A Study on the Bilateral Trade Relations between China and ASEAN Ten Countries Based on Lotka-Volterra Model" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202211.0216.v1
Abstract
The bilateral trade relationship between PRC and ASEAN is close. As early as 2012, China has been the largest trading partner of ASEAN, and ASEAN has also taken the place of the United States as PRC’s second largest trading partner in 2019.This paper uses the theory of ecological population evolution, selects the total import and export volume of PRC and the ten ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2019 as the data sample, studies the bilateral trade relations between PRC and the ten ASEAN countries, analyzes the competition and symbiotic relationship of bilateral trade between PRC and the ten ASEAN countries and the possibility of trade friction according to the results, and proposes corresponding improvement strategies. According to the results of the population evolution competition model, China has a competitive relationship with Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, which is most likely to cause trade friction. China has a biased relationship with Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam, which is more likely to cause trade friction. On this basis, in order to further strengthen the trade relations between PRC and the ten ASEAN countries, this paper puts forward policy suggestions on improving infrastructure, strengthening independent innovation, seeking cooperation fields and actively investing abroad.
Keywords
Ten ASEAN countries; Bilateral trade; Lotka-Volterra model; commensalism; competition
Subject
Business, Economics and Management, Econometrics and Statistics
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
